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Ice Lab

Tue, Feb 5, 2019·KeyBank Center, Buffalo

Minnesota Wild 4, Buffalo Sabres 5 (SO)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Minnesota Wild win this game 67% of the time.

BUF winsMIN wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:49Shot by Pilut, saved by Dubnyk
  3. P1 2:56Hendricks: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Sobotka, Girgensons, Ristolainen, Thompson, Dahlin · MIN Hendricks, Pateryn, Foligno, Rau, Brodin

  4. P1 3:09Shot by Eichel, saved by Dubnyk5v4
  5. P1 3:30Shot by Eichel, saved by Dubnyk5v4
  6. P1 4:31Goal by Rodrigues (Ristolainen, Eichel)5v4+15 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Okposo, Ristolainen, Sheary, Eichel, Rodrigues · MIN Pateryn, Coyle, Granlund, Brodin

  7. P1 7:04Shot by Koivu, saved by Ullmark
  8. P1 7:25Shot by Skinner, saved by Dubnyk
  9. P1 8:05Shot by Staal, saved by Ullmark
  10. P1 10:30Shot by Parise, saved by Ullmark
  11. P1 11:01Shot by Thompson, saved by Dubnyk
  12. P1 11:53Shot by Pominville, saved by Dubnyk
  13. P1 13:34Shot by Parise, saved by Ullmark
  14. P1 14:11Shot by Foligno, saved by Ullmark
  15. P1 14:53Shot by Zucker, saved by Ullmark
  16. P1 15:15Shot by Granlund, saved by Ullmark
  17. P1 15:59Shot by Rau, saved by Ullmark
  18. P1 16:35Shot by Sheary, saved by Dubnyk
  19. P1 17:03Shot by Eichel, saved by Dubnyk
  20. P1 17:29Shot by Zucker, saved by Ullmark
  21. P1 17:51Shot by Girgensons, saved by Dubnyk
  22. P1 18:36Reinhart: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF McCabe, Reinhart, Rodrigues, Smith, Dahlin · MIN Pateryn, Foligno, Rask, Brodin, Greenway

  23. P1 19:45Shot by Eichel, saved by Dubnyk4v5
  24. P1 19:59Shot by Suter, saved by Ullmark4v5
  25. P1 0:00Period end4v5
  26. P2 0:00Period start
  27. P2 0:31Shot by Staal, saved by Ullmark4v5
  28. P2 0:37Shot by Hunt, saved by Ullmark
  29. P2 1:08Shot by Coyle, saved by Ullmark
  30. P2 1:23Dahlin: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Okposo, Ristolainen, Sheary, Eichel, Dahlin · MIN Parise, Pateryn, Coyle, Brodin, Kunin

  31. P2 2:02Shot by Greenway, saved by Ullmark4v5
  32. P2 3:25Shot by Granlund, saved by Ullmark
  33. P2 3:32Shot by Granlund, saved by Ullmark
  34. P2 3:47Shot by Zucker, saved by Ullmark
  35. P2 3:50Shot by Granlund, saved by Ullmark
  36. P2 4:11Shot by Smith, saved by Dubnyk
  37. P2 6:03Shot by Spurgeon, saved by Ullmark
  38. P2 6:29Goal by Spurgeon (Granlund, Zucker)+21 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Sobotka, Bogosian, Girgensons, Thompson, Pilut · MIN Staal, Suter, Spurgeon, Zucker, Granlund

  39. P2 7:12Shot by Reinhart, saved by Dubnyk
  40. P2 7:32Goal by Smith (Reinhart)+22 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Scandella, Reinhart, Rodrigues, Smith, Dahlin · MIN Pateryn, Bitetto, Rask, Greenway, Kunin

  41. P2 9:59Shot by Thompson, saved by Dubnyk
  42. P2 10:24Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Dubnyk
  43. P2 10:25Brodin: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Bogosian, Reinhart, Rodrigues, Smith, Pilut · MIN Staal, Pateryn, Zucker, Granlund, Brodin

  44. P2 11:25Shot by Eichel, saved by Dubnyk5v4
  45. P2 11:33Goal by Dahlin (Eichel, Mittelstadt)5v4+14 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Skinner, Reinhart, Eichel, Mittelstadt, Dahlin · MIN Suter, Parise, Spurgeon, Kunin

