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Ice Lab

Wed, Jan 16, 2019·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa

Colorado Avalanche 2, Ottawa Senators 5

Away

Colorado Avalanche

2

Final

Home

Ottawa Senators

5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 78% of the time.

OTT winsCOL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:59Shot by Ryan, saved by Varlamov
  3. P1 2:33Shot by Borowiecki, saved by Varlamov
  4. P1 2:41Shot by Smith, saved by Varlamov
  5. P1 2:47Shot by Paajarvi, saved by Varlamov
  6. P1 3:42Shot by Barrie, saved by Nilsson
  7. P1 4:36Shot by Girard, saved by Nilsson
  8. P1 5:07Shot by Dries, saved by Nilsson
  9. P1 6:29Shot by Stone, saved by Varlamov
  10. P1 6:30Shot by Balcers, saved by Varlamov
  11. P1 7:20Shot by Pageau, saved by Varlamov
  12. P1 8:13Shot by Barberio, saved by Nilsson
  13. P1 11:03Shot by Johnson, saved by Nilsson
  14. P1 11:45Shot by Dzingel, saved by Varlamov
  15. P1 11:43Shot by Dzingel, saved by Varlamov
  16. P1 12:06Shot by Boedker, saved by Varlamov
  17. P1 12:38Shot by Ryan, saved by Varlamov
  18. P1 12:56Jaros: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Smith, Borowiecki, Paajarvi, Pageau, Jaros · COL Cole, Barrie, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Rantanen

  19. P1 14:23Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Nilsson4v5
  20. P1 15:47Shot by Cole, saved by Nilsson
  21. P1 16:07Shot by Chabot, saved by Varlamov
  22. P1 18:16Shot by Ryan, saved by Varlamov
  23. P1 18:28Cole: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Ryan, Borowiecki, Dzingel, Jaros, Tkachuk · COL Cole, Barrie, Andrighetto, Jost, Dries

  24. P1 19:06Shot by Johnson, saved by Nilsson5v4
  25. P1 0:00Period end5v4
  26. P2 0:00Period start
  27. P2 1:12Shot by Pageau, saved by Varlamov
  28. P2 2:06Goal by Tkachuk (Tierney, Dzingel)+20 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Dzingel, DeMelo, Tierney, Chabot, Tkachuk · COL Soderberg, Johnson, Wilson, Barrie, Andrighetto

  29. P2 2:23Shot by Jost, saved by Nilsson
  30. P2 3:07Shot by Stone, saved by Varlamov
  31. P2 3:13Goal by Stone (Ceci)+14 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Stone, Ceci, Tierney, Wolanin, Tkachuk · COL Cole, Calvert, Barrie, Nieto, Kerfoot

  32. P2 4:07Barberio: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Paajarvi, Dzingel, Pageau, Ceci, Lajoie · COL Barberio, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Zadorov, Rantanen

  33. P2 6:27Shot by Dzingel, saved by Varlamov
  34. P2 6:31Shot by Wolanin, saved by Varlamov
  35. P2 7:48Shot by Barrie, saved by Nilsson
  36. P2 9:01Goal by Dzingel (Chabot, Duchene)+7 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Ryan, Duchene, Dzingel, DeMelo, Chabot · COL Johnson, Cole, Calvert, Kerfoot, Jost

  37. P2 9:45Shot by Johnson, saved by Nilsson
  38. P2 9:49Shot by Compher, saved by Nilsson
  39. P2 9:58Shot by Barrie, saved by Nilsson
  40. P2 11:15Shot by Barrie, saved by Nilsson
  41. P2 13:17Shot by Chabot, saved by Varlamov
  42. P2 15:37Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Nilsson
  43. P2 16:12Shot by Soderberg, saved by Nilsson
  44. P2 16:26Shot by Soderberg, saved by Nilsson
  45. P2 16:59Shot by Rantanen, saved by Nilsson
  46. P2 18:31Shot by Wilson, saved by Nilsson
  47. P2 18:53Goal by Zadorov (MacKinnon, Rantanen)+6 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Smith, Borowiecki, Paajarvi, Pageau, Jaros · COL Barrie, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Zadorov, Rantanen

  48. P2 19:53Varlamov: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Ryan, DeMelo, Tierney, Chabot, Tkachuk · COL Barberio, Barrie, Landeskog, Andrighetto, MacKinnon

  49. P2 0:00Period end5v4
  50. P3 0:00Period start
  51. P3 0:21Shot by Stone, saved by Varlamov5v4
  52. P3 0:30Shot by Chabot, saved by Varlamov5v4
  53. P3 2:31Shot by Landeskog, saved by Nilsson
  54. P3 4:12Shot by Chabot, saved by Varlamov
  55. P3 4:21Shot by Girard, saved by Nilsson
  56. P3 4:33Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Nilsson
  57. P3 4:48Shot by Paajarvi, saved by Varlamov
  58. P3 5:12Shot by Jaros, saved by Varlamov
  59. P3 6:17Shot by Nieto, saved by Nilsson
  60. P3 6:25Shot by Cole, saved by Nilsson
  61. P3 7:49Goal by Duchene (Smith)+4 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Smith, Borowiecki, Duchene, Stone, Jaros · COL Barberio, Landeskog, Compher, MacKinnon, Girard

  62. P3 8:49Shot by Johnson, saved by Nilsson
  63. P3 10:01Shot by Calvert, saved by Nilsson
  64. P3 10:52Shot by Landeskog, saved by Nilsson
  65. P3 11:43Shot by Compher, saved by Nilsson
  66. P3 13:27Shot by Chabot, saved by Varlamov
  67. P3 13:40Shot by Ceci, saved by Varlamov
  68. P3 14:57Shot by Jaros, saved by Varlamov
  69. P3 15:13Smith: Hooking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: OTT Smith, Borowiecki, Paajarvi, Pageau, Jaros · COL Johnson, Barrie, Landeskog, Compher, MacKinnon, Rantanen

  70. P3 16:01Goal by MacKinnon (Barrie, Rantanen)4v6+1 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Paajarvi, Pageau, Ceci, Lajoie · COL Barrie, Landeskog, Kerfoot, Compher, MacKinnon, Rantanen

  71. P3 16:13Jaros: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)5v6

    On ice: OTT Ryan, Borowiecki, Duchene, Dzingel, Jaros · COL Barrie, Landeskog, Kerfoot, Compher, MacKinnon, Rantanen

  72. P3 17:06Shot by Landeskog, saved by Nilsson4v6
  73. P3 17:27Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Nilsson4v6
  74. P3 18:58Goal by Duchene, unassisted5v60 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Borowiecki, Duchene, Stone, Pageau, Ceci · COL Barrie, Landeskog, Kerfoot, Compher, MacKinnon, Rantanen

  75. P3 0:00Period end
  76. P3 0:00Final