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Ice Lab

Sat, Oct 12, 2019·NYCB Live/Nassau Coliseum, Uniondale

Florida Panthers 2, New York Islanders 3 (SO)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 60% of the time.

NYI winsFLA wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:00Shot by Hunt, saved by Varlamov
  3. P1 2:16Shot by Kuhnhackl, saved by Montembeault
  4. P1 4:20Shot by Eberle, saved by Montembeault
  5. P1 5:34Goal by Malgin (Dadonov, Weegar)+19 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Komarov, Kuhnhackl, Mayfield, Johnston, Toews · FLA Dadonov, Huberdeau, Weegar, Ekblad, Malgin

  6. P1 7:14Shot by Vatrano, saved by Varlamov
  7. P1 9:11Shot by Clutterbuck, saved by Montembeault
  8. P1 9:35Shot by Dadonov, saved by Varlamov
  9. P1 9:50Shot by Vatrano, saved by Varlamov
  10. P1 10:06Shot by Vatrano, saved by Varlamov
  11. P1 10:58Shot by Mayfield, saved by Montembeault
  12. P1 11:09Shot by Toews, saved by Montembeault
  13. P1 11:42Shot by Matheson, saved by Varlamov
  14. P1 12:03Shot by Hawryluk, saved by Varlamov
  15. P1 14:26Shot by Ekblad, saved by Varlamov
  16. P1 15:36Shot by Mayfield, saved by Montembeault
  17. P1 16:32Shot by Beauvillier, saved by Montembeault
  18. P1 16:43Shot by Stralman, saved by Varlamov
  19. P1 16:54Shot by Hunt, saved by Varlamov
  20. P1 17:17Shot by Acciari, saved by Varlamov
  21. P1 19:04Shot by Bailey, saved by Montembeault
  22. P1 19:55Shot by Clutterbuck, saved by Montembeault
  23. P1 0:00Period end
  24. P2 0:00Period start
  25. P2 1:46Weegar: Tripping (2 min)6v5

    On ice: NYI Bailey, Eberle, Lee, Pelech, Pulock, Barzal · FLA Hoffman, Weegar, Barkov, Ekblad, Vatrano

  26. P2 2:58Johnston: Too many men on the ice (2 min)5v4

    On ice: NYI Bailey, Eberle, Lee, Toews, Beauvillier · FLA Sceviour, Trocheck, Brown, Ekblad

  27. P2 3:45Shot by Pulock, saved by Montembeault4v4
  28. P2 5:40Goal by Lee (Barzal, Toews)+23 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Boychuk, Lee, Johnston, Toews, Barzal · FLA Stralman, Dadonov, Huberdeau, Matheson, Barkov

  29. P2 6:11Shot by Ekblad, saved by Varlamov
  30. P2 7:16Shot by Yandle, saved by Varlamov
  31. P2 7:28Shot by Brassard, saved by Montembeault
  32. P2 7:33Dal Colle: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Brassard, Bailey, Mayfield, Dal Colle, Toews · FLA Yandle, Connolly, Trocheck, Huberdeau, Brown

  33. P2 9:16Shot by Boychuk, saved by Montembeault4v5
  34. P2 9:55Shot by Eberle, saved by Montembeault
  35. P2 10:37Shot by Acciari, saved by Varlamov
  36. P2 10:45Shot by Acciari, saved by Varlamov
  37. P2 11:40Shot by Brown, saved by Varlamov
  38. P2 12:08Shot by Ekblad, saved by Varlamov
  39. P2 12:25Shot by Ekblad, saved by Varlamov
  40. P2 13:31Shot by Eberle, saved by Montembeault
  41. P2 13:46Shot by Barkov, saved by Varlamov
  42. P2 14:02Shot by Lee, saved by Montembeault
  43. P2 14:45Shot by Pelech, saved by Montembeault
  44. P2 15:18Shot by Clutterbuck, saved by Montembeault
  45. P2 17:31Goal by Bailey (Eberle, Pelech)+22 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Bailey, Eberle, Pelech, Pulock, Barzal · FLA Yandle, Dadonov, Brown, Hawryluk, Malgin

  46. P2 19:38Shot by Nelson, saved by Montembeault
  47. P2 19:58Shot by Hunt, saved by Varlamov
  48. P2 0:00Shot by Barkov, saved by Varlamov
  49. P2 0:00Period end
  50. P3 0:00Period start
  51. P3 0:25Shot by Nelson, saved by Montembeault
  52. P3 0:52Shot by Stralman, saved by Varlamov
  53. P3 1:24Shot by Barzal, saved by Montembeault
  54. P3 2:44Johnston: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: NYI Boychuk, Komarov, Kuhnhackl, Pulock, Johnston · FLA Yandle, Connolly, Huberdeau, Brown, Acciari

  55. P3 2:44Brown: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: NYI Boychuk, Komarov, Kuhnhackl, Pulock, Johnston · FLA Yandle, Connolly, Huberdeau, Brown, Acciari

  56. P3 5:09Shot by Nelson, saved by Montembeault
  57. P3 5:55Shot by Stralman, saved by Varlamov
  58. P3 7:21Shot by Dadonov, saved by Varlamov
  59. P3 8:12Shot by Yandle, saved by Varlamov
  60. P3 8:20Shot by Dadonov, saved by Varlamov
  61. P3 8:48Komarov: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Boychuk, Komarov, Leddy, Kuhnhackl, Johnston · FLA Matheson, Ekblad, Vatrano, Acciari, Malgin

  62. P3 9:07Shot by Barkov, saved by Varlamov4v5
  63. P3 10:03Shot by Barkov, saved by Varlamov4v5
  64. P3 10:40Shot by Mayfield, saved by Montembeault4v5
  65. P3 10:54Shot by Ekblad, saved by Varlamov
  66. P3 11:28Shot by Matheson, saved by Varlamov
  67. P3 12:22Shot by Ekblad, saved by Varlamov
  68. P3 13:58Goal by Dadonov (Huberdeau, Stralman)+35 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Brassard, Bailey, Pelech, Pulock, Dal Colle · FLA Stralman, Dadonov, Huberdeau, Matheson, Barkov

  69. P3 14:56Shot by Matheson, saved by Varlamov
  70. P3 15:15Shot by Toews, saved by Montembeault
  71. P3 18:55Shot by Malgin, saved by Varlamov
  72. P3 18:56Shot by Malgin, saved by Varlamov
  73. P3 0:00Period end
  74. OT 0:00Period start
  75. OT 1:26Shot by Brassard, saved by Montembeault3v3
  76. OT 1:51Shot by Nelson, saved by Montembeault3v3
  77. OT 2:37Shot by Yandle, saved by Varlamov3v3
  78. OT 2:46Shot by Lee, saved by Montembeault3v3
  79. OT 5:00Period end3v3
  80. SO Period start
  81. SO Goal by Nelson, unassistedother
  82. SO Shot by Trocheck, saved by Varlamovother
  83. SO Shot by Bailey, saved by Montembeaultother
  84. SO Shot by Huberdeau, saved by Varlamovother
  85. SO Period end
  86. SO Final