Fri, Oct 18, 2019·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh
Dallas Stars 2, Pittsburgh Penguins 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 81% of the time.
75%
12%
PIT winsDAL wins
Dallas Stars
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 3 | 25:17 | 0.10 | 27.8% | +12.9 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 25:08 | 0.12 | 50.5% | +35.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 22:45 | 0.08 | 18.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 21:50 | 0.02 | 61.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 2 | 21:45 | 0.50 | 52.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:58 | 0.16 | 32.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 17:16 | 0.03 | 46.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:04 | 0.00 | 54.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15:06 | 0.03 | 17.7% | +22.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 15:05 | 0.00 | 8.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 14:58 | 0.12 | 19.1% | +22.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:49 | 0.10 | 34.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:38 | 0.16 | 64.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:01 | 0.00 | 20.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:48 | 0.03 | 38.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10:38 | 0.15 | 90.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:31 | 0.00 | 33.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9:22 | 0.02 | 70.4% | 0.0 |
| L | 32 | 29 | 3 | .906 | 2.92 | −0.1 | 58:46 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +3 | 5 | 24:57 | 0.74 | 80.2% | +28.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 21:46 | 0.65 | 50.4% | +1.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 1 | 21:43 | 0.06 | 71.4% | +14.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 21:16 | 0.38 | 50.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 19:45 | 