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Ice Lab

Sat, Oct 12, 2019·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit

Toronto Maple Leafs 5, Detroit Red Wings 2

Away

Toronto Maple Leafs

5

Final

Home

Detroit Red Wings

2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 75% of the time.

DET winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:40Shot by Matthews, saved by Howard
  3. P1 1:12Shot by Marner, saved by Howard
  4. P1 2:24Shot by Rielly, saved by Howard
  5. P1 3:43Shot by Nemeth, saved by Andersen
  6. P1 3:44Goal by de la Rose (Nemeth, Abdelkader)+13 pts WP

    On ice: DET Green, Abdelkader, Helm, Nemeth, de la Rose · TOR Holl, Johnsson, Nylander, Matthews, Sandin

  7. P1 5:46Shot by Matthews, saved by Howard
  8. P1 6:03Shot by Hronek, saved by Andersen
  9. P1 6:44Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Andersen
  10. P1 7:54Shot by Johnsson, saved by Howard
  11. P1 8:01Shot by Sandin, saved by Howard
  12. P1 8:55Shot by Marner, saved by Howard
  13. P1 9:57Goal by Shore (Timashov)+14 pts WP

    On ice: DET Glendening, Athanasiou, Bowey, Cholowski, Hirose · TOR Muzzin, Holl, Shore, Gauthier, Timashov

  14. P1 11:21Shot by Marner, saved by Howard
  15. P1 11:24Shot by Muzzin, saved by Howard
  16. P1 11:47Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Andersen
  17. P1 12:04Shot by Mantha, saved by Andersen
  18. P1 12:36Athanasiou: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)

    On ice: DET Glendening, Athanasiou, DeKeyser, Bowey, Hirose · TOR Muzzin, Barrie, Kerfoot, Moore, Mikheyev

  19. P1 13:18Shot by Johnsson, saved by Howard4v5
  20. P1 13:58Shot by Glendening, saved by Andersen4v5
  21. P1 13:59Shot by Ehn, saved by Andersen4v5
  22. P1 14:26Shot by Nemeth, saved by Andersen4v5
  23. P1 14:42Shot by Timashov, saved by Howard
  24. P1 15:48Filppula: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: DET Filppula, DeKeyser, Erne, Mantha, Hronek · TOR Tavares, Holl, Rielly, Kapanen, Marner

  25. P1 17:10Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Howard4v5
  26. P1 0:00Period end
  27. P2 0:00Period start
  28. P2 0:15Shot by Johnsson, saved by Howard
  29. P2 0:50Barrie: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: DET Green, Abdelkader, Helm, Nemeth, de la Rose · TOR Muzzin, Barrie, Johnsson, Nylander, Matthews

  30. P2 2:09Shot by Larkin, saved by Andersen5v4
  31. P2 2:46Shot by Green, saved by Andersen5v4
  32. P2 3:48Shot by Matthews, saved by Howard
  33. P2 3:51Shot by Johnsson, saved by Howard
  34. P2 4:01Shot by Marner, saved by Howard
  35. P2 6:08Shot by Mantha, saved by Andersen
  36. P2 6:39Shot by Erne, saved by Andersen
  37. P2 8:20Shot by Muzzin, saved by Howard
  38. P2 10:02Shot by Gauthier, saved by Howard
  39. P2 10:46Shot by Abdelkader, saved by Andersen
  40. P2 11:14Shot by Barrie, saved by Howard
  41. P2 11:49Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Andersen
  42. P2 15:39Shot by Larkin, saved by Andersen
  43. P2 16:08Shot by Gauthier, saved by Howard
  44. P2 16:14Shot by Shore, saved by Howard
  45. P2 17:21Shot by Johnsson, saved by Howard
  46. P2 19:23Shot by DeKeyser, saved by Andersen
  47. P2 19:30Goal by Mikheyev (Kapanen)+27 pts WP

    On ice: DET Filppula, DeKeyser, Bowey, Ehn, Hirose · TOR Muzzin, Rielly, Kerfoot, Kapanen, Mikheyev

  48. P2 0:00Period end
  49. P3 0:00Period start
  50. P3 1:34Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Andersen
  51. P3 2:53Shot by Nemeth, saved by Andersen
  52. P3 3:39Shot by Helm, saved by Andersen
  53. P3 3:46Shot by Cholowski, saved by Andersen
  54. P3 4:57Shot by DeKeyser, saved by Andersen
  55. P3 5:14Shot by Mikheyev, saved by Howard
  56. P3 5:33Shot by Green, saved by Andersen
  57. P3 6:54Shot by Mikheyev, saved by Howard
  58. P3 7:08Shot by Kapanen, saved by Howard
  59. P3 9:02Shot by Shore, saved by Howard
  60. P3 9:09Shot by Mikheyev, saved by Howard
  61. P3 9:11Goal by Kerfoot (Mikheyev, Sandin)+13 pts WP

    On ice: DET Glendening, Athanasiou, DeKeyser, Hronek, Hirose · TOR Ceci, Kerfoot, Moore, Sandin, Mikheyev

  62. P3 9:35Goal by Helm (Abdelkader, de la Rose)+13 pts WP

    On ice: DET Abdelkader, Helm, DeKeyser, de la Rose, Hronek · TOR Tavares, Ceci, Kapanen, Marner, Sandin

  63. P3 10:52Shot by Gauthier, saved by Howard
  64. P3 10:57Shot by Gauthier, saved by Howard
  65. P3 10:58Shot by Gauthier, saved by Howard
  66. P3 11:03Shot by Rielly, saved by Howard
  67. P3 12:12Shot by Hirose, saved by Andersen
  68. P3 12:59Shot by Hronek, saved by Andersen
  69. P3 13:21Shot by Barrie, saved by Howard
  70. P3 13:27Shot by Muzzin, saved by Howard
  71. P3 13:34Goal by Muzzin (Timashov)+10 pts WP

    On ice: DET Glendening, Athanasiou, Erne, Cholowski, Hronek · TOR Muzzin, Barrie, Shore, Gauthier, Timashov

  72. P3 14:58DeKeyser: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: DET Green, Abdelkader, Helm, DeKeyser, de la Rose · TOR Muzzin, Holl, Kerfoot, Moore, Mikheyev

  73. P3 15:16Shot by Johnsson, saved by Howard4v5
  74. P3 15:28Shot by Marner, saved by Howard4v5
  75. P3 17:47Goal by Moore (Tavares)6v50 pts WP

    On ice: DET Green, Bertuzzi, Mantha, Larkin, Cholowski, Hirose · TOR Tavares, Rielly, Ceci, Moore, Mikheyev

  76. P3 19:00Shot by Matthews, saved by Howard
  77. P3 19:58Shot by Abdelkader, saved by Andersen
  78. P3 0:00Period end
  79. P3 0:00Final