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Ice Lab

Tue, Feb 12, 2019·Pepsi Center, Denver

Toronto Maple Leafs 5, Colorado Avalanche 2

Away

Toronto Maple Leafs

5

Final

Home

Colorado Avalanche

2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Colorado Avalanche win this game 56% of the time.

COL winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:28Shot by Kapanen, saved by Varlamov
  3. P1 1:25Shot by Soderberg, saved by Andersen
  4. P1 1:58Shot by Girard, saved by Andersen
  5. P1 2:22Shot by Barrie, saved by Andersen
  6. P1 2:33Shot by Nemeth, saved by Andersen
  7. P1 3:17Goal by Kapanen (Matthews)+17 pts WP

    On ice: COL Johnson, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Rantanen, Girard · TOR Marleau, Muzzin, Rielly, Kapanen, Matthews

  8. P1 4:35Shot by Barrie, saved by Andersen
  9. P1 5:31Shot by Johnson, saved by Andersen
  10. P1 5:45Shot by Kadri, saved by Varlamov
  11. P1 8:30Shot by Kapanen, saved by Varlamov
  12. P1 8:52Shot by Johnson, saved by Andersen
  13. P1 10:07Shot by Brown, saved by Varlamov
  14. P1 10:34Shot by Calvert, saved by Andersen
  15. P1 10:34Shot by Nieto, saved by Andersen
  16. P1 10:41Shot by Nieto, saved by Andersen
  17. P1 10:41Shot by Soderberg, saved by Andersen
  18. P1 10:45Shot by Johnson, saved by Andersen
  19. P1 10:52Shot by Zadorov, saved by Andersen
  20. P1 11:49Shot by Matthews, saved by Varlamov
  21. P1 12:09Shot by Nemeth, saved by Andersen
  22. P1 12:09Kapanen: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: COL Nemeth, Landeskog, Rantanen, Girard, Dries · TOR Gardiner, Kadri, Johnsson, Kapanen, Zaitsev

  23. P1 14:00Shot by Lindholm, saved by Varlamov5v4
  24. P1 15:16Goal by Graves (Kerfoot, Girard)+19 pts WP

    On ice: COL Kerfoot, Graves, Compher, Zadorov, Jost · TOR Marleau, Rielly, Kapanen, Dermott, Matthews

  25. P1 15:39Shot by Muzzin, saved by Varlamov
  26. P1 15:39Greer: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: COL Johnson, Kerfoot, Zadorov, Greer, Jost · TOR Muzzin, Kadri, Rielly, Johnsson, Nylander

  27. P1 16:22Shot by Soderberg, saved by Andersen4v5
  28. P1 16:23Shot by Soderberg, saved by Andersen4v5
  29. P1 17:08Shot by Gardiner, saved by Varlamov4v5
  30. P1 0:00Period end
  31. P2 0:00Period start
  32. P2 0:51Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Andersen
  33. P2 1:21Shot by Rielly, saved by Varlamov
  34. P2 3:56Shot by Matthews, saved by Varlamov
  35. P2 4:30Barrie: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: COL Barrie, Nemeth, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Rantanen · TOR Muzzin, Tavares, Hyman, Kapanen, Zaitsev

  36. P2 5:03Shot by Tavares, saved by Varlamov4v5
  37. P2 5:10Shot by Tavares, saved by Varlamov4v5
  38. P2 5:19Goal by Matthews (Tavares, Marner)4v5+20 pts WP

    On ice: COL Soderberg, Johnson, Calvert, Zadorov · TOR Tavares, Kadri, Rielly, Marner, Matthews

  39. P2 6:19Compher: High sticking double minor (4 min)

    On ice: COL Johnson, Landeskog, Compher, MacKinnon, Zadorov · TOR Marleau, Gardiner, Tavares, Hyman, Dermott

  40. P2 6:46Goal by Kadri (Tavares, Matthews)4v5+15 pts WP

    On ice: COL Soderberg, Johnson, Calvert, Nemeth · TOR Tavares, Kadri, Rielly, Marner, Matthews

  41. P2 6:52Shot by Graves, saved by Andersen4v5
  42. P2 7:08Shot by Nylander, saved by Varlamov4v5
  43. P2 7:08Goal by Kapanen (Marleau)4v5+8 pts WP

    On ice: COL Nieto, Graves, Zadorov, Dries · TOR Marleau, Gardiner, Johnsson, Nylander, Kapanen

  44. P2 8:14Shot by Nieto, saved by Andersen
  45. P2 8:40Shot by Calvert, saved by Andersen
  46. P2 8:49Shot by Soderberg, saved by Andersen
  47. P2 11:27Shot by Graves, saved by Andersen
  48. P2 12:44Shot by Nieto, saved by Andersen
  49. P2 13:27Shot by Gauthier, saved by Grubauer
  50. P2 13:28Shot by Lindholm, saved by Grubauer
  51. P2 15:22Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Andersen
  52. P2 16:33Shot by Nylander, saved by Grubauer
  53. P2 16:33Zadorov: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: COL Soderberg, Barrie, Nieto, Compher, Zadorov · TOR Gardiner, Kadri, Johnsson, Nylander, Dermott

  54. P2 18:02Shot by Gardiner, saved by Grubauer4v5
  55. P2 18:59Shot by Johnson, saved by Andersen
  56. P2 19:43Shot by Barrie, saved by Andersen
  57. P2 0:00Period end
  58. P3 0:00Period start
  59. P3 0:07Shot by Matthews, saved by Grubauer
  60. P3 0:47Shot by Rielly, saved by Grubauer
  61. P3 1:24Shot by Nieto, saved by Andersen
  62. P3 1:38Shot by Nylander, saved by Grubauer
  63. P3 5:42Goal by Kadri (Nylander, Johnsson)+1 pts WP

    On ice: COL Barrie, Kerfoot, Graves, Compher, Jost · TOR Muzzin, Kadri, Johnsson, Nylander, Zaitsev

  64. P3 6:08Dermott: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: COL Nemeth, Andrighetto, Zadorov, Greer, Dries · TOR Gardiner, Brown, Gauthier, Dermott, Lindholm

  65. P3 7:54Shot by Soderberg, saved by Andersen5v4
  66. P3 8:14Goal by Kerfoot (Girard)+1 pts WP

    On ice: COL Soderberg, Kerfoot, Andrighetto, Jost, Girard · TOR Hainsey, Hyman, Dermott, Marner, Zaitsev

  67. P3 9:35Gauthier: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: COL Barrie, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Zadorov, Rantanen · TOR Hainsey, Kadri, Rielly, Brown, Nylander

  68. P3 9:51Shot by Girard, saved by Andersen5v4
  69. P3 10:49Shot by Soderberg, saved by Andersen5v4
  70. P3 11:04Shot by Barrie, saved by Andersen5v4
  71. P3 12:19Shot by Nylander, saved by Grubauer
  72. P3 13:15Shot by Zadorov, saved by Andersen
  73. P3 15:24Shot by Muzzin, saved by Grubauer
  74. P3 16:16Shot by Compher, saved by Andersen
  75. P3 16:50Shot by Jost, saved by Andersen
  76. P3 18:32Shot by Nylander, saved by Grubauer
  77. P3 19:41Andrighetto: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: COL Nemeth, Andrighetto, Zadorov, Greer, Dries · TOR Hainsey, Kadri, Rielly, Johnsson, Kapanen

  78. P3 0:00Period end4v5
  79. P3 0:00Final4v5