Sat, Feb 9, 2019·Centre Bell, Montreal
Toronto Maple Leafs 4, Montréal Canadiens 3 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 51% of the time.
40%
9%
10%
41%
MTL winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 24:51 | 0.03 | 57.5% | +64.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 22:08 | 0.15 | 60.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:47 | 0.01 | 45.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20:02 | 0.02 | 61.0% | +17.6 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 19:48 | 0.17 | 55.9% | +80.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:41 | 0.07 | 45.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 19:11 | 0.00 | 34.2% | +46.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 17:16 | 0.21 | 56.8% | +13.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 16:41 | 0.36 | 67.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 16:03 | 0.13 | 67.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:51 | 0.16 | 12.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 7 | 14:46 | 0.35 | 57.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 13:41 | 0.11 | 16.8% | +33.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:20 | 0.05 | 69.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 1 | 13:01 | 0.31 | 50.7% | +47.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:37 | 0.05 | 44.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 10:59 | 0.17 | 92.6% | +17.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 8:22 | 0.02 | 96.0% | 0.0 |
| W | 38 | 35 | 3 | .921 | 2.38 | −0.6 | 62:17 |
Montréal Canadiens
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 25:32 | 0.17 | 28.0% | +20.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 24:15 | 0.04 | 43.7% | +13.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 21:29 | 0.22 | 73.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19:51 | 0.15 | 62.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 19:27 | 0.20 | 44.6% | +20.1 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 19:11 | 0.21 | 54.7% | +45.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 18:59 | 0.01 | 40.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 18:50 | 0.06 | 34.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:23 | 0.01 | 61.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 17:52 | 0.23 | 35.1% | +45.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:48 | 0.05 | 40.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 16:16 | 0.48 | 62.3% | +31.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 15:12 | 0.26 | 55.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:09 | 0.30 | 79.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:53 | 0.02 | 75.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 8:07 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 7:53 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 5:53 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| O | 32 | 28 | 4 | .875 | 2.37 | −1.6 | 62:09 |