Tue, Apr 2, 2019·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Carolina Hurricanes 4, Toronto Maple Leafs 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 85% of the time.
11%
80%
TOR winsCAR wins
Carolina Hurricanes
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 26:31 | 0.02 | 54.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 25:43 | 0.00 | 47.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 25:29 | 0.22 | 63.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 21:21 | 0.00 | 48.1% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 5 | 20:11 | 1.27 | 49.1% | +15.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 19:10 | 0.34 | 56.5% | +13.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 18:55 | 0.18 | 47.1% | +0.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 18:32 | 0.87 | 53.3% | +19.6 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 17:10 | 0.07 | 51.2% | +29.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 15:13 | 0.11 | 82.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 13:52 | 0.32 | 75.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12:43 | 0.33 | 81.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12:36 | 0.22 | 42.4% | +15.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:10 | 0.90 | 73.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 10:33 | 0.19 | 64.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:18 | 0.03 | 67.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:38 | 0.00 | 63.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7:13 | 0.03 | 75.2% | 0.0 |
| W | 24 | 23 | 1 | .958 | 2.65 | +1.6 | 59:39 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 23:18 | 0.13 | 37.9% | +15.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 22:21 | 0.00 | 32.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 21:16 | 0.33 | 33.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 20:16 | 0.00 | 26.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 3 | 19:32 | 0.63 | 57.9% | +15.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:06 | 0.02 | 47.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 18:23 | 0.01 | 31.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 18:03 | 0.09 | 40.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 1 | 17:00 | 0.21 | 48.1% | +15.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:06 | 0.01 | 60.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 16:03 | 0.19 | 57.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15:41 | 0.35 | 48.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 15:15 | 0.18 | 28.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13:46 | 0.29 | 46.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:39 | 0.00 | 21.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:17 | 0.08 | 39.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10:15 | 0.09 | 33.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:27 | 0.04 | 31.4% | 0.0 |
| L | 36 | 33 | 3 | .917 | 3.08 | +0.1 | 58:08 |