Wed, Mar 27, 2019·Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia
Toronto Maple Leafs 4, Philadelphia Flyers 5 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 57% of the time.
36%
8%
48%
PHI winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 26:47 | 0.35 | 42.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 25:09 | 0.04 | 45.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 24:44 | 0.09 | 32.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 22:40 | 0.01 | 54.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 20:55 | 1.00 | 53.7% | +64.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 20:48 | 0.61 | 35.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 20:26 | 0.26 | 47.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 7 | 19:12 | 0.73 | 43.6% | +36.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:53 | 0.02 | 47.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 16:52 | 0.23 | 60.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 16:15 | 0.20 | 43.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 15:17 | 0.06 | 60.5% | +14.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 14:59 | 0.15 | 61.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 13:27 | 0.12 | 62.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 10:50 | 0.19 | 69.1% | +32.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 9:48 | 0.19 | 71.4% | +17.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8:38 | 0.15 | 61.2% | +17.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:29 | 0.01 | 82.2% | 0.0 |
| O | 44 | 40 | 4 | .909 | 3.98 | 0.0 | 64:51 |
Philadelphia Flyers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 27:59 | 0.16 | 57.8% | +25.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 7 | 25:58 | 0.30 | 37.2% | +25.2 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 25:38 | 0.57 | 58.8% | +40.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24:28 | 0.03 | 58.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 21:22 | 0.25 | 36.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 19:22 | 0.03 | 27.4% | +21.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 18:38 | 0.41 | 55.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:37 | 0.37 | 35.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:32 | 0.11 | 56.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 16:55 | 0.01 | 25.2% | +21.6 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 16:11 | 0.20 | 64.7% | +49.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 8 | 14:14 | 0.98 | 66.0% | +15.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 13:09 | 0.32 | 60.5% | +33.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 12:59 | 0.09 | 53.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:32 | 0.08 | 54.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 0 | 9:38 | 0.00 | 32.2% | +55.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:09 | 0.00 | 57.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7:39 | 0.08 | 11.4% | 0.0 |
| W | 42 | 38 | 4 | .905 | 4.40 | +0.4 | 65:00 |