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Ice Lab

Sat, Mar 2, 2019·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Buffalo Sabres 2, Toronto Maple Leafs 5

Away

Buffalo Sabres

2

Final

Home

Toronto Maple Leafs

5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 71% of the time.

TOR winsBUF wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:21Shot by Marner, saved by Ullmark
  3. P1 1:37Shot by Okposo, saved by Andersen
  4. P1 3:44Shot by Matthews, saved by Ullmark
  5. P1 4:17Shot by Marner, saved by Ullmark
  6. P1 4:19Shot by Tavares, saved by Ullmark
  7. P1 4:20Goal by Tavares (Marner, Marincin)+14 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Marincin, Hyman, Marner, Ozhiganov · BUF Okposo, McCabe, Ristolainen, Sheary, Rodrigues

  8. P1 5:11Shot by Marincin, saved by Ullmark
  9. P1 5:58Shot by Scandella, saved by Andersen
  10. P1 6:00Goal by Pominville (Girgensons, Scandella)+15 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Hainsey, Rielly, Petan, Gauthier, Moore · BUF Pominville, Scandella, Larsson, Girgensons, Montour

  11. P1 6:47Shot by Eichel, saved by Andersen
  12. P1 6:48Shot by Skinner, saved by Andersen
  13. P1 7:34Goal by Sheary (Okposo)+18 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Muzzin, Johnsson, Kapanen, Matthews, Zaitsev · BUF Okposo, McCabe, Ristolainen, Sheary, Rodrigues

  14. P1 8:26Shot by Rielly, saved by Ullmark
  15. P1 10:01Shot by Eichel, saved by Andersen
  16. P1 10:31Shot by Marleau, saved by Ullmark
  17. P1 10:38Shot by Nylander, saved by Ullmark
  18. P1 11:18Shot by Kapanen, saved by Ullmark
  19. P1 11:21Okposo: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Marincin, Johnsson, Kapanen, Matthews, Ozhiganov · BUF Okposo, Scandella, Sheary, Montour, Rodrigues

  20. P1 12:02Shot by Matthews, saved by Ullmark5v4
  21. P1 12:10Shot by Marner, saved by Ullmark5v4
  22. P1 13:13Shot by Muzzin, saved by Ullmark5v4
  23. P1 13:35Shot by Montour, saved by Andersen
  24. P1 13:46Shot by Montour, saved by Andersen
  25. P1 14:08Marner: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Hyman, Rielly, Marner, Zaitsev · BUF Wilson, Montour, Thompson, Mittelstadt, Dahlin

  26. P1 17:09Shot by Girgensons, saved by Andersen
  27. P1 19:33Shot by Kapanen, saved by Ullmark
  28. P1 19:40Goal by Rielly (Matthews, Hainsey)+20 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Marleau, Hainsey, Rielly, Kapanen, Matthews · BUF Bogosian, Sheary, Rodrigues, Thompson, Dahlin

  29. P1 19:59Shot by Rielly, saved by Ullmark
  30. P1 0:00Period end
  31. P2 0:00Period start
  32. P2 1:36Shot by Zaitsev, saved by Ullmark
  33. P2 5:35Shot by Johnsson, saved by Ullmark
  34. P2 6:30Shot by McCabe, saved by Andersen
  35. P2 7:38Shot by Skinner, saved by Andersen
  36. P2 8:07Shot by Okposo, saved by Andersen
  37. P2 11:14Shot by Reinhart, saved by Andersen
  38. P2 11:18Shot by McCabe, saved by Andersen
  39. P2 11:32Shot by Skinner, saved by Andersen
  40. P2 11:40Kapanen: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: TOR Muzzin, Johnsson, Kapanen, Matthews, Zaitsev · BUF Okposo, Scandella, Sheary, Montour, Rodrigues

  41. P2 11:40Rodrigues: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: TOR Muzzin, Johnsson, Kapanen, Matthews, Zaitsev · BUF Okposo, Scandella, Sheary, Montour, Rodrigues

  42. P2 12:00Montour: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Hainsey, Rielly, Johnsson, Matthews, Moore · BUF Okposo, Scandella, Sheary, Montour, Eichel

  43. P2 12:31Shot by Bogosian, saved by Andersen5v4
  44. P2 13:13Shot by Matthews, saved by Ullmark5v4
  45. P2 13:29Shot by Matthews, saved by Ullmark5v4
  46. P2 15:02Goal by Petan (Moore)+25 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Marincin, Petan, Gauthier, Moore, Ozhiganov · BUF Scandella, Girgensons, Ristolainen, Thompson, Mittelstadt

  47. P2 15:28Shot by Marincin, saved by Ullmark
  48. P2 19:05Goal by Zaitsev (Marner, Tavares)+14 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Hainsey, Tavares, Hyman, Marner, Zaitsev · BUF Scandella, Skinner, Reinhart, Montour, Eichel

  49. P2 0:00Period end
  50. P3 0:00Period start
  51. P3 0:25Shot by Reinhart, saved by Andersen
  52. P3 1:35Shot by Ozhiganov, saved by Ullmark
  53. P3 2:22Tavares: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Hainsey, Tavares, Hyman, Rielly, Marner · BUF Skinner, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Eichel, Dahlin

  54. P3 2:32Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Andersen4v5
  55. P3 3:04Shot by Dahlin, saved by Andersen4v5
  56. P3 4:15Shot by Scandella, saved by Andersen4v5
  57. P3 6:32Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Andersen
  58. P3 7:58Shot by Larsson, saved by Andersen
  59. P3 8:17Shot by Girgensons, saved by Andersen
  60. P3 9:16Shot by Wilson, saved by Andersen
  61. P3 9:35Shot by Bogosian, saved by Andersen
  62. P3 10:37Shot by Tavares, saved by Ullmark
  63. P3 10:51Shot by Dahlin, saved by Andersen
  64. P3 11:14Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Andersen
  65. P3 12:07Shot by Bogosian, saved by Andersen
  66. P3 12:13Shot by Bogosian, saved by Andersen
  67. P3 12:42Shot by Eichel, saved by Andersen
  68. P3 12:47Shot by Skinner, saved by Andersen
  69. P3 13:29Shot by Wilson, saved by Andersen
  70. P3 13:52Shot by Dahlin, saved by Andersen
  71. P3 14:37Shot by Marleau, saved by Ullmark
  72. P3 14:36Shot by Marleau, saved by Ullmark
  73. P3 14:39Shot by Marleau, saved by Ullmark
  74. P3 15:28Shot by Rielly, saved by Ullmark
  75. P3 16:37Shot by Skinner, saved by Andersen
  76. P3 16:48Shot by Hyman, saved by Ullmark
  77. P3 16:58Shot by Skinner, saved by Andersen
  78. P3 16:56Shot by Skinner, saved by Andersen
  79. P3 18:03Goal by Marner (Tavares, Muzzin)5v60 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Muzzin, Tavares, Hyman, Marner, Zaitsev · BUF Pominville, Okposo, Ristolainen, Sheary, Rodrigues, Dahlin

  80. P3 19:11Shot by Gauthier, saved by Ullmark
  81. P3 0:00Period end
  82. P3 0:00Final