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Ice Lab

Sun, Oct 6, 2019·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit

Dallas Stars 3, Detroit Red Wings 4

Away

Dallas Stars

3

Final

Home

Detroit Red Wings

4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 55% of the time.

DET winsDAL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:36Shot by Benn, saved by Bernier
  3. P1 0:57Shot by Klingberg, saved by Bernier
  4. P1 2:14Shot by Glendening, saved by Khudobin
  5. P1 3:52Shot by Mantha, saved by Khudobin
  6. P1 7:27Radulov: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: DET Green, Abdelkader, Helm, Nemeth, de la Rose · DAL Radulov, Sekera, Klingberg, Gurianov, Gardner

  7. P1 10:23Shot by Dowling, saved by Bernier
  8. P1 10:57Goal by Hintz (Heiskanen, Khudobin)+20 pts WP

    On ice: DET Daley, Bertuzzi, Mantha, Larkin, Cholowski · DAL Pavelski, Lindell, Janmark, Hintz, Heiskanen

  9. P1 11:38Shot by Abdelkader, saved by Khudobin
  10. P1 12:41Shot by Green, saved by Khudobin
  11. P1 13:21Shot by Gardner, saved by Bernier
  12. P1 13:29Shot by Lindell, saved by Bernier
  13. P1 13:34Shot by Caamano, saved by Bernier
  14. P1 15:40Shot by Green, saved by Khudobin
  15. P1 16:09Shot by Larkin, saved by Khudobin
  16. P1 16:49Goal by Seguin (Oleksiak, Fedun)+14 pts WP

    On ice: DET DeKeyser, Bertuzzi, Mantha, Larkin, Hronek · DAL Radulov, Seguin, Fedun, Oleksiak, Gurianov

  17. P1 18:36Shot by Glendening, saved by Khudobin
  18. P1 19:03Shot by Green, saved by Khudobin
  19. P1 19:44Klingberg: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: DET Abdelkader, Helm, DeKeyser, de la Rose, Hronek · DAL Radulov, Sekera, Benn, Klingberg, Faksa

  20. P1 0:00Period end
  21. P2 0:00Period start
  22. P2 0:18Shot by Mantha, saved by Khudobin5v4
  23. P2 0:48Goal by Mantha (Hirose, Cholowski)5v4+13 pts WP

    On ice: DET Bertuzzi, Mantha, Larkin, Cholowski, Hirose · DAL Sekera, Seguin, Faksa, Lindell

  24. P2 2:14Shot by Janmark, saved by Bernier
  25. P2 2:15Nemeth: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: DET Green, Abdelkader, Helm, Nemeth, de la Rose · DAL Pavelski, Fedun, Oleksiak, Janmark, Hintz

  26. P2 3:57Shot by Lindell, saved by Bernier4v5
  27. P2 4:54Cogliano: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: DET DeKeyser, Bertuzzi, Mantha, Larkin, Hronek · DAL Sekera, Cogliano, Klingberg, Caamano, Gardner

  28. P2 5:46Shot by Larkin, saved by Khudobin5v4
  29. P2 6:21Shot by Hronek, saved by Khudobin5v4
  30. P2 7:22Shot by Hronek, saved by Khudobin
  31. P2 9:10Shot by DeKeyser, saved by Khudobin
  32. P2 9:43Goal by Mantha (DeKeyser, Hronek)+24 pts WP

    On ice: DET Bertuzzi, Mantha, Larkin, Cholowski, Hronek · DAL Dowling, Klingberg, Faksa, Lindell, Janmark

  33. P2 11:01Shot by de la Rose, saved by Khudobin
  34. P2 11:04Benn: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: DET Green, Abdelkader, Helm, Nemeth, de la Rose · DAL Sekera, Benn, Dowling, Klingberg, Faksa

  35. P2 13:07Radulov: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: DET Filppula, Nielsen, Green, Erne, Hronek · DAL Pavelski, Benn, Klingberg, Oleksiak, Caamano

  36. P2 14:37Shot by Nielsen, saved by Khudobin5v4
  37. P2 15:22Shot by Benn, saved by Bernier
  38. P2 15:23Shot by Benn, saved by Bernier
  39. P2 16:53Green: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: DET Green, Abdelkader, Helm, DeKeyser, de la Rose · DAL Dowling, Fedun, Oleksiak, Faksa, Hintz

  40. P2 16:58Shot by Klingberg, saved by Bernier4v5
  41. P2 17:16Shot by Radulov, saved by Bernier4v5
  42. P2 19:53Shot by Helm, saved by Khudobin
  43. P2 19:55Shot by Filppula, saved by Khudobin
  44. P2 0:00Period end
  45. P3 0:00Period start
  46. P3 0:14Shot by Larkin, saved by Khudobin
  47. P3 0:15Goal by Mantha (Larkin, Bertuzzi)+23 pts WP

    On ice: DET Green, Nemeth, Bertuzzi, Mantha, Larkin · DAL Benn, Dowling, Faksa, Lindell, Heiskanen

  48. P3 0:46Shot by Janmark, saved by Bernier
  49. P3 0:48Goal by Hintz (Janmark, Sekera)+23 pts WP

    On ice: DET Filppula, Green, Nemeth, Glendening, Hirose · DAL Pavelski, Sekera, Klingberg, Janmark, Hintz

  50. P3 1:28Shot by Nemeth, saved by Khudobin
  51. P3 2:00Shot by Nemeth, saved by Khudobin
  52. P3 2:24Shot by Gardner, saved by Bernier
  53. P3 2:33Shot by Caamano, saved by Bernier
  54. P3 6:36Pavelski: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: DET Filppula, Green, Glendening, Cholowski, Hirose · DAL Pavelski, Sekera, Klingberg, Janmark, Hintz

  55. P3 7:17Shot by Mantha, saved by Khudobin5v4
  56. P3 8:14Dowling: Too many men on the ice (2 min)5v4

    On ice: DET Filppula, Nielsen, Green, Erne, Hronek · DAL Sekera, Klingberg, Janmark, Hintz

  57. P3 8:35Shot by Mantha, saved by Khudobin5v3
  58. P3 9:34Cogliano: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)5v4

    On ice: DET Nielsen, Green, Erne, Larkin, Hronek · DAL Sekera, Cogliano, Klingberg, Janmark

  59. P3 10:02Shot by Larkin, saved by Khudobin5v3
  60. P3 13:21Shot by DeKeyser, saved by Khudobin
  61. P3 14:45Shot by Seguin, saved by Bernier
  62. P3 15:40Shot by Erne, saved by Khudobin
  63. P3 16:37Shot by Abdelkader, saved by Khudobin
  64. P3 17:34Shot by Cogliano, saved by Bernier
  65. P3 18:16Shot by Helm, saved by Khudobin
  66. P3 18:51Shot by Abdelkader, saved by Khudobin
  67. P3 18:58Shot by DeKeyser, saved by Khudobin
  68. P3 19:06Goal by Mantha (Hronek, Larkin)+47 pts WP

    On ice: DET DeKeyser, Bertuzzi, Mantha, Larkin, Hronek · DAL Radulov, Seguin, Klingberg, Janmark, Heiskanen

  69. P3 19:42Shot by Klingberg, saved by Bernier5v6
  70. P3 19:58Shot by Radulov, saved by Bernier5v6
  71. P3 0:00Period end5v6
  72. P3 0:00Final