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Ice Lab

Sat, Oct 12, 2019·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit

Toronto Maple Leafs 5, Detroit Red Wings 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 75% of the time.

DET winsTOR wins

Toronto Maple Leafs

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Morgan RiellyD · #44000+2224:530.2661.8%0.0
Jake MuzzinD · #8101+3422:450.1670.7%+10.5
Tyson BarrieD · #94000+1222:430.0570.6%0.0
Cody CeciD · #83000+1022:420.0467.3%0.0
Auston MatthewsC · #34000−1419:530.1849.1%0.0
Kasperi KapanenRW · #240110118:150.0456.4%+27.3
William NylanderRW · #88000−1017:370.0046.2%0.0
Andreas JohnssonLW · #18000−1617:300.4247.3%0.0
John TavaresC · #910110017:040.0460.9%+0.4
Mitch MarnerRW · #16000−1516:250.3258.4%0.0
Alexander KerfootC · #15101+2215:090.3558.2%+13.2
Ilya MikheyevRW · #65112+3415:030.2165.7%+40.4
Trevor MooreLW · #42101+2113:520.5554.4%+0.4
Rasmus SandinD · #38011−1112:180.0154.6%+13.2
Frederik GauthierC · #33000+2511:120.7779.0%0.0
Justin HollD · #30000010:430.0047.0%0.0
Dmytro TimashovLW · #41022+2110:110.1178.8%+24.8
Nicholas ShoreC · #26101+239:450.2476.8%+14.3
Frederik Andersen#31W27252.9262.26+0.360:00

Detroit Red Wings

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Patrik NemethD · #22011+1323:580.1243.6%+13.4
Mike GreenD · #250000223:350.0453.6%0.0
Dylan LarkinC · #71000−1221:170.4046.3%0.0
Danny DeKeyserD · #65000−1221:140.0634.7%0.0
Filip HronekD · #17000−1221:000.0632.5%0.0
Anthony ManthaRW · #39000−1220:120.2469.0%0.0
Tyler BertuzziLW · #59000−1419:580.2439.9%0.0
Justin AbdelkaderLW · #8022+2215:320.0649.6%+26.2
Dennis CholowskiD · #21000−3115:020.0431.2%0.0
Jacob de la RoseLW · #61112+2115:010.2559.0%+26.2
Luke GlendeningC · #41000−3113:590.269.7%0.0
Andreas AthanasiouC · #72000−3013:540.0012.1%0.0
Madison BoweyD · #74000−2013:430.0018.5%0.0
Valtteri FilppulaC · #51000−1012:430.0028.4%0.0
Darren HelmC · #43101+2212:230.1748.7%+12.8
Adam ErneLW · #73000−1110:280.1028.7%0.0
Christoffer EhnC · #70000−1110:170.1727.7%0.0
Taro HiroseLW · #67000−4110:070.0525.4%0.0
Jimmy Howard#35L40364.9003.22−0.859:37