Sat, Mar 2, 2019·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Buffalo Sabres 2, Toronto Maple Leafs 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 71% of the time.
64%
8%
21%
TOR winsBUF wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
TOR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BUF's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Skinner–Reinhart–Eichel | Pominville–Larsson–Girgensons | Okposo–Sheary–Rodrigues | Wilson–Thompson–Mittelstadt | Bogosian–Dahlin | Scandella–Montour | McCabe–Ristolainen | Ristolainen–Dahlin | Ristolainen–Montour | Bogosian–McCabe | Scandella–Ristolainen | Montour–Dahlin | Bogosian–Montour | Bogosian–Ristolainen | Bogosian–Scandella | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tavares–Hyman–Marner | 10:530.23–1.06 | 4:130.00–0.52 | 0:500.09–0.00 | 3:230.68–0.15 | 2:070.12–0.28 | 0:570.00–0.16 | |||||||||
| Johnsson–Kapanen–Matthews | 1:130.02–0.00 | 6:170.06–0.12 | 2:390.09–0.04 | 2:470.00–0.10 | 4:150.15–0.05 | 1:400.00–0.04 | 0:320.02–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.00 | |||||
| Marleau–Brown–Nylander | 2:200.02–0.15 | 1:370.75–0.05 | 3:310.09–0.00 | 2:540.06–0.05 | 2:500.83–0.00 | 1:180.06–0.00 | 0:310.15–0.00 | 1:040.02–0.16 | |||||||
| Petan–Gauthier–Moore | 3:530.04–0.28 | 1:410.00–0.07 | 1:330.01–0.07 | 1:000.00–0.25 | 0:520.00–0.03 | 1:050.00–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| Hyman–Brown–Nylander | |||||||||||||||
| Hainsey–Rielly | 9:530.21–1.02 | 2:000.05–0.25 | 1:030.04–0.00 | 6:100.25–0.52 | 1:490.13–0.25 | 2:340.06–0.10 | 2:310.12–0.28 | 0:540.00–0.16 | 0:380.04–0.15 | ||||||
| Muzzin–Zaitsev | 1:310.01–0.14 | 1:550.00–0.00 | 4:550.47–0.09 | 3:020.09–0.11 | 2:530.00–0.11 | 2:500.55–0.07 | 2:370.08–0.08 | 0:450.00–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.00 | 1:210.00–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.10 | 0:320.00–0.00 | |||
| Marincin–Ozhiganov | 3:450.03–0.18 | 1:570.65–0.05 | 4:150.09–0.01 | 3:070.07–0.11 | 4:000.09–0.00 | 1:300.63–0.03 | 0:410.00–0.00 | 1:350.02–0.16 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 0:330.03–0.00 | |||||
| Muzzin–Rielly | 1:050.28–0.05 | 0:430.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Rielly–Zaitsev | 0:330.00–0.00 | 0:400.00–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.01 | ||||||||||||
| Rielly–Ozhiganov | 1:070.00–0.12 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
TORBUFFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Morgan RiellyTOR | 26 | 24:32 | 0:57 | 2:18 | 3 | 4 |
 Rasmus RistolainenBUF | 26 | 23:27 | 0:54 | 1:44 | 5 | 3 |
 Zach BogosianBUF | 24 | 22:35 | 0:56 | 1:42 | 2 | 3 |
 Rasmus DahlinBUF | 22 | 22:31 | 1:01 | 1:48 | 3 | 3 |
 Brandon MontourBUF | 26 | 20:30 | 0:47 | 1:41 | 5 | 1 |
 Nikita ZaitsevTOR | 26 | 20:24 | 0:47 | 1:47 | 1 | 6 |
 Jake MuzzinTOR | 25 | 20:19 | 0:49 | 1:47 | 3 | 6 |
 John TavaresTOR | 24 | 19:44 | 0:49 | 1:40 | 4 | 3 |
 Mitch MarnerTOR | 25 | 19:37 | 0:47 | 1:44 | 4 | 3 |
 Jack EichelBUF | 25 | 19:32 | 0:47 | 1:37 | 5 | 3 |
 Ron HainseyTOR | 26 | 19:31 | 0:45 | 1:21 | 1 | 5 |
 Zach HymanTOR | 24 | 18:42 | 0:47 | 1:31 | 2 | 4 |
 Sam ReinhartBUF | 22 | 18:36 | 0:51 | 1:29 | 5 | 2 |
 Auston MatthewsTOR | 21 | 18:27 | 0:53 | 2:19 | 4 | 4 |
 Jeff SkinnerBUF | 21 | 17:49 | 0:51 | 1:28 | 5 | 1 |
 Kasperi KapanenTOR | 24 | 17:08 | 0:43 | 1:18 | 4 | 5 |
 Kyle OkposoBUF | 20 | 16:16 | 0:49 | 1:29 | 6 | 2 |
 Connor BrownTOR | 19 | 16:07 | 0:51 | 1:25 | 1 | 0 |
 Igor OzhiganovTOR | 21 | 15:55 | 0:45 | 1:57 | 1 | 0 |
 Andreas JohnssonTOR | 19 | 15:50 | 0:50 | 1:29 | 4 | 4 |
 Conor ShearyBUF | 18 | 15:39 | 0:52 | 1:20 | 6 | 1 |
 Evan RodriguesBUF | 18 | 15:39 | 0:52 | 1:19 | 5 | 1 |
 Marco ScandellaBUF | 21 | 15:34 | 0:44 | 1:20 | 4 | 1 |
 Martin MarincinTOR | 22 | 15:30 | 0:42 | 1:57 | 1 | 1 |
 William NylanderTOR | 18 | 15:05 | 0:50 | 1:13 | 2 | 0 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsBUF | 19 | 15:02 | 0:47 | 1:22 | 1 | 2 |
 Patrick MarleauTOR | 17 | 14:18 | 0:50 | 1:20 | 1 | 0 |
 Johan LarssonBUF | 18 | 14:05 | 0:47 | 1:15 | 0 | 2 |
 Jake McCabeBUF | 16 | 13:48 | 0:52 | 1:42 | 1 | 3 |
 Casey MittelstadtBUF | 16 | 12:52 | 0:48 | 1:05 | 2 | 1 |
 Jason PominvilleBUF | 17 | 11:45 | 0:41 | 1:08 | 1 | 0 |
 Tage ThompsonBUF | 15 | 10:46 | 0:43 | 1:09 | 1 | 0 |
 Scott WilsonBUF | 14 | 10:38 | 0:46 | 1:14 | 1 | 1 |
 Trevor MooreTOR | 15 | 8:35 | 0:34 | 1:06 | 0 | 0 |
 Frederik GauthierTOR | 14 | 8:31 | 0:37 | 1:06 | 0 | 1 |
 Nic PetanTOR | 13 | 7:45 | 0:36 | 1:06 | 0 | 0 |