Tue, Apr 2, 2019·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Carolina Hurricanes 4, Toronto Maple Leafs 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 85% of the time.
11%
80%
TOR winsCAR wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
TOR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against CAR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Williams–Niederreiter–Aho | Staal–Ferland–Teravainen | Martinook–Wallmark–Svechnikov | McKegg–McGinn–Foegele | Williams–Aho–Svechnikov | McGinn–Wallmark–Svechnikov | Faulk–Pesce | Hamilton–Slavin | van Riemsdyk–Fleury | Slavin–van Riemsdyk | Faulk–van Riemsdyk | Hamilton–van Riemsdyk | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marleau–Kadri–Brown | 1:300.00–0.12 | 4:010.18–0.31 | 2:240.09–0.06 | 2:460.05–0.25 | 2:230.05–0.13 | 1:040.00–0.11 | 0:330.00–0.06 | |||||
| Tavares–Hyman–Marner | 4:200.00–0.16 | 1:060.00–0.01 | 2:070.00–0.05 | 2:300.00–0.08 | 1:050.00–0.00 | |||||||
| Tavares–Hyman–Kapanen | 0:570.26–0.11 | 3:030.30–0.09 | 1:340.00–0.04 | 2:460.19–0.25 | 2:560.41–0.13 | |||||||
| Nylander–Kapanen–Matthews | 0:500.00–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.02 | 2:500.00–0.31 | 0:500.00–0.09 | 3:020.00–0.27 | 1:390.00–0.15 | ||||||
| Marner–Matthews–Moore | 3:190.05–0.02 | 0:350.02–0.00 | 0:470.03–0.00 | 3:060.07–0.02 | 1:210.04–0.01 | 0:390.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Ennis–Gauthier–Moore | 1:390.00–0.07 | 0:510.00–0.00 | 1:030.00–0.20 | 0:470.00–0.11 | ||||||||
| Ennis–Gauthier–Nylander | 0:330.00–0.00 | 1:230.03–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Ennis–Kadri–Nylander | 0:480.14–0.00 | 0:430.00–0.07 | 0:550.10–0.07 | 0:480.08–0.00 | ||||||||
| Brown–Gauthier–Moore | 0:480.00–0.00 | 0:480.00–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.00 | |||||||||
| Marleau–Marner–Matthews | 0:410.00–0.06 | 0:330.00–0.17 | 1:070.00–0.06 | |||||||||
| Hainsey–Rielly | 5:500.06–0.02 | 2:370.12–0.04 | 2:220.03–0.32 | 0:320.00–0.00 | 0:510.00–0.08 | 6:360.19–0.36 | 4:040.04–0.07 | 2:000.01–0.03 | 0:340.04–0.00 | |||
| Marincin–Zaitsev | 3:080.37–0.20 | 2:310.44–0.09 | 1:270.03–0.04 | 1:240.00–0.09 | 4:090.24–0.26 | 4:430.59–0.23 | 1:170.00–0.11 | |||||
| Dermott–Rosen | 1:330.00–0.11 | 2:200.09–0.13 | 2:050.10–0.17 | 0:510.00–0.00 | 0:410.04–0.00 | 3:140.10–0.14 | 3:190.21–0.17 | 2:070.05–0.23 | 1:260.00–0.17 | |||
| Dermott–Zaitsev | 2:080.00–0.31 | 1:070.00–0.07 | 1:420.04–0.09 | 1:100.00–0.24 | 1:260.00–0.10 | |||||||
| Marincin–Rosen | 1:200.00–0.00 | 0:480.00–0.00 | 1:140.00–0.00 | 0:480.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| Rielly–Dermott | 0:480.00–0.03 | 0:440.03–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
TORCARFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Brett PesceCAR | 31 | 26:31 | 0:51 | 1:34 | 6 | 5 |
 Jaccob SlavinCAR | 34 | 25:43 | 0:45 | 1:56 | 3 | 9 |
 Justin FaulkCAR | 32 | 25:29 | 0:48 | 1:23 | 6 | 4 |
 Morgan RiellyTOR | 31 | 23:18 | 0:45 | 1:24 | 7 | 5 |
 Mitch MarnerTOR | 27 | 22:21 | 0:50 | 1:56 | 6 | 6 |
 Sebastian AhoCAR | 28 | 21:21 | 0:46 | 1:15 | 4 | 2 |
 Auston MatthewsTOR | 24 | 21:16 | 0:53 | 1:55 | 7 | 2 |
 Travis DermottTOR | 25 | 20:16 | 0:49 | 1:58 | 2 | 2 |
 Dougie HamiltonCAR | 29 | 20:11 | 0:42 | 1:23 | 4 | 6 |
 John TavaresTOR | 26 | 19:32 | 0:45 | 1:14 | 7 | 3 |
 Nino NiederreiterCAR | 24 | 19:10 | 0:48 | 1:17 | 3 | 2 |
 Nikita ZaitsevTOR | 25 | 19:06 | 0:46 | 1:52 | 1 | 2 |
 Teuvo TeravainenCAR | 25 | 18:55 | 0:45 | 1:47 | 4 | 2 |
 Justin WilliamsCAR | 23 | 18:32 | 0:48 | 1:23 | 4 | 2 |
 Calle RosenTOR | 25 | 18:23 | 0:44 | 1:21 | 3 | 3 |
 Ron HainseyTOR | 25 | 18:03 | 0:43 | 1:24 | 2 | 5 |
 Jordan StaalCAR | 27 | 17:10 | 0:38 | 1:32 | 6 | 4 |
 Nazem KadriTOR | 21 | 17:00 | 0:49 | 1:44 | 3 | 3 |
 Martin MarincinTOR | 22 | 16:06 | 0:44 | 1:35 | 3 | 1 |
 Zach HymanTOR | 22 | 16:03 | 0:44 | 1:17 | 3 | 5 |
 Kasperi KapanenTOR | 22 | 15:41 | 0:43 | 1:12 | 4 | 1 |
 Patrick MarleauTOR | 19 | 15:15 | 0:48 | 1:46 | 0 | 3 |
 Trevor van RiemsdykCAR | 23 | 15:13 | 0:40 | 1:23 | 3 | 1 |
 Andrei SvechnikovCAR | 20 | 13:52 | 0:42 | 1:40 | 4 | 5 |
 William NylanderTOR | 21 | 13:46 | 0:39 | 1:07 | 6 | 1 |
 Lucas WallmarkCAR | 21 | 12:43 | 0:36 | 1:26 | 4 | 5 |
 Connor BrownTOR | 16 | 12:39 | 0:47 | 1:32 | 0 | 3 |
 Micheal FerlandCAR | 22 | 12:36 | 0:34 | 1:07 | 4 | 2 |
 Jordan MartinookCAR | 18 | 11:10 | 0:37 | 1:17 | 3 | 4 |
 Brock McGinnCAR | 16 | 10:33 | 0:40 | 1:12 | 2 | 3 |
 Tyler EnnisTOR | 13 | 10:17 | 0:47 | 1:15 | 2 | 0 |
 Trevor MooreTOR | 14 | 10:15 | 0:44 | 1:01 | 2 | 1 |
 Frederik GauthierTOR | 10 | 8:27 | 0:51 | 1:22 | 0 | 0 |
 Warren FoegeleCAR | 13 | 8:18 | 0:38 | 1:14 | 1 | 0 |
 Greg McKeggCAR | 10 | 7:38 | 0:46 | 1:14 | 1 | 0 |
 Haydn FleuryCAR | 13 | 7:13 | 0:33 | 1:01 | 3 | 1 |