Thu, Oct 3, 2019·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh
Buffalo Sabres 3, Pittsburgh Penguins 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 81% of the time.
14%
74%
PIT winsBUF wins
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 25:11 | 0.08 | 78.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 23:53 | 0.11 | 73.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21:33 | 0.04 | 68.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 21:18 | 0.31 | 70.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 19:37 | 0.26 | 74.8% | +14.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 17:11 | 0.43 | 76.5% | +14.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:51 | 0.00 | 68.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 16:41 | 0.26 | 75.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:14 | 0.04 | 53.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 15:45 | 0.24 | 67.6% | +14.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:19 | 0.00 | 73.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 15:01 | 0.06 | 67.6% | +26.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:01 | 0.06 | 76.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12:56 | 0.48 | 65.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 12:39 | 0.63 | 62.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 9:25 | 0.15 | 58.3% | +45.3 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 9:19 | 0.47 | 58.3% | +45.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:40 | 0.44 | 82.1% | 0.0 |
| W | 29 | 28 | 1 | .966 | 2.16 | +1.2 | 60:00 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 4 | 27:45 | 0.12 | 30.7% | +20.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 21:01 | 0.00 | 20.5% | +20.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 20:20 | 0.60 | 34.5% | +20.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 20:15 | 0.00 | 17.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 20:05 | 0.18 | 24.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 19:56 | 0.36 | 23.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 19:27 | 0.05 | 24.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:19 | 0.05 | 34.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:22 | 0.12 | 37.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:03 | 0.00 | 34.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:01 | 0.09 | 17.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:06 | 0.01 | 24.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:01 | 0.13 | 25.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13:31 | 0.11 | 29.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:34 | 0.17 | 45.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:49 | 0.00 | 14.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:47 | 0.17 | 44.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:19 | 0.00 | 42.1% | 0.0 |
| L | 41 | 38 | 3 | .927 | 3.58 | +0.6 | 57:45 |