  46. P2 13:43Goal by Spurgeon (Kunin, Suter)+14 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Ristolainen, Reinhart, Rodrigues, Smith, Dahlin · MIN Suter, Parise, Spurgeon, Coyle, Kunin

  47. P2 14:59Shot by Bitetto, saved by Ullmark
  48. P2 15:17Shot by Hunt, saved by Ullmark
  49. P2 15:38Shot by Suter, saved by Ullmark
  50. P2 17:01Shot by Pateryn, saved by Ullmark
  51. P2 17:03Shot by Kunin, saved by Ullmark
  52. P2 17:05Goal by Coyle (Kunin, Pateryn)+26 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Bogosian, Reinhart, Rodrigues, Smith, Pilut · MIN Parise, Pateryn, Coyle, Brodin, Kunin

  53. P2 17:55Shot by Eichel, saved by Dubnyk
  54. P2 18:07Shot by Coyle, saved by Ullmark
  55. P2 18:18Shot by Skinner, saved by Dubnyk
  56. P2 19:09Shot by Parise, saved by Ullmark
  57. P2 19:38Shot by Sobotka, saved by Dubnyk
  58. P2 19:57Shot by Scandella, saved by Dubnyk
  59. P2 0:00Period end
  60. P3 0:00Period start
  61. P3 0:36Shot by Eichel, saved by Dubnyk
  62. P3 0:41Shot by Dahlin, saved by Dubnyk
  63. P3 1:54Shot by Rask, saved by Ullmark
  64. P3 2:06Shot by Smith, saved by Dubnyk
  65. P3 2:08Shot by Pilut, saved by Dubnyk
  66. P3 3:27Shot by Parise, saved by Ullmark
  67. P3 6:25Goal by Reinhart (McCabe)+32 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Scandella, McCabe, Sheary, Reinhart, Eichel · MIN Staal, Parise, Pateryn, Foligno, Brodin

  68. P3 6:44Shot by Scandella, saved by Dubnyk
  69. P3 6:52Shot by Mittelstadt, saved by Dubnyk
  70. P3 7:02Shot by Mittelstadt, saved by Dubnyk
  71. P3 7:06Shot by Skinner, saved by Dubnyk
  72. P3 7:22Shot by Skinner, saved by Dubnyk
  73. P3 8:48Shot by Kunin, saved by Ullmark
  74. P3 10:07Shot by Brodin, saved by Ullmark
  75. P3 10:15Shot by Pateryn, saved by Ullmark
  76. P3 10:34Shot by Coyle, saved by Ullmark
  77. P3 10:42Shot by Parise, saved by Ullmark
  78. P3 11:01Shot by Eichel, saved by Dubnyk
  79. P3 11:38Shot by Greenway, saved by Ullmark
  80. P3 15:01Thompson: Holding (2 min)5v6

    On ice: BUF Sobotka, Scandella, Girgensons, McCabe, Thompson · MIN Staal, Suter, Parise, Spurgeon, Granlund, Rask

  81. P3 16:40Shot by Greenway, saved by Ullmark4v5
  82. P3 16:50Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Dubnyk4v5
  83. P3 17:40Shot by Brodin, saved by Ullmark
  84. P3 18:01Shot by Granlund, saved by Ullmark5v6
  85. P3 18:20Shot by Parise, saved by Ullmark5v6
  86. P3 18:23Goal by Parise (Coyle, Suter)5v6+47 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Sobotka, Bogosian, Girgensons, McCabe, Eichel · MIN Staal, Suter, Parise, Spurgeon, Coyle, Granlund

  87. P3 0:00Period end
  88. OT 0:00Period start
  89. OT 0:45Shot by Dahlin, saved by Dubnyk3v3
  90. OT 1:13Shot by Parise, saved by Ullmark3v3
  91. OT 1:19Shot by Parise, saved by Ullmark3v3
  92. OT 1:25Shot by Parise, saved by Ullmark3v3
  93. OT 1:34Shot by Mittelstadt, saved by Dubnyk3v3
  94. OT 3:11Shot by Eichel, saved by Dubnyk3v3
  95. OT 4:42Shot by Reinhart, saved by Dubnyk3v3
  96. OT 4:59Shot by Skinner, saved by Dubnyk3v3
  97. OT 5:00Period end3v3
  98. SO Period start
  99. SO Shot by Zucker, saved by Ullmarkother
  100. SO Goal by Reinhart, unassistedother
  101. SO Period end
  102. SO Final