Sun, Oct 6, 2019·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit
Dallas Stars 3, Detroit Red Wings 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 55% of the time.
47%
8%
11%
34%
DET winsDAL wins
Dallas Stars
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 26:33 | 0.00 | 17.3% | +19.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 25:55 | 0.21 | 26.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 23:15 | 0.08 | 59.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21:22 | 0.15 | 21.3% | +14.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 20:45 | 0.00 | 46.7% | +23.3 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 17:20 | 0.48 | 86.4% | +43.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 17:19 | 0.14 | 87.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:03 | 0.30 | 44.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 16:27 | 0.00 | 10.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16:09 | 0.18 | 42.2% | +23.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 14:13 | 0.38 | 31.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 12:54 | 0.00 | 51.2% | +14.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10:45 | 0.17 | 62.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 10:36 | 0.09 | 11.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10:26 | 0.11 | 42.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:19 | 0.02 | 63.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 8:29 | 0.00 | 65.3% | +14.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 7:00 | 0.00 | 36.7% | 0.0 |
| L | 33 | 29 | 4 | .879 | 2.66 | −1.3 | 59:06 |
Detroit Red Wings
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 24:05 | 0.04 | 59.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 22:39 | 0.18 | 78.1% | +70.8 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 21:39 | 0.21 | 65.1% | +70.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21:02 | 0.06 | 69.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 20:47 | 0.07 | 63.7% | +23.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20:44 | 0.05 | 38.0% | +23.7 | |
| 4 | 0 | 4 | +1 | 8 | 19:27 | 0.88 | 59.6% | +107.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:52 | 0.27 | 64.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16:40 | 0.00 | 42.3% | +13.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:35 | 0.20 | 100.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 15:42 | 0.09 | 20.4% | +13.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 14:50 | 0.20 | 28.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:49 | 0.06 | 100.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:56 | 0.27 | 54.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:43 | 0.00 | 9.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10:26 | 0.05 | 54.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7:39 | 0.02 | 21.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 7:25 | 0.00 | 10.0% | 0.0 |
| W | 22 | 19 | 3 | .864 | 2.30 | −0.7 | 60:00 |