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Ice Lab

Sat, Feb 16, 2019·T-Mobile Arena, Paradise

Nashville Predators 1, Vegas Golden Knights 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Vegas Golden Knights win this game 91% of the time.

VGK winsNSH wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

VGK forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against NSH's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Johansen–Forsberg–ArvidssonTurris–Sissons–FialaBonino–Smith–HartmanBoyle–Jarnkrok–GrimaldiJohansen–Hartman–ArvidssonBonino–Turris–JarnkrokJosi–EllisSubban–EkholmHamhuis–WeberSubban–JosiJosi–EkholmEllis–EkholmHamhuis–Ellis
Smith–Karlsson–Marchessault6:370.25–0.233:110.18–0.190:490.00–0.001:070.25–0.004:050.13–0.215:290.35–0.192:080.23–0.000:510.07–0.00
Pacioretty–Eakin–Lindberg3:040.00–0.131:230.36–0.001:520.10–0.022:130.14–0.032:470.92–0.024:580.57–0.170:360.00–0.00
Reaves–Carrier–Bellemare1:140.00–0.043:270.08–0.273:410.09–0.172:210.09–0.191:290.05–0.164:580.08–0.12
Stastny–Pirri–Tuch3:410.38–0.213:110.10–0.000:400.00–0.003:010.26–0.002:210.27–0.212:070.21–0.000:340.02–0.00
Eakin–Lindberg–Tuch0:560.14–0.080:560.14–0.08
Engelland–Schmidt11:170.32–0.421:310.02–0.250:550.08–0.000:540.04–0.086:120.45–0.276:320.22–0.361:310.00–0.031:170.02–0.000:540.04–0.080:380.00–0.03
Merrill–Miller0:310.00–0.004:000.35–0.176:060.03–0.272:280.23–0.083:350.21–0.104:200.43–0.245:360.13–0.170:310.00–0.00
McNabb–Theodore4:230.58–0.212:380.23–0.025:330.08–0.204:460.97–0.114:180.55–0.243:340.27–0.080:420.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndSmith FKarlsson FMarchessault FStastny FTuch FPirri FEakin FLindberg FPacioretty FCarrier FBellemare FReaves FEngelland DSchmidt DMcNabb DTheodore DMiller DMerrill DSubban GForsberg FArvidsson FJohansen FBonino FSmith FHartman FTurris FSissons FFiala FBoyle FJarnkrok FGrimaldi FEkholm DSubban DEllis DJosi DHamhuis DWeber DSaros G
VGKNSHFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Nate SchmidtVGK2626:491:022:1575
Roman JosiNSH3225:470:482:07012
Mattias EkholmNSH3122:530:441:5066
Ryan EllisNSH3122:090:431:51012
Deryk EngellandVGK2521:490:522:1555
P.K. SubbanNSH2821:370:461:2743
William KarlssonVGK2419:200:481:3050
Colin MillerVGK2419:070:481:1962
Jonathan MarchessaultVGK2219:010:521:3840
Ryan JohansenNSH2318:390:491:1735
Reilly SmithVGK2418:190:461:3160
Jon MerrillVGK2218:180:501:3042
Viktor ArvidssonNSH2217:510:491:1734
Shea TheodoreVGK2716:260:371:0873
Max PaciorettyVGK2116:160:461:4922
Nick BoninoNSH2216:090:441:4438
Filip ForsbergNSH2216:010:441:0834
Brayden McNabbVGK2715:580:351:0363
Kyle TurrisNSH2215:550:431:5533
Alex TuchVGK1815:160:511:1951
Colton SissonsNSH2315:010:391:0943
Cody EakinVGK2115:000:431:1024
Paul StastnyVGK2014:270:431:2232
Calle JarnkrokNSH2213:400:371:0527
Dan HamhuisNSH1813:370:451:1024
Pierre-Edouard BellemareVGK1913:300:431:1867
Brian BoyleNSH1913:300:431:3327
Craig SmithNSH2013:270:401:2735
Ryan HartmanNSH1913:260:421:4033
Oscar LindbergVGK1912:580:411:0622
Kevin FialaNSH2012:340:381:1021
Yannick WeberNSH1712:110:431:0842
Brandon PirriVGK1611:570:451:2021
Ryan ReavesVGK1411:140:481:0961
Rocco GrimaldiNSH1610:240:391:0514
William CarrierVGK139:010:421:0362