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Ice Lab

Fri, Jan 4, 2019·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit

Nashville Predators 3, Detroit Red Wings 4 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 78% of the time.

DET winsNSH wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:35Witkowski: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: DET Nyquist, Witkowski, Bertuzzi, Larkin, Cholowski · NSH Hamhuis, Bonino, Watson, Bitetto, Fiala

  3. P1 1:35Watson: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: DET Nyquist, Witkowski, Bertuzzi, Larkin, Cholowski · NSH Hamhuis, Bonino, Watson, Bitetto, Fiala

  4. P1 3:23Shot by Jensen, saved by Rinne
  5. P1 3:53Shot by Nielsen, saved by Rinne
  6. P1 3:58Shot by Vanek, saved by Rinne
  7. P1 4:42Shot by Hronek, saved by Rinne
  8. P1 6:30Shot by Larkin, saved by Rinne
  9. P1 8:07Shot by Cholowski, saved by Rinne
  10. P1 11:06Shot by Larkin, saved by Rinne
  11. P1 11:07Shot by Larkin, saved by Rinne
  12. P1 11:39Shot by Vanek, saved by Rinne
  13. P1 11:58Shot by Nielsen, saved by Rinne
  14. P1 13:29Shot by Ellis, saved by Howard
  15. P1 15:00Shot by Ekholm, saved by Howard
  16. P1 15:13Shot by Ekholm, saved by Howard
  17. P1 15:36Shot by Jensen, saved by Rinne
  18. P1 16:39Shot by Athanasiou, saved by Rinne
  19. P1 17:03Shot by Athanasiou, saved by Rinne
  20. P1 17:36Goal by Subban (Ekholm, Grimaldi)+20 pts WP

    On ice: DET Kronwall, Nyquist, Jensen, Bertuzzi, Larkin · NSH Subban, Ekholm, Jarnkrok, Grimaldi, Gaudreau

  21. P1 18:07Shot by Ekholm, saved by Howard
  22. P1 18:49Arvidsson: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: DET Ericsson, Helm, Glendening, Athanasiou, Hronek · NSH Josi, Ellis, Johansen, Di Giuseppe, Arvidsson

  23. P1 18:49Ericsson: Interference (2 min)5v4

    On ice: DET Ericsson, Helm, Glendening, Athanasiou, Hronek · NSH Josi, Ellis, Johansen, Di Giuseppe, Arvidsson

  24. P1 19:45Shot by Ekholm, saved by Howard4v4
  25. P1 19:58Shot by Mantha, saved by Rinne4v4
  26. P1 0:00Period end4v4
  27. P2 0:00Period start
  28. P2 0:45Shot by Josi, saved by Howard4v4
  29. P2 1:15Shot by Fiala, saved by Howard
  30. P2 2:11Shot by Helm, saved by Rinne
  31. P2 2:59Shot by Smith, saved by Howard
  32. P2 3:01Goal by Smith (Ellis, Josi)+15 pts WP

    On ice: DET Nielsen, Vanek, Jensen, Mantha, Cholowski · NSH Josi, Ellis, Smith, Jarnkrok, Hartman

  33. P2 3:26Shot by Di Giuseppe, saved by Howard
  34. P2 4:24Goal by Athanasiou (Hronek)+15 pts WP

    On ice: DET Kronwall, Helm, Athanasiou, de la Rose, Hronek · NSH Hamhuis, Bonino, Watson, Bitetto, Salomaki

  35. P2 4:42Shot by Jarnkrok, saved by Howard
  36. P2 5:56Shot by Mantha, saved by Rinne
  37. P2 6:56Shot by Kronwall, saved by Rinne
  38. P2 7:31Cholowski: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: DET Nielsen, Vanek, Jensen, Mantha, Cholowski · NSH Hamhuis, Bitetto, Grimaldi, Gaudreau, Fiala

