Skip to content
Ice Lab

Fri, Oct 4, 2019·Nationwide Arena, Columbus

Toronto Maple Leafs 4, Columbus Blue Jackets 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 53% of the time.

CBJ winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 2:06Shot by Nutivaara, saved by Andersen
  3. P1 2:39Shot by Jones, saved by Andersen
  4. P1 3:06Shot by Petan, saved by Korpisalo
  5. P1 3:43Shot by Marner, saved by Korpisalo
  6. P1 3:51Shot by Muzzin, saved by Korpisalo
  7. P1 4:10Shot by Anderson, saved by Andersen
  8. P1 4:11Barrie: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: CBJ Foligno, Savard, Jenner, Anderson, Werenski · TOR Muzzin, Barrie, Johnsson, Nylander, Matthews

  9. P1 5:44Shot by Bjorkstrand, saved by Andersen5v4
  10. P1 6:24Shot by Savard, saved by Andersen
  11. P1 7:24Shot by Tavares, saved by Korpisalo
  12. P1 8:17Shot by Atkinson, saved by Andersen
  13. P1 9:22Shot by Spezza, saved by Korpisalo
  14. P1 10:08Shot by Johnsson, saved by Korpisalo
  15. P1 11:56Savard: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: CBJ Nash, Savard, Werenski, Bemstrom, Lilja · TOR Spezza, Holl, Petan, Gauthier, Sandin

  16. P1 12:04Goal by Marner (Tavares, Rielly)4v5+19 pts WP

    On ice: CBJ Jenner, Murray, Anderson, Jones · TOR Tavares, Rielly, Johnsson, Marner, Matthews

  17. P1 12:45Johnsson: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: CBJ Nyquist, Savard, Bjorkstrand, Wennberg, Werenski · TOR Rielly, Ceci, Johnsson, Nylander, Matthews

  18. P1 14:19Shot by Atkinson, saved by Andersen5v4
  19. P1 14:37Shot by Jones, saved by Andersen5v4
  20. P1 16:38Shot by Ceci, saved by Korpisalo
  21. P1 16:44Shot by Matthews, saved by Korpisalo
  22. P1 17:24Shot by Tavares, saved by Korpisalo
  23. P1 18:52Nutivaara: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: CBJ Nash, Harrington, Nutivaara, Bemstrom, Lilja · TOR Muzzin, Kerfoot, Nylander, Sandin, Mikheyev

  24. P1 19:07Johnsson: Tripping (2 min)4v5

    On ice: CBJ Jenner, Murray, Anderson, Jones · TOR Tavares, Rielly, Johnsson, Marner, Matthews

  25. P1 19:56Shot by Jones, saved by Andersen4v4
  26. P1 0:00Period end
  27. P2 0:00Period start
  28. P2 0:48Shot by Nylander, saved by Korpisalo4v4
  29. P2 0:49Shot by Rielly, saved by Korpisalo4v4
  30. P2 2:12Shot by Mikheyev, saved by Korpisalo
  31. P2 2:22Shot by Foligno, saved by Andersen
  32. P2 3:05Shot by Muzzin, saved by Korpisalo
  33. P2 6:22Shot by Anderson, saved by Andersen
  34. P2 10:35Goal by Ceci (Rielly, Nylander)+15 pts WP

    On ice: CBJ Foligno, Jenner, Harrington, Anderson, Nutivaara · TOR Rielly, Ceci, Johnsson, Nylander, Matthews

  35. P2 11:02Shot by Atkinson, saved by Andersen
  36. P2 13:15Shot by Petan, saved by Korpisalo
  37. P2 13:16Shot by Spezza, saved by Korpisalo
  38. P2 13:46Shot by Anderson, saved by Andersen
  39. P2 14:07Shot by Anderson, saved by Andersen
  40. P2 14:07Rielly: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: CBJ Foligno, Savard, Jenner, Anderson, Werenski · TOR Tavares, Rielly, Ceci, Kapanen, Marner

  41. P2 14:11Goal by Atkinson, unassisted5v4+15 pts WP

    On ice: CBJ Foligno, Atkinson, Jones, Dubois, Bemstrom · TOR Spezza, Muzzin, Ceci, Mikheyev

  42. P2 14:22Shot by Atkinson, saved by Andersen
  43. P2 14:48Shot by Lilja, saved by Andersen
  44. P2 14:58Shot by Matthews, saved by Korpisalo
  45. P2 15:44Harrington: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: CBJ Nash, Nyquist, Harrington, Nutivaara, Bemstrom · TOR Muzzin, Barrie, Kerfoot, Moore, Mikheyev

  46. P2 17:10Shot by Barrie, saved by Korpisalo4v5
  47. P2 17:45Shot by Jenner, saved by Andersen
  48. P2 18:58Shot by Werenski, saved by Andersen
  49. P2 19:03Shot by Werenski, saved by Andersen
  50. P2 0:00Period end
  51. P3 0:00Period start
  52. P3 1:01Johnsson: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: CBJ Savard, Anderson, Werenski, Dubois, Lilja · TOR Muzzin, Barrie, Johnsson, Nylander, Matthews

  53. P3 1:01Anderson: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: CBJ Savard, Anderson, Werenski, Dubois, Lilja · TOR Muzzin, Barrie, Johnsson, Nylander, Matthews

  54. P3 2:16Goal by Marner (Tavares, Muzzin)4v4+15 pts WP

    On ice: CBJ Nyquist, Savard, Wennberg, Werenski · TOR Muzzin, Tavares, Barrie, Marner

  55. P3 2:30Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Korpisalo4v4
  56. P3 2:57Shot by Marner, saved by Korpisalo4v4
  57. P3 3:19Shot by Anderson, saved by Andersen
  58. P3 3:43Shot by Matthews, saved by Korpisalo
  59. P3 5:34Shot by Moore, saved by Korpisalo
  60. P3 5:47Shot by Anderson, saved by Andersen
  61. P3 5:52Shot by Jenner, saved by Andersen
  62. P3 6:32Jenner: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: CBJ Foligno, Savard, Jenner, Bjorkstrand, Werenski · TOR Ceci, Kerfoot, Marner, Sandin, Mikheyev

  63. P3 7:37Shot by Kapanen, saved by Korpisalo4v5
  64. P3 8:47Shot by Jenner, saved by Andersen
  65. P3 9:52Shot by Foligno, saved by Andersen
  66. P3 11:08Shot by Atkinson, saved by Andersen
  67. P3 12:03Shot by Bjorkstrand, saved by Andersen
  68. P3 12:25Shot by Nylander, saved by Korpisalo
  69. P3 12:27Texier: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: CBJ Jenner, Harrington, Bjorkstrand, Nutivaara, Texier · TOR Muzzin, Ceci, Johnsson, Nylander, Matthews

  70. P3 13:31Shot by Rielly, saved by Korpisalo4v5
  71. P3 14:04Goal by Matthews (Rielly, Marner)4v5+2 pts WP

    On ice: CBJ Foligno, Nash, Murray, Jones · TOR Tavares, Rielly, Johnsson, Marner, Matthews

  72. P3 15:43Shot by Muzzin, saved by Korpisalo
  73. P3 16:26Shot by Nutivaara, saved by Andersen
  74. P3 17:53Gauthier: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: CBJ Murray, Bjorkstrand, Jones, Wennberg, Texier · TOR Spezza, Muzzin, Barrie, Petan, Gauthier

  75. P3 19:06Shot by Atkinson, saved by Andersen5v4
  76. P3 0:00Period end
  77. P3 0:00Final