Tue, Feb 5, 2019·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Minnesota Wild 4, Buffalo Sabres 5 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Minnesota Wild win this game 67% of the time.
26%
9%
58%
BUF winsMIN wins
Minnesota Wild
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 2 | 30:10 | 0.08 | 62.0% | +61.4 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +3 | 3 | 27:30 | 0.23 | 50.1% | +35.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23:50 | 0.21 | 61.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 5 | 23:32 | 0.40 | 63.8% | +21.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 10 | 22:00 | 1.02 | 59.9% | +47.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 21:12 | 0.25 | 54.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 20:39 | 0.20 | 61.0% | +21.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 18:49 | 0.10 | 63.5% | +25.8 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 4 | 18:31 | 0.42 | 81.3% | +72.9 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 18:28 | 0.12 | 68.9% | +40.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 17:14 | 0.19 | 40.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:11 | 0.02 | 27.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:58 | 0.09 | 32.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:08 | 0.07 | 48.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:05 | 0.02 | 31.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:56 | 0.00 | 45.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5:53 | 0.17 | 60.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3:00 | 0.01 | 53.2% | 0.0 |
| O | 39 | 35 | 4 | .897 | 2.63 | −1.4 | 64:11 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 25:57 | 0.58 | 50.6% | +28.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 25:01 | 0.14 | 55.8% | +14.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 24:29 | 0.03 | 36.6% | +14.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 22:55 | 0.00 | 53.0% | +31.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 0 | 20:12 | 0.00 | 35.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 18:18 | 0.02 | 43.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 18:04 | 0.14 | 31.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 17:54 | 0.75 | 53.2% | +53.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 17:40 | 0.03 | 29.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16:10 | 0.37 | 49.5% | +14.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 16:00 | 0.02 | 66.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 15:20 | 0.15 | 38.1% | +14.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 15:07 | 0.03 | 29.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:03 | 0.00 | 40.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:12 | 0.03 | 25.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 11:37 | 0.05 | 34.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 9:44 | 0.20 | 40.0% | +21.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 9:17 | 0.08 | 19.4% | 0.0 |
| W | 45 | 41 | 4 | .911 | 3.61 | −0.4 | 65:00 |