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Ice Lab

Thu, Jan 3, 2019·KeyBank Center, Buffalo

Florida Panthers 3, Buffalo Sabres 4

Away

Florida Panthers

3

Final

Home

Buffalo Sabres

4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 63% of the time.

BUF winsFLA wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:36Shot by Borgstrom, saved by Ullmark
  3. P1 0:57Shot by Matheson, saved by Ullmark
  4. P1 1:31Shot by Scandella, saved by Luongo
  5. P1 2:19Shot by Huberdeau, saved by Ullmark
  6. P1 4:42Goal by Skinner (Reinhart)+15 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Larsson, Skinner, Reinhart, Dahlin, Pilut · FLA Brouwer, Pysyk, Matheson, McCann, Malgin

  7. P1 5:16Shot by McCabe, saved by Luongo
  8. P1 7:15Goal by Thompson (Sobotka, Sheary)+13 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Sobotka, Bogosian, Sheary, Thompson, Pilut · FLA Brouwer, Yandle, Matheson, McCann, Malgin

  9. P1 7:56Shot by Bogosian, saved by Luongo
  10. P1 8:34Shot by McCabe, saved by Luongo
  11. P1 8:38Shot by Thompson, saved by Luongo
  12. P1 8:51Shot by Huberdeau, saved by Ullmark
  13. P1 8:56Shot by Huberdeau, saved by Ullmark
  14. P1 8:54Shot by Dadonov, saved by Ullmark
  15. P1 10:13Shot by Pysyk, saved by Ullmark
  16. P1 10:51Shot by Skinner, saved by Luongo
  17. P1 12:42Dahlin: Interference (2 min)5v6

    On ice: BUF Scandella, Skinner, Reinhart, Rodrigues, Dahlin · FLA Hoffman, Pysyk, Huberdeau, Matheson, Barkov, McCann

  18. P1 13:58Shot by Vatrano, saved by Ullmark4v5
  19. P1 15:45Shot by Smith, saved by Luongo
  20. P1 15:50Shot by Dahlin, saved by Luongo
  21. P1 17:12Shot by Scandella, saved by Luongo
  22. P1 18:22Shot by Lammikko, saved by Ullmark
  23. P1 19:02Shot by Yandle, saved by Ullmark
  24. P1 19:21Shot by Sheary, saved by Luongo
  25. P1 0:00Period end
  26. P2 0:00Period start
  27. P2 0:21Shot by Matheson, saved by Ullmark
  28. P2 0:57Shot by Vatrano, saved by Ullmark
  29. P2 1:26Shot by Bogosian, saved by Luongo
  30. P2 4:25Shot by Thompson, saved by Luongo
  31. P2 4:26Shot by Sobotka, saved by Luongo
  32. P2 4:36Shot by Reinhart, saved by Luongo
  33. P2 6:49Shot by Huberdeau, saved by Ullmark
  34. P2 6:59Shot by Huberdeau, saved by Ullmark
  35. P2 7:06Shot by Huberdeau, saved by Ullmark
  36. P2 7:16Shot by Yandle, saved by Ullmark
  37. P2 9:09Shot by Lammikko, saved by Ullmark
  38. P2 9:24Thompson: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Sobotka, Scandella, Sheary, Thompson, Dahlin · FLA Brouwer, Weegar, McCann, Lammikko, Kiselevich

  39. P2 10:07Shot by Hoffman, saved by Ullmark4v5
  40. P2 11:16Shot by Vatrano, saved by Ullmark4v5
  41. P2 12:14Shot by Pilut, saved by Luongo
  42. P2 13:42Goal by Vatrano (Sceviour)+14 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Scandella, Skinner, Reinhart, Rodrigues, Dahlin · FLA Yandle, Sceviour, Ekblad, Hawryluk, Vatrano

  43. P2 13:59Shot by Weegar, saved by Ullmark
  44. P2 14:08Shot by Barkov, saved by Ullmark
  45. P2 14:49Shot by McCabe, saved by Luongo
  46. P2 15:34Shot by Sheary, saved by Luongo
  47. P2 15:59Hoffman: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Sobotka, McCabe, Ristolainen, Sheary, Thompson · FLA Yandle, Dadonov, Hoffman, Barkov, Ekblad

  48. P2 17:04Shot by Okposo, saved by Luongo5v4
  49. P2 17:18Shot by Sobotka, saved by Luongo5v4
  50. P2 17:33Shot by Thompson, saved by Luongo5v4
  51. P2 17:50Shot by Skinner, saved by Luongo5v4
  52. P2 18:32Shot by Ekblad, saved by Ullmark
  53. P2 0:00Period end
  54. P3 0:00Period start
  55. P3 1:20Goal by Reinhart (Pilut, Bogosian)+14 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Bogosian, Skinner, Reinhart, Rodrigues, Pilut · FLA Yandle, Dadonov, Hoffman, Ekblad, Borgstrom

  56. P3 3:45Shot by Barkov, saved by Ullmark
  57. P3 3:58Shot by Thompson, saved by Luongo
  58. P3 4:23Shot by Dadonov, saved by Ullmark
  59. P3 4:30Shot by Ekblad, saved by Ullmark
  60. P3 5:05Shot by Pilut, saved by Luongo
  61. P3 5:44Shot by Sheary, saved by Luongo
  62. P3 5:51Pysyk: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Sobotka, McCabe, Ristolainen, Sheary, Thompson · FLA Pysyk, Huberdeau, Matheson, Barkov, Vatrano

  63. P3 6:26Ekblad: Slashing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: BUF Okposo, Skinner, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Rodrigues · FLA Brouwer, Weegar, Lammikko, Kiselevich

  64. P3 7:16Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Luongo5v3
  65. P3 8:43Shot by Mittelstadt, saved by Luongo
  66. P3 8:49Shot by Bogosian, saved by Luongo
  67. P3 9:50Shot by Sceviour, saved by Ullmark
  68. P3 10:33Okposo: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Okposo, Scandella, Larsson, Smith, Dahlin · FLA Weegar, Hawryluk, Malgin, Borgstrom, Kiselevich

  69. P3 11:31Shot by Yandle, saved by Ullmark4v5
  70. P3 11:53Shot by Hoffman, saved by Ullmark4v5
  71. P3 12:11Shot by Huberdeau, saved by Ullmark4v5
  72. P3 12:15Goal by Hoffman (Barkov, Huberdeau)4v5+14 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Sobotka, Scandella, Ristolainen, Rodrigues · FLA Yandle, Dadonov, Hoffman, Huberdeau, Barkov

  73. P3 12:10Shot by Hoffman, saved by Ullmark4v5
  74. P3 12:49Shot by Sceviour, saved by Ullmark
  75. P3 12:57Shot by Malgin, saved by Ullmark
  76. P3 13:30Shot by Pominville, saved by Luongo
  77. P3 15:31Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Luongo
  78. P3 16:14Goal by Skinner, unassisted+8 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Bogosian, Skinner, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Rodrigues · FLA Yandle, Dadonov, Hoffman, Ekblad, Borgstrom

  79. P3 17:32Shot by Ekblad, saved by Ullmark5v6
  80. P3 18:29Shot by Yandle, saved by Ullmark5v6
  81. P3 18:31Goal by Barkov (Yandle, Ekblad)5v6+4 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Bogosian, Skinner, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Rodrigues · FLA Yandle, Dadonov, Hoffman, Huberdeau, Barkov, Ekblad

  82. P3 19:53Shot by Yandle, saved by Ullmark5v6
  83. P3 0:00Period end5v6
  84. P3 0:00Final5v6