  39. P2 8:20Shot by Johansen, saved by Howard4v5
  40. P2 8:50Shot by Glendening, saved by Rinne4v5
  41. P2 8:53Shot by Ericsson, saved by Rinne4v5
  42. P2 9:39Shot by Fiala, saved by Howard
  43. P2 10:19Shot by Larkin, saved by Rinne
  44. P2 11:53Shot by Glendening, saved by Rinne
  45. P2 12:03Shot by Glendening, saved by Rinne
  46. P2 12:17Shot by Helm, saved by Rinne
  47. P2 9:01Shot by Josi, saved by Howard4v5
  48. P2 13:35Goal by Vanek (Cholowski)+23 pts WP

    On ice: DET Nielsen, Vanek, Jensen, Mantha, Cholowski · NSH Subban, Ekholm, Smith, Jarnkrok, Hartman

  49. P2 15:39Hamhuis: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: DET Helm, Witkowski, Glendening, Hronek, Rasmussen · NSH Hamhuis, Bonino, Smith, Watson, Bitetto

  50. P2 15:55Shot by Jarnkrok, saved by Howard5v4
  51. P2 17:27Vanek: Interference (2 min)5v4

    On ice: DET Kronwall, Nielsen, Vanek, Nyquist, Larkin · NSH Bonino, Josi, Ellis, Hartman

  52. P2 18:34Shot by Subban, saved by Howard4v5
  53. P2 19:37Shot by Arvidsson, saved by Howard
  54. P2 0:00Period end
  55. P3 0:00Period start
  56. P3 1:26Shot by Nyquist, saved by Rinne
  57. P3 2:11Shot by Nielsen, saved by Rinne
  58. P3 2:57Shot by Watson, saved by Howard
  59. P3 3:08Shot by Hronek, saved by Rinne
  60. P3 4:25Shot by Nielsen, saved by Rinne
  61. P3 5:28Shot by Larkin, saved by Rinne
  62. P3 5:48Shot by Subban, saved by Howard
  63. P3 6:04Shot by Ekholm, saved by Howard
  64. P3 6:14Shot by Arvidsson, saved by Howard
  65. P3 6:16Shot by Di Giuseppe, saved by Howard
  66. P3 6:45Shot by Hronek, saved by Rinne
  67. P3 9:25Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Rinne
  68. P3 10:05Shot by Johansen, saved by Howard
  69. P3 11:28Shot by Cholowski, saved by Rinne
  70. P3 11:57Goal by Bertuzzi (Nyquist)+37 pts WP

    On ice: DET Ericsson, Nyquist, Bertuzzi, Larkin, Hronek · NSH Subban, Ekholm, Johansen, Grimaldi, Arvidsson

  71. P3 12:25Shot by Josi, saved by Howard
  72. P3 12:46Shot by Mantha, saved by Rinne
  73. P3 13:41Ericsson: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: DET Ericsson, Nyquist, Jensen, Bertuzzi, Larkin · NSH Josi, Ellis, Hartman, Gaudreau, Arvidsson

  74. P3 17:08Shot by Nielsen, saved by Rinne
  75. P3 17:39Shot by Helm, saved by Rinne
  76. P3 18:44Goal by Johansen (Jarnkrok)5v6+48 pts WP

    On ice: DET Kronwall, Nyquist, Jensen, Bertuzzi, Larkin · NSH Subban, Ekholm, Jarnkrok, Watson, Johansen, Arvidsson

  77. P3 18:55Shot by Gaudreau, saved by Howard
  78. P3 19:41Shot by Johansen, saved by Howard
  79. P3 19:45Shot by Hronek, saved by Rinne
  80. P3 0:00Period end
  81. OT 0:00Period start
  82. OT 0:28Shot by Arvidsson, saved by Howard3v3
  83. OT 0:51Johansen: Slashing (2 min)4v3

    On ice: DET Nyquist, Athanasiou, Larkin, Cholowski · NSH Josi, Johansen, Arvidsson

  84. OT 4:15Shot by Arvidsson, saved by Howard4v4
  85. OT 4:34Goal by Larkin (Hronek)4v4+53 pts WP

    On ice: DET Kronwall, Bertuzzi, Larkin, Cholowski · NSH Ellis, Ekholm, Grimaldi, Gaudreau

  86. OT 4:35Period end4v4
  87. OT 4:35Final4v4