Sun, Mar 17, 2019·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
St. Louis Blues 3, Buffalo Sabres 4 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, St. Louis Blues win this game 51% of the time.
40%
9%
9%
42%
BUF winsSTL wins
St. Louis Blues
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 25:31 | 0.01 | 32.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 24:05 | 0.02 | 61.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23:50 | 0.00 | 23.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 22:28 | 0.15 | 63.7% | +14.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 22:01 | 0.69 | 43.6% | +33.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 20:49 | 0.60 | 50.2% | +33.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 19:33 | 0.40 | 50.1% | +14.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 19:03 | 0.69 | 57.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:01 | 0.07 | 52.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:58 | 0.18 | 35.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 16:08 | 0.27 | 57.1% | +15.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:43 | 0.00 | 17.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 15:30 | 0.01 | 27.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:29 | 0.03 | 13.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11:17 | 0.00 | 37.6% | +33.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8:31 | 0.04 | 38.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:26 | 0.01 | 7.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:38 | 0.00 | 7.3% | 0.0 |
| O | 34 | 31 | 3 | .912 | 3.12 | +0.1 | 64:59 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 23:17 | 0.47 | 62.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 23:15 | 0.05 | 57.2% | +17.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 22:48 | 0.11 | 66.5% | +14.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22:42 | 0.22 | 62.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22:11 | 0.37 | 69.3% | +15.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 21:31 | 0.03 | 47.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20:24 | 0.81 | 62.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 17:42 | 0.18 | 80.3% | +17.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 16:42 | 0.29 | 79.1% | +14.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:38 | 0.03 | 48.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:27 | 0.02 | 62.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15:00 | 0.04 | 27.8% | +15.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 13:16 | 0.00 | 26.0% | +15.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:10 | 0.11 | 28.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 11:57 | 0.24 | 53.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 11:40 | 0.11 | 79.7% | +31.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:16 | 0.00 | 55.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:10 | 0.04 | 58.9% | 0.0 |
| W | 33 | 30 | 3 | .909 | 3.16 | +0.2 | 64:54 |