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Ice Lab

Sat, Feb 16, 2019·Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia

Detroit Red Wings 5, Philadelphia Flyers 6 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 63% of the time.

PHI winsDET wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:28Shot by de la Rose, saved by Hart
  3. P1 2:07Shot by Varone, saved by Howard
  4. P1 2:09Shot by Raffl, saved by Howard
  5. P1 3:12Shot by Nyquist, saved by Hart
  6. P1 3:40Shot by Daley, saved by Hart
  7. P1 4:36Shot by Gudas, saved by Howard
  8. P1 4:34Goal by Gostisbehere (Patrick, Laughton)+15 pts WP

    On ice: PHI MacDonald, Simmonds, Laughton, Gostisbehere, Patrick · DET Daley, Ericsson, Helm, Glendening, Athanasiou

  9. P1 4:54Shot by Rasmussen, saved by Hart
  10. P1 7:01Shot by Daley, saved by Hart
  11. P1 9:22Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Howard
  12. P1 10:05Shot by Hagg, saved by Howard
  13. P1 11:45Shot by Mantha, saved by Hart
  14. P1 12:21Shot by Gostisbehere, saved by Howard
  15. P1 12:27Shot by Helm, saved by Hart
  16. P1 13:06Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Hart
  17. P1 13:33Shot by Konecny, saved by Howard
  18. P1 14:07Goal by Nyquist (Bertuzzi, Green)+17 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Voracek, Couturier, Sanheim, Lindblom, Provorov · DET Kronwall, Green, Nyquist, Bertuzzi, Larkin

  19. P1 15:07Shot by Athanasiou, saved by Hart
  20. P1 15:52Shot by Varone, saved by Howard
  21. P1 16:10Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Hart
  22. P1 16:39Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Howard
  23. P1 18:04Shot by Sanheim, saved by Howard
  24. P1 18:25Shot by Laughton, saved by Howard
  25. P1 18:29Shot by Patrick, saved by Howard
  26. P1 0:00Period end
  27. P2 0:00Period start
  28. P2 0:54Shot by Nyquist, saved by Hart
  29. P2 1:08Kronwall: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: PHI MacDonald, van Riemsdyk, Voracek, Couturier, Gostisbehere · DET Kronwall, Nyquist, DeKeyser, Bertuzzi, Larkin

  30. P2 1:30Shot by Simmonds, saved by Howard5v4
  31. P2 2:23Shot by Ericsson, saved by Hart5v4
  32. P2 2:34Shot by Couturier, saved by Howard5v4
  33. P2 2:59Goal by Konecny (Provorov, Couturier)5v4+20 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Couturier, Lindblom, Konecny, Provorov, Patrick · DET Ericsson, Abdelkader, Glendening, DeKeyser

  34. P2 3:31Shot by Green, saved by Hart
  35. P2 3:32Shot by Vanek, saved by Hart
  36. P2 4:02Goal by Laughton (Simmonds, Patrick)+14 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Simmonds, Laughton, Sanheim, Provorov, Patrick · DET Nyquist, Jensen, DeKeyser, Bertuzzi, Larkin

  37. P2 4:20Shot by Sanheim, saved by Howard
  38. P2 4:58Shot by Glendening, saved by Hart
  39. P2 6:19DeKeyser: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Voracek, Couturier, Sanheim, Lindblom, Provorov · DET Nyquist, Jensen, DeKeyser, Bertuzzi, Larkin

  40. P2 9:35Shot by Gudas, saved by Howard
  41. P2 10:59Shot by Vanek, saved by Hart
  42. P2 15:06Shot by Helm, saved by Hart
  43. P2 17:00MacDonald: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Giroux, MacDonald, van Riemsdyk, Gostisbehere, Konecny · DET Vanek, Jensen, DeKeyser, de la Rose, Mantha

  44. P2 17:25Shot by Mantha, saved by Hart4v5
  45. P2 17:35Shot by Couturier, saved by Howard4v5
  46. P2 19:49Shot by DeKeyser, saved by Hart
  47. P2 0:00Period end
  48. P3 0:00Period start
  49. P3 0:30Shot by Lindblom, saved by Howard
  50. P3 0:31Goal by Voracek (Lindblom)+5 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Voracek, Couturier, Sanheim, Lindblom, Provorov · DET Kronwall, Green, Nyquist, Bertuzzi, Larkin

  51. P3 1:23Shot by Patrick, saved by Howard
  52. P3 1:24Goal by Patrick (Simmonds, MacDonald)+2 pts WP

    On ice: PHI MacDonald, Simmonds, Laughton, Gostisbehere, Patrick · DET Daley, Ericsson, Helm, Glendening, Athanasiou

  53. P3 2:39Goal by Bertuzzi (Larkin)+2 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Giroux, Voracek, Couturier, Sanheim, Provorov · DET Kronwall, Green, Nyquist, Bertuzzi, Larkin

  54. P3 3:23Goal by Vanek, unassisted+5 pts WP

    On ice: PHI MacDonald, Simmonds, Varone, Laughton, Gostisbehere · DET Daley, Vanek, Jensen, de la Rose, Mantha

  55. P3 4:09Shot by Larkin, saved by Hart
  56. P3 4:30Konecny: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Giroux, van Riemsdyk, Sanheim, Konecny, Provorov · DET Kronwall, Green, Nyquist, Bertuzzi, Larkin

  57. P3 4:30Nyquist: Slashing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: PHI Giroux, van Riemsdyk, Sanheim, Konecny, Provorov · DET Kronwall, Green, Nyquist, Bertuzzi, Larkin

  58. P3 5:09Shot by Voracek, saved by Bernier4v4
  59. P3 5:41Shot by Voracek, saved by Bernier4v4
  60. P3 6:26Shot by Green, saved by Hart4v4
  61. P3 7:15Shot by Kronwall, saved by Hart
  62. P3 8:36Goal by Mantha (DeKeyser, Ehn)+13 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Giroux, van Riemsdyk, Sanheim, Konecny, Provorov · DET Abdelkader, Jensen, DeKeyser, Mantha, Ehn

  63. P3 9:16Shot by de la Rose, saved by Hart
  64. P3 9:33Shot by Laughton, saved by Bernier
  65. P3 10:11Shot by Rasmussen, saved by Hart
  66. P3 10:12Shot by Rasmussen, saved by Hart
  67. P3 10:50Shot by Voracek, saved by Bernier
  68. P3 13:26Shot by Abdelkader, saved by Hart
  69. P3 13:43Shot by Kronwall, saved by Hart
  70. P3 14:43Shot by Mantha, saved by Hart
  71. P3 14:49Shot by Mantha, saved by Hart
  72. P3 15:04Shot by Athanasiou, saved by Hart
  73. P3 15:25Shot by Gudas, saved by Bernier
  74. P3 16:18Shot by Lindblom, saved by Bernier
  75. P3 17:27Shot by DeKeyser, saved by Hart
  76. P3 18:31Shot by Nyquist, saved by Hart5v6
  77. P3 19:26Shot by Nyquist, saved by Hart5v6
  78. P3 19:53Goal by Mantha (Green, Kronwall)5v6+51 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Voracek, Couturier, Laughton, Hagg, Provorov · DET Kronwall, Vanek, Green, Nyquist, Mantha, Larkin

  79. P3 0:00Period end
  80. OT 0:00Period start
  81. OT 1:26Shot by Couturier, saved by Bernier3v3
  82. OT 1:27Goal by Konecny (Couturier, Gostisbehere)3v3+53 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Couturier, Gostisbehere, Konecny · DET Athanasiou, DeKeyser, Mantha

  83. OT 1:27Period end
  84. OT 1:27Final3v3