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Ice Lab

Wed, Feb 6, 2019·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Ottawa Senators 4, Toronto Maple Leafs 5

Away

Ottawa Senators

4

Final

Home

Toronto Maple Leafs

5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 65% of the time.

TOR winsOTT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:27Shot by Matthews, saved by Anderson
  3. P1 1:42Shot by Marleau, saved by Anderson
  4. P1 1:51Shot by Hainsey, saved by Anderson
  5. P1 2:49Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Andersen
  6. P1 5:01Shot by Muzzin, saved by Anderson
  7. P1 6:43Shot by Nylander, saved by Anderson
  8. P1 6:48Shot by Kadri, saved by Anderson
  9. P1 7:46Goal by Hyman (Marner, Tavares)+15 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Muzzin, Tavares, Hyman, Rielly, Marner · OTT Ryan, Duchene, Dzingel, DeMelo, Chabot

  10. P1 10:32Shot by Dermott, saved by Anderson
  11. P1 10:39Shot by Pageau, saved by Andersen
  12. P1 10:43Shot by Pageau, saved by Andersen
  13. P1 10:45Shot by Smith, saved by Andersen
  14. P1 10:58Shot by DeMelo, saved by Andersen
  15. P1 11:18Shot by Hyman, saved by Anderson
  16. P1 13:42Shot by Tavares, saved by Anderson
  17. P1 14:37Shot by Balcers, saved by Andersen
  18. P1 15:03Shot by Duchene, saved by Andersen
  19. P1 15:09Shot by DeMelo, saved by Andersen
  20. P1 15:25Shot by Marner, saved by Anderson
  21. P1 16:23Shot by Lajoie, saved by Andersen
  22. P1 17:18Goal by Paajarvi (Pageau, Lajoie)+18 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Gardiner, Kadri, Brown, Nylander, Zaitsev · OTT Smith, Borowiecki, Paajarvi, Pageau, Harpur

  23. P1 18:11Shot by Paajarvi, saved by Andersen
  24. P1 0:00Period end
  25. P2 0:00Period start
  26. P2 0:52Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Andersen
  27. P2 1:33Shot by Ryan, saved by Andersen
  28. P2 1:35Goal by Duchene (Dzingel, Ryan)+20 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Marleau, Gardiner, Kapanen, Matthews, Zaitsev · OTT Ryan, Duchene, Dzingel, DeMelo, Chabot

  29. P2 3:47Shot by Gauthier, saved by Anderson
  30. P2 4:51Shot by Borowiecki, saved by Andersen
  31. P2 5:40Shot by Ryan, saved by Andersen
  32. P2 5:45Shot by Ceci, saved by Andersen
  33. P2 5:48Gardiner: High sticking double minor (4 min)

    On ice: TOR Gardiner, Kadri, Brown, Nylander, Zaitsev · OTT Smith, Paajarvi, Pageau, Ceci, Lajoie

  34. P2 6:21Shot by Chabot, saved by Andersen4v5
  35. P2 8:06Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Andersen4v5
  36. P2 8:37Shot by Dzingel, saved by Andersen4v5
  37. P2 9:25Shot by Ryan, saved by Andersen4v5
  38. P2 9:30Shot by Lindholm, saved by Anderson4v5
  39. P2 9:32Shot by Rielly, saved by Anderson4v5
  40. P2 9:56Shot by Smith, saved by Andersen
  41. P2 11:46Shot by Stone, saved by Andersen
  42. P2 12:21Shot by Marner, saved by Anderson
  43. P2 12:28Shot by Hyman, saved by Anderson
  44. P2 12:55Shot by Paajarvi, saved by Andersen
  45. P2 13:32Shot by Ceci, saved by Andersen
  46. P2 14:20Goal by Johnsson (Gauthier)+23 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Muzzin, Johnsson, Gauthier, Dermott, Lindholm · OTT Ryan, Dzingel, Ceci, Tierney, Lajoie

  47. P2 16:02Shot by Tavares, saved by Anderson
  48. P2 16:29Goal by Matthews, unassisted+26 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Marleau, Gardiner, Kapanen, Matthews, Zaitsev · OTT Smith, Borowiecki, Paajarvi, Pageau, Harpur

  49. P2 16:35Shot by Ceci, saved by Andersen
  50. P2 18:20Goal by Tavares (Marner, Kapanen)+15 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Hainsey, Tavares, Kapanen, Dermott, Marner · OTT Duchene, Stone, Dzingel, Harpur, Chabot

  51. P2 18:45Shot by Hyman, saved by Anderson
  52. P2 18:59Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Andersen
  53. P2 19:16Shot by Kadri, saved by Anderson
  54. P2 19:23Shot by Zaitsev, saved by Anderson
  55. P2 0:00Period end
  56. P3 0:00Period start
  57. P3 0:40Goal by Chabot (Tkachuk, Stone)+14 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Muzzin, Tavares, Hyman, Rielly, Marner · OTT Stone, Harpur, White, Chabot, Tkachuk

  58. P3 1:38Shot by Dzingel, saved by Andersen
  59. P3 1:39Shot by Dzingel, saved by Andersen
  60. P3 1:40Shot by Dzingel, saved by Andersen
  61. P3 1:49Shot by Stone, saved by Andersen
  62. P3 3:59Goal by Paajarvi (Smith, Pageau)+30 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Marleau, Muzzin, Rielly, Kapanen, Matthews · OTT Smith, Paajarvi, Pageau, Ceci, Lajoie

  63. P3 4:55Shot by Tavares, saved by Anderson
  64. P3 8:05Shot by Kadri, saved by Anderson
  65. P3 9:12Goal by Rielly (Hyman)+34 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Muzzin, Tavares, Hyman, Rielly, Marner · OTT Ryan, Duchene, Dzingel, DeMelo, Chabot

  66. P3 9:54Shot by Borowiecki, saved by Andersen
  67. P3 10:37Shot by DeMelo, saved by Andersen
  68. P3 10:39Shot by Borowiecki, saved by Andersen
  69. P3 10:49Shot by Tierney, saved by Andersen
  70. P3 11:16Borowiecki: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Gardiner, Kadri, Hyman, Nylander, Zaitsev · OTT Borowiecki, DeMelo, Tierney, Rodewald, Balcers

  71. P3 12:32Shot by Marner, saved by Anderson5v4
  72. P3 13:09Shot by Muzzin, saved by Anderson5v4
  73. P3 13:16Shot by Hainsey, saved by Anderson5v4
  74. P3 14:59Shot by Borowiecki, saved by Andersen
  75. P3 15:21Shot by Muzzin, saved by Anderson
  76. P3 16:04Shot by Paajarvi, saved by Andersen
  77. P3 16:56Shot by Ryan, saved by Andersen
  78. P3 17:45Shot by White, saved by Andersen
  79. P3 19:11Shot by Duchene, saved by Andersen5v6
  80. P3 19:21Shot by DeMelo, saved by Andersen5v6
  81. P3 19:52Shot by Dzingel, saved by Andersen5v6
  82. P3 0:00Period end5v6
  83. P3 0:00Final