Sat, Oct 12, 2019·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit
Toronto Maple Leafs 5, Detroit Red Wings 2
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 75% of the time.
19%
8%
67%
DET winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 24:53 | 0.26 | 61.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 4 | 22:45 | 0.16 | 70.7% | +10.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 22:43 | 0.05 | 70.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 22:42 | 0.04 | 67.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 19:53 | 0.18 | 49.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18:15 | 0.04 | 56.4% | +27.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 17:37 | 0.00 | 46.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 6 | 17:30 | 0.42 | 47.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17:04 | 0.04 | 60.9% | +0.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 16:25 | 0.32 | 58.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 15:09 | 0.35 | 58.2% | +13.2 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 4 | 15:03 | 0.21 | 65.7% | +40.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 13:52 | 0.55 | 54.4% | +0.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 12:18 | 0.01 | 54.6% | +13.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 5 | 11:12 | 0.77 | 79.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:43 | 0.00 | 47.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 10:11 | 0.11 | 78.8% | +24.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 9:45 | 0.24 | 76.8% | +14.3 |
| W | 27 | 25 | 2 | .926 | 2.26 | +0.3 | 60:00 |
Detroit Red Wings
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 23:58 | 0.12 | 43.6% | +13.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23:35 | 0.04 | 53.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 21:17 | 0.40 | 46.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 21:14 | 0.06 | 34.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 21:00 | 0.06 | 32.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 20:12 | 0.24 | 69.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 19:58 | 0.24 | 39.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 15:32 | 0.06 | 49.6% | +26.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 15:02 | 0.04 | 31.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 15:01 | 0.25 | 59.0% | +26.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 13:59 | 0.26 | 9.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 0 | 13:54 | 0.00 | 12.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 13:43 | 0.00 | 18.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:43 | 0.00 | 28.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 12:23 | 0.17 | 48.7% | +12.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:28 | 0.10 | 28.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:17 | 0.17 | 27.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −4 | 1 | 10:07 | 0.05 | 25.4% | 0.0 |
| L | 40 | 36 | 4 | .900 | 3.22 | −0.8 | 59:37 |