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Ice Lab

Wed, Jan 23, 2019·T-Mobile Arena, Paradise

Nashville Predators 2, Vegas Golden Knights 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Vegas Golden Knights win this game 78% of the time.

VGK winsNSH wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

VGK forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against NSH's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Johansen–Forsberg–ArvidssonSmith–Sissons–FialaBonino–Jarnkrok–WatsonBlackwell–Grimaldi–HartmanSmith–Johansen–FialaBonino–Smith–ForsbergEllis–EkholmSubban–JosiHamhuis–IrwinHamhuis–EkholmJosi–Ellis
Reaves–Bellemare–Nosek1:530.00–0.190:560.48–0.000:390.02–0.054:080.22–0.030:470.09–0.002:300.22–0.075:290.16–0.21
Stastny–Pacioretty–Tuch1:100.17–0.023:420.16–0.011:050.03–0.001:450.03–0.035:520.13–0.020:560.17–0.031:060.01–0.001:040.08–0.00
Eakin–Lindberg–Carpenter2:220.04–0.032:110.21–0.022:340.16–0.000:510.00–0.402:280.36–0.103:320.05–0.081:050.00–0.290:350.00–0.03
Pirri–Karlsson–Marchessault3:350.12–0.081:000.32–0.002:380.09–0.282:000.01–0.285:230.20–0.08
Pacioretty–Eakin–Tuch0:530.00–0.000:460.00–0.321:210.23–0.05
Merrill–Miller1:060.00–0.182:420.06–0.023:250.26–0.003:250.03–0.055:030.27–0.102:210.09–0.034:070.02–0.481:040.08–0.00
Engelland–Theodore0:470.00–0.003:550.70–0.012:380.01–0.052:070.12–0.011:000.09–0.135:080.10–0.372:580.30–0.052:180.44–0.021:060.07–0.00
McNabb–Schmidt7:330.34–0.171:190.30–0.001:030.03–0.000:450.07–0.003:550.25–0.044:440.33–0.142:010.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndKarlsson FPirri FMarchessault FStastny FTuch FPacioretty FBellemare FReaves FNosek FEakin FLindberg FCarpenter FMcNabb DSchmidt DMiller DMerrill DEngelland DTheodore DFleury GForsberg FArvidsson FJohansen FBonino FJarnkrok FWatson FSissons FSmith FFiala FHartman FBlackwell FGrimaldi FJosi DSubban DEllis DEkholm DHamhuis DIrwin DSaros G
VGKNSHFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Mattias EkholmNSH3126:410:522:3026
Ryan EllisNSH3124:100:472:3008
Colin MillerVGK2724:050:542:4873
Roman JosiNSH2922:470:472:15611
Ryan JohansenNSH2621:210:492:3064
Nate SchmidtVGK2720:400:461:3814
Alex TuchVGK2020:141:012:3041
Shea TheodoreVGK2020:071:002:0952
Max PaciorettyVGK1920:031:032:3041
Viktor ArvidssonNSH2419:190:481:4663
Paul StastnyVGK2019:120:582:3054
Nick BoninoNSH2818:010:391:18212
William KarlssonVGK2117:390:501:3172
Jonathan MarchessaultVGK1917:360:563:0172
Filip ForsbergNSH2317:110:451:3471
P.K. SubbanNSH2717:010:381:2368
Jon MerrillVGK2416:590:421:2842
Dan HamhuisNSH2216:390:451:2844
Deryk EngellandVGK1816:360:551:3834
Cody EakinVGK1916:340:521:2892
Colton SissonsNSH2315:560:421:3126
Brayden McNabbVGK2215:450:431:3806
Brandon PirriVGK1815:350:521:3171
Calle JarnkrokNSH2314:010:371:1228
Craig SmithNSH1813:520:461:3125
Austin WatsonNSH2213:480:381:1117
Pierre-Edouard BellemareVGK1512:480:511:3324
Kevin FialaNSH1812:410:421:2425
Tomas NosekVGK1512:030:481:2024
Matt IrwinNSH1611:030:411:0640
Ryan ReavesVGK1310:220:481:2322
Oscar LindbergVGK1410:130:441:1461
Ryan CarpenterVGK129:590:501:0842
Ryan HartmanNSH149:530:421:0932
Rocco GrimaldiNSH127:520:391:0620
Colin BlackwellNSH127:440:391:0622