Sat, Mar 9, 2019·Rogers Place, Edmonton
Toronto Maple Leafs 3, Edmonton Oilers 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Edmonton Oilers win this game 58% of the time.
50%
8%
33%
EDM winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 25:15 | 0.02 | 48.3% | +15.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 22:55 | 0.03 | 62.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 22:44 | 0.24 | 54.1% | +5.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 22:04 | 0.17 | 70.1% | +19.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 19:23 | 0.27 | 65.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 18:50 | 0.16 | 57.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 18:50 | 0.51 | 73.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 5 | 18:29 | 0.82 | 69.2% | +40.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 17:47 | 0.18 | 73.3% | +15.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 16:30 | 0.09 | 69.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:18 | 0.25 | 34.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12:50 | 0.30 | 45.3% | +19.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:43 | 0.01 | 34.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 12:39 | 0.11 | 43.8% | +5.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 11:22 | 0.02 | 61.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:53 | 0.00 | 34.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:53 | 0.00 | 18.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7:35 | 0.09 | 53.0% | 0.0 |
| W | 33 | 31 | 2 | .939 | 3.81 | +1.8 | 60:00 |
Edmonton Oilers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 6 | 26:20 | 0.91 | 38.9% | +2.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 25:25 | 0.06 | 47.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 24:30 | 0.29 | 41.3% | +2.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 23:00 | 0.30 | 27.1% | +2.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 21:21 | 0.54 | 37.8% | +0.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 19:46 | 0.16 | 50.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 19:13 | 0.25 | 43.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:42 | 0.51 | 31.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 17:24 | 0.01 | 34.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 16:52 | 0.05 | 41.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:32 | 0.04 | 38.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 14:12 | 0.17 | 46.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 12:51 | 0.44 | 43.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:49 | 0.05 | 36.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:23 | 0.00 | 34.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 8:30 | 0.00 | 40.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:27 | 0.00 | 31.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4:54 | 0.00 | 43.9% | 0.0 |
| L | 40 | 37 | 3 | .925 | 3.27 | +0.3 | 58:52 |