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Ice Lab

Sat, Mar 23, 2019·Rogers Place, Edmonton

Ottawa Senators 4, Edmonton Oilers 3 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 51% of the time.

EDM winsOTT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:26Shot by Balcers, saved by Koskinen
  3. P1 1:09Shot by Lindberg, saved by Koskinen
  4. P1 2:04Shot by Chabot, saved by Koskinen
  5. P1 3:17Shot by Jaros, saved by Koskinen
  6. P1 3:47Shot by Rieder, saved by Anderson
  7. P1 3:51Lucic: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: EDM Sekera, Lucic, Chiasson, Nugent-Hopkins, Benning · OTT Paajarvi, Gibbons, DeMelo, Pageau, Chabot

  8. P1 4:28Shot by Chabot, saved by Koskinen4v5
  9. P1 4:37Goal by Tkachuk (Wolanin, DeMelo)4v5+18 pts WP

    On ice: EDM Larsson, Klefbom, Draisaitl, McDavid · OTT DeMelo, Pageau, Wolanin, Veronneau, Tkachuk

  10. P1 6:34Shot by Kassian, saved by Anderson
  11. P1 8:12Goal by Chiasson (Nurse)+18 pts WP

    On ice: EDM Russell, Lucic, Chiasson, Nugent-Hopkins, Nurse · OTT Boedker, Lindberg, Gibbons, Wolanin, Jaros

  12. P1 9:14Shot by Kassian, saved by Anderson
  13. P1 9:56Shot by White, saved by Koskinen
  14. P1 12:57Shot by Ryan, saved by Koskinen
  15. P1 13:27Shot by DeMelo, saved by Koskinen
  16. P1 13:34Nurse: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: EDM Russell, Kassian, Nurse, Draisaitl, McDavid · OTT Ryan, DeMelo, White, Chabot, Balcers

  17. P1 15:28Goal by Ryan (Chabot, White)4v5+20 pts WP

    On ice: EDM Russell, Larsson, Draisaitl, McDavid · OTT Ryan, Lindberg, White, Chabot, Balcers

  18. P1 15:39Shot by Nugent-Hopkins, saved by Anderson
  19. P1 16:22Shot by Draisaitl, saved by Anderson
  20. P1 16:35Shot by Lindberg, saved by Koskinen
  21. P1 17:13Shot by Veronneau, saved by Koskinen
  22. P1 18:41Shot by Klefbom, saved by Anderson
  23. P1 19:06Harpur: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: EDM Lucic, Chiasson, Nugent-Hopkins, Larsson, Klefbom · OTT Ryan, Pageau, Harpur, White, Wolanin

  24. P1 19:06Chiasson: Roughing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: EDM Lucic, Chiasson, Nugent-Hopkins, Larsson, Klefbom · OTT Ryan, Pageau, Harpur, White, Wolanin

  25. P1 0:00Period end4v4
  26. P2 0:00Period start
  27. P2 0:21Shot by McDavid, saved by Anderson4v4
  28. P2 1:25Shot by Nurse, saved by Anderson
  29. P2 1:52Shot by DeMelo, saved by Koskinen
  30. P2 2:28Shot by Paajarvi, saved by Koskinen
  31. P2 2:54Goal by McDavid (Draisaitl, Kassian)+20 pts WP

    On ice: EDM Russell, Kassian, Klefbom, Draisaitl, McDavid · OTT Borowiecki, Paajarvi, Lindberg, Gibbons, Jaros

  32. P2 3:31Shot by White, saved by Koskinen
  33. P2 3:54Shot by Paajarvi, saved by Koskinen
  34. P2 4:01Shot by Paajarvi, saved by Koskinen
  35. P2 4:06Shot by Paajarvi, saved by Koskinen
  36. P2 4:05Shot by Lindberg, saved by Koskinen
  37. P2 4:24Shot by Klefbom, saved by Anderson
  38. P2 5:25Shot by Duclair, saved by Koskinen
  39. P2 4:21Shot by McDavid, saved by Anderson
  40. P2 6:06Shot by Chiasson, saved by Anderson
  41. P2 6:10Shot by Larsson, saved by Anderson
  42. P2 9:18Shot by Lindberg, saved by Koskinen
  43. P2 9:50Shot by Veronneau, saved by Koskinen
  44. P2 10:17Shot by Pageau, saved by Koskinen
  45. P2 13:03Shot by Chabot, saved by Koskinen
  46. P2 13:24Shot by Lucic, saved by Anderson
  47. P2 13:51Shot by Klefbom, saved by Anderson
  48. P2 14:09Shot by Wolanin, saved by Koskinen
  49. P2 14:29Shot by Gagner, saved by Anderson
  50. P2 15:57Shot by Gambardella, saved by Anderson
  51. P2 0:00Period end
  52. P3 0:00Period start
  53. P3 1:14Shot by DeMelo, saved by Koskinen
  54. P3 1:23Shot by Chabot, saved by Koskinen
  55. P3 3:06Shot by Larsson, saved by Anderson
  56. P3 4:05Shot by Veronneau, saved by Koskinen
  57. P3 4:22Shot by Brodziak, saved by Anderson
  58. P3 4:32Shot by Harpur, saved by Koskinen
  59. P3 5:39Shot by Larsson, saved by Anderson
  60. P3 6:20Shot by McDavid, saved by Anderson
  61. P3 7:37Goal by Gibbons (Paajarvi, Lindberg)+30 pts WP

    On ice: EDM Kassian, Larsson, Klefbom, Draisaitl, McDavid · OTT Borowiecki, Paajarvi, Lindberg, Gibbons, Jaros

  62. P3 8:07Shot by Cave, saved by Anderson
  63. P3 8:33Goal by Cave (Gambardella, Gagner)+30 pts WP

    On ice: EDM Russell, Gagner, Nurse, Cave, Gambardella · OTT Ryan, DeMelo, White, Chabot, Balcers

  64. P3 9:51Shot by Lindberg, saved by Koskinen
  65. P3 13:00Jaros: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: EDM Russell, Kassian, Nurse, Draisaitl, McDavid · OTT Ryan, White, Wolanin, Jaros, Balcers

  66. P3 14:49Shot by Harpur, saved by Koskinen5v4
  67. P3 17:10Shot by Lucic, saved by Anderson
  68. P3 17:37Shot by DeMelo, saved by Koskinen
  69. P3 18:06Shot by Gagner, saved by Anderson
  70. P3 18:22Shot by Larsson, saved by Anderson
  71. P3 19:14Shot by Nugent-Hopkins, saved by Anderson
  72. P3 19:19Shot by Nurse, saved by Anderson
  73. P3 0:00Period end
  74. OT 0:00Period start
  75. OT 1:17Shot by Ryan, saved by Koskinen3v3
  76. OT 2:09Goal by Tkachuk (Balcers, Anderson)3v3+47 pts WP

    On ice: EDM Sekera, Draisaitl, McDavid · OTT Chabot, Balcers, Tkachuk

  77. OT 2:09Period end3v3
  78. OT 2:09Final3v3