Wed, Jan 16, 2019·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa
Colorado Avalanche 2, Ottawa Senators 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 78% of the time.
71%
14%
OTT winsCOL wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
OTT forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against COL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Landeskog–MacKinnon–Rantanen | Soderberg–Wilson–Compher | Calvert–Nieto–Kerfoot | Andrighetto–Jost–Dries | Kerfoot–Andrighetto–Jost | Calvert–Nieto–Dries | Nieto–Kerfoot–Andrighetto | Soderberg–Calvert–Andrighetto | Nieto–Jost–Dries | Calvert–Jost–Dries | Johnson–Girard | Barrie–Zadorov | Cole–Barrie | Barberio–Zadorov | Barberio–Girard | Cole–Barberio | Johnson–Barrie | Johnson–Cole | Barrie–Girard | Cole–Zadorov | Johnson–Zadorov | Zadorov–Girard | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smith–Paajarvi–Pageau | 12:200.64–0.26 | 0:430.00–0.02 | 1:160.26–0.00 | 5:010.33–0.13 | 2:460.01–0.07 | 1:160.03–0.00 | 0:450.00–0.00 | 2:130.00–0.06 | ||||||||||||||
| Stone–Tierney–Tkachuk | 1:340.00–0.10 | 1:180.02–0.10 | 2:050.19–0.05 | 1:120.00–0.04 | 1:140.00–0.05 | 2:550.02–0.09 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 0:330.17–0.01 | 0:460.00–0.00 | 1:180.00–0.10 | 0:310.02–0.05 | |||||||||||
| Ryan–Duchene–Dzingel | 2:020.04–0.09 | 1:170.06–0.00 | 1:560.00–0.11 | 0:420.10–0.00 | 2:270.04–0.13 | 0:540.00–0.02 | 1:520.12–0.08 | 0:480.10–0.00 | 0:380.10–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Boedker–Duchene–Balcers | 1:140.00–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.01 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 1:200.00–0.01 | 0:380.00–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||||||
| Boedker–Tierney–Balcers | 0:350.00–0.00 | 1:000.00–0.18 | 0:470.00–0.11 | 0:350.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||||||||
| Boedker–Stone–Balcers | 0:310.00–0.00 | 0:360.13–0.00 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Boedker–Balcers–Tkachuk | 1:020.00–0.00 | 1:020.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Borowiecki–Jaros | 11:350.62–0.30 | 0:420.20–0.00 | 0:570.25–0.03 | 4:450.33–0.13 | 2:080.20–0.07 | 1:300.03–0.00 | 0:450.00–0.00 | 1:580.00–0.06 | ||||||||||||||
| Ceci–Lajoie | 1:310.00–0.06 | 3:100.02–0.10 | 1:090.14–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.04 | 1:220.00–0.05 | 0:470.00–0.00 | 3:000.15–0.09 | 1:220.00–0.08 | 1:060.00–0.01 | 0:370.00–0.00 | 0:500.00–0.00 | 1:250.00–0.10 | 0:440.14–0.00 | |||||||||
| DeMelo–Chabot | 1:240.01–0.02 | 1:590.04–0.23 | 2:050.09–0.05 | 0:490.00–0.01 | 0:540.00–0.01 | 0:420.10–0.00 | 2:530.04–0.05 | 1:140.01–0.01 | 0:590.12–0.02 | 1:410.10–0.20 | 0:460.10–0.01 | 0:310.02–0.05 | ||||||||||
| Ceci–Wolanin | 2:250.00–0.06 | 0:550.17–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 0:490.00–0.04 | 1:040.00–0.02 | 0:500.17–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 0:530.15–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Ceci–Chabot | 0:450.00–0.07 | 0:370.00–0.11 | 0:450.00–0.07 | 0:420.00–0.11 | ||||||||||||||||||
| DeMelo–Wolanin | 0:330.00–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||||||||
| Wolanin–Jaros | 0:550.00–0.00 | 0:550.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Chabot–Lajoie | 0:590.00–0.03 | 0:410.00–0.03 |
Every shift, one row per player.
OTTCOLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Tyson BarrieCOL | 21 | 25:21 | 1:12 | 4:15 | 6 | 1 |
 Nathan MacKinnonCOL | 21 | 23:48 | 1:08 | 4:15 | 7 | 2 |
 Gabriel LandeskogCOL | 20 | 23:28 | 1:10 | 4:15 | 6 | 2 |
 Cody CeciOTT | 29 | 23:23 | 0:48 | 1:30 | 1 | 5 |
 Mikko RantanenCOL | 20 | 23:23 | 1:10 | 4:15 | 6 | 2 |
 Erik JohnsonCOL | 25 | 21:59 | 0:53 | 2:50 | 7 | 5 |
 Jean-Gabriel PageauOTT | 24 | 21:33 | 0:54 | 2:00 | 2 | 6 |
 Nikita ZadorovCOL | 22 | 19:59 | 0:55 | 1:26 | 5 | 0 |
 Mark StoneOTT | 23 | 19:45 | 0:52 | 1:28 | 3 | 5 |
 Zack SmithOTT | 23 | 18:47 | 0:49 | 1:36 | 2 | 6 |
 Thomas ChabotOTT | 21 | 18:20 | 0:52 | 1:32 | 3 | 2 |
 Magnus PaajarviOTT | 24 | 18:03 | 0:45 | 1:47 | 2 | 6 |
 Carl SoderbergCOL | 21 | 17:53 | 0:51 | 1:19 | 3 | 2 |
 J.T. CompherCOL | 21 | 17:44 | 0:51 | 3:47 | 8 | 1 |
 Mark BorowieckiOTT | 24 | 17:16 | 0:43 | 1:52 | 2 | 7 |
 Chris TierneyOTT | 23 | 17:13 | 0:45 | 1:29 | 1 | 4 |
 Matt DucheneOTT | 23 | 16:55 | 0:44 | 1:33 | 3 | 3 |
 Samuel GirardCOL | 19 | 16:51 | 0:53 | 1:59 | 4 | 1 |
 Christian JarosOTT | 25 | 16:16 | 0:39 | 1:41 | 2 | 6 |
 Maxime LajoieOTT | 21 | 16:05 | 0:46 | 1:25 | 1 | 5 |
 Ian ColeCOL | 23 | 16:00 | 0:42 | 1:36 | 3 | 3 |
 Brady TkachukOTT | 18 | 15:20 | 0:51 | 1:25 | 2 | 1 |
 Mark BarberioCOL | 20 | 14:36 | 0:44 | 1:29 | 0 | 1 |
 Ryan DzingelOTT | 20 | 14:34 | 0:44 | 1:30 | 1 | 2 |
 Matt CalvertCOL | 15 | 13:52 | 0:55 | 1:37 | 1 | 1 |
 Matt NietoCOL | 18 | 13:44 | 0:46 | 1:44 | 1 | 2 |
 Bobby RyanOTT | 17 | 13:20 | 0:47 | 1:39 | 1 | 2 |
 Mikkel BoedkerOTT | 15 | 12:52 | 0:51 | 1:28 | 0 | 0 |
 Alexander KerfootCOL | 14 | 12:46 | 0:55 | 2:49 | 3 | 0 |
 Dylan DeMeloOTT | 21 | 12:26 | 0:36 | 1:05 | 1 | 4 |
 Christian WolaninOTT | 16 | 11:40 | 0:44 | 1:45 | 0 | 2 |
 Rudolfs BalcersOTT | 13 | 11:24 | 0:53 | 1:28 | 0 | 0 |
 Colin WilsonCOL | 16 | 10:22 | 0:39 | 0:59 | 6 | 1 |
 Sven AndrighettoCOL | 14 | 9:30 | 0:41 | 1:14 | 2 | 0 |
 Tyson JostCOL | 10 | 8:27 | 0:51 | 1:29 | 3 | 0 |
 Sheldon DriesCOL | 11 | 7:56 | 0:43 | 1:15 | 1 | 0 |