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Ice Lab

Wed, Jan 23, 2019·T-Mobile Arena, Paradise

Nashville Predators 2, Vegas Golden Knights 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Vegas Golden Knights win this game 78% of the time.

VGK winsNSH wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:28Shot by Tuch, saved by Saros
  3. P1 1:45Shot by Bellemare, saved by Saros
  4. P1 2:26Shot by Lindberg, saved by Saros
  5. P1 2:30Shot by Lindberg, saved by Saros
  6. P1 3:06Shot by Josi, saved by Fleury
  7. P1 3:24Shot by Marchessault, saved by Saros
  8. P1 5:38Shot by Nosek, saved by Saros
  9. P1 6:14Shot by Reaves, saved by Saros
  10. P1 7:59Shot by Tuch, saved by Saros
  11. P1 8:03Goal by Pacioretty (Tuch, Stastny)+15 pts WP

    On ice: VGK Stastny, Pacioretty, McNabb, Schmidt, Tuch · NSH Subban, Josi, Johansen, Forsberg, Arvidsson

  12. P1 9:52Shot by Josi, saved by Fleury
  13. P1 9:58Shot by Johansen, saved by Fleury
  14. P1 10:08Shot by Arvidsson, saved by Fleury
  15. P1 11:41Shot by Fiala, saved by Fleury
  16. P1 11:54Shot by Irwin, saved by Fleury
  17. P1 12:02Shot by Nosek, saved by Saros
  18. P1 12:45Shot by McNabb, saved by Saros
  19. P1 13:13Shot by Marchessault, saved by Saros
  20. P1 13:21Shot by Pirri, saved by Saros
  21. P1 13:27Shot by Merrill, saved by Saros
  22. P1 14:09Shot by Stastny, saved by Saros
  23. P1 15:41Shot by Arvidsson, saved by Fleury
  24. P1 15:42Shot by Arvidsson, saved by Fleury
  25. P1 16:23Merrill: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: VGK Reaves, Merrill, Miller, Bellemare, Nosek · NSH Hamhuis, Irwin, Johansen, Forsberg, Arvidsson

  26. P1 16:40Shot by McNabb, saved by Saros4v5
  27. P1 17:29Shot by Forsberg, saved by Fleury4v5
  28. P1 17:36Shot by Johansen, saved by Fleury4v5
  29. P1 18:53Shot by Arvidsson, saved by Fleury
  30. P1 19:00Shot by Eakin, saved by Saros
  31. P1 19:19Shot by Tuch, saved by Saros
  32. P1 19:43Shot by Ellis, saved by Fleury
  33. P1 19:45Shot by Jarnkrok, saved by Fleury
  34. P1 0:00Period end
  35. P2 0:00Period start
  36. P2 0:38Shot by Pirri, saved by Saros
  37. P2 0:50Shot by Josi, saved by Fleury
  38. P2 0:52Goal by Johansen, unassisted+19 pts WP

    On ice: VGK McNabb, Pirri, Karlsson, Marchessault, Schmidt · NSH Subban, Josi, Ekholm, Johansen, Forsberg

  39. P2 1:20Shot by Stastny, saved by Saros
  40. P2 2:28Shot by Subban, saved by Fleury
  41. P2 2:34Shot by Grimaldi, saved by Fleury
  42. P2 3:52Shot by Ellis, saved by Fleury
  43. P2 3:53Goal by Bonino (Watson, Ellis)+21 pts WP

    On ice: VGK Engelland, Pirri, Merrill, Karlsson, Marchessault · NSH Bonino, Ellis, Ekholm, Jarnkrok, Watson

  44. P2 4:19Subban: Holding the stick (2 min)

    On ice: VGK McNabb, Pirri, Karlsson, Marchessault, Schmidt · NSH Subban, Josi, Johansen, Forsberg, Arvidsson

  45. P2 5:02Shot by Karlsson, saved by Saros5v4
  46. P2 5:57Shot by Theodore, saved by Saros5v4
  47. P2 6:40Shot by Ekholm, saved by Fleury
  48. P2 7:13Shot by Eakin, saved by Saros
  49. P2 7:15Shot by Lindberg, saved by Saros
  50. P2 7:32Shot by Marchessault, saved by Saros
  51. P2 7:36Shot by Merrill, saved by Saros
  52. P2 7:40Shot by Marchessault, saved by Saros
  53. P2 10:46Shot by Smith, saved by Fleury
  54. P2 10:48Shot by Bonino, saved by Fleury
  55. P2 13:40Shot by Miller, saved by Saros
  56. P2 13:58Shot by Engelland, saved by Saros
  57. P2 13:59Shot by Nosek, saved by Saros
  58. P2 14:04Shot by Miller, saved by Saros
  59. P2 14:36Shot by Merrill, saved by Saros
  60. P2 14:38Merrill: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)

    On ice: VGK Eakin, Lindberg, Merrill, Miller, Carpenter · NSH Bonino, Ellis, Ekholm, Jarnkrok, Watson

  61. P2 15:47Shot by Smith, saved by Fleury4v5
  62. P2 16:36Shot by Karlsson, saved by Saros4v5
  63. P2 16:47Shot by Fiala, saved by Fleury
  64. P2 19:33Shot by Reaves, saved by Saros
  65. P2 19:33Reaves: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)

    On ice: VGK Reaves, McNabb, Schmidt, Bellemare, Nosek · NSH Subban, Ekholm, Smith, Sissons, Fiala

  66. P2 19:33Subban: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: VGK Reaves, McNabb, Schmidt, Bellemare, Nosek · NSH Subban, Ekholm, Smith, Sissons, Fiala

  67. P2 19:33Subban: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)

    On ice: VGK Reaves, McNabb, Schmidt, Bellemare, Nosek · NSH Subban, Ekholm, Smith, Sissons, Fiala

  68. P2 19:56Shot by Ellis, saved by Fleury5v4
  69. P2 0:00Period end5v4
  70. P3 0:00Period start
  71. P3 0:14Shot by Eakin, saved by Saros5v4
  72. P3 0:24Shot by Marchessault, saved by Saros5v4
  73. P3 1:30Shot by Pacioretty, saved by Saros5v4
  74. P3 2:35Shot by Nosek, saved by Saros
  75. P3 2:36Ellis: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: VGK Reaves, Merrill, Schmidt, Bellemare, Nosek · NSH Ellis, Ekholm, Smith, Sissons, Fiala

  76. P3 2:56Shot by Marchessault, saved by Saros5v4
  77. P3 6:20Shot by Bellemare, saved by Saros
  78. P3 8:11Shot by Marchessault, saved by Saros
  79. P3 8:12Shot by Marchessault, saved by Saros
  80. P3 8:55Shot by Carpenter, saved by Saros
  81. P3 11:19Shot by Grimaldi, saved by Fleury
  82. P3 11:31Grimaldi: Holding (2 min)6v5

    On ice: VGK Engelland, Stastny, Pacioretty, Theodore, Tuch · NSH Subban, Josi, Blackwell, Grimaldi, Hartman

  83. P3 12:40Shot by Theodore, saved by Saros5v4
  84. P3 12:45Pacioretty: Hooking (2 min)5v4

    On ice: VGK Pacioretty, Pirri, Schmidt, Theodore, Tuch · NSH Hamhuis, Ekholm, Johansen, Forsberg

  85. P3 13:18Shot by Merrill, saved by Saros4v4
  86. P3 13:21Ekholm: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)4v4

    On ice: VGK Stastny, Merrill, Theodore, Tuch · NSH Subban, Ekholm, Jarnkrok, Hartman

  87. P3 13:36Shot by Theodore, saved by Saros4v4
  88. P3 16:57Shot by Arvidsson, saved by Fleury
  89. P3 18:47Shot by Marchessault, saved by Saros6v5
  90. P3 19:35Shot by Miller, saved by Saros6v5
  91. P3 0:00Period end6v5
  92. P3 0:00Final6v5