Thu, Jan 3, 2019·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Florida Panthers 3, Buffalo Sabres 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 63% of the time.
56%
9%
28%
BUF winsFLA wins
Florida Panthers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 5 | 25:13 | 0.15 | 49.4% | +3.7 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 24:44 | 0.38 | 58.2% | +17.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 23:31 | 0.12 | 47.4% | +3.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 22:17 | 0.57 | 58.0% | +13.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 21:25 | 0.04 | 34.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 20:55 | 0.51 | 26.7% | +13.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 20:44 | 0.31 | 55.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:45 | 0.02 | 29.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:05 | 0.01 | 39.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 14:41 | 0.16 | 34.0% | +14.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 14:37 | 0.04 | 12.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 13:04 | 0.08 | 60.6% | +14.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 11:50 | 0.09 | 34.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:35 | 0.00 | 50.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10:58 | 0.13 | 37.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 10:20 | 0.00 | 81.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 8:49 | 0.00 | 14.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 8:05 | 0.00 | 23.9% | 0.0 |
| L | 33 | 29 | 4 | .879 | 2.41 | −1.6 | 57:22 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 28:20 | 0.58 | 39.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 24:01 | 0.11 | 39.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 20:27 | 0.22 | 46.1% | +12.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 20:17 | 0.13 | 62.4% | +14.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 19:21 | 0.00 | 70.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 18:15 | 0.81 | 66.7% | +29.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 17:25 | 0.44 | 71.0% | +22.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:21 | 0.04 | 72.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 16:00 | 0.08 | 77.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:43 | 0.03 | 80.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 15:26 | 0.22 | 47.0% | +12.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 15:07 | 0.33 | 46.0% | +12.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:14 | 0.07 | 54.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 2 | 14:13 | 0.05 | 68.6% | +14.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:20 | 0.23 | 54.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:48 | 0.01 | 35.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:01 | 0.00 | 42.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7:59 | 0.09 | 80.3% | 0.0 |
| W | 38 | 35 | 3 | .921 | 2.61 | −0.4 | 60:00 |