Tue, Feb 12, 2019·Pepsi Center, Denver
Toronto Maple Leafs 5, Colorado Avalanche 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Colorado Avalanche win this game 56% of the time.
48%
9%
9%
34%
COL winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22:37 | 0.04 | 46.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:45 | 0.00 | 53.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 19:01 | 0.02 | 12.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:52 | 0.10 | 67.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 18:40 | 0.00 | 6.5% | +20.5 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18:19 | 0.24 | 7.7% | +35.4 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 18:16 | 0.18 | 60.8% | +52.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 18:12 | 0.08 | 66.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17:05 | 0.00 | 67.8% | +8.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:58 | 0.00 | 10.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 16:14 | 0.00 | 24.4% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 15:36 | 0.58 | 69.1% | +25.5 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 14:58 | 0.36 | 71.3% | +16.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 13:21 | 0.31 | 80.1% | +1.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:55 | 0.01 | 41.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 12:20 | 0.07 | 71.9% | +1.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:20 | 0.42 | 50.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:31 | 0.02 | 43.6% | 0.0 |
| W | 36 | 34 | 2 | .944 | 2.83 | +0.8 | 60:00 |
Colorado Avalanche
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 22:41 | 0.27 | 49.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 22:33 | 0.06 | 61.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 20:15 | 0.00 | 51.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 20:14 | 0.00 | 33.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 19:50 | 0.09 | 47.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18:25 | 0.05 | 59.4% | +19.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 18:21 | 0.04 | 71.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:59 | 0.10 | 27.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 7 | 16:06 | 1.26 | 93.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:54 | 0.10 | 29.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 15:11 | 0.49 | 88.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 14:54 | 0.07 | 21.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14:14 | 0.04 | 29.1% | +19.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 14:06 | 0.07 | 21.6% | +19.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:41 | 0.12 | 95.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:01 | 0.00 | 35.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 10:30 | 0.07 | 71.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:08 | 0.00 | 46.3% | 0.0 |
| L | 17 | 13 | 4 | .765 | 1.55 | −2.4 | 27:08 | |
| – | 11 | 10 | 1 | .909 | 0.87 | −0.1 | 32:52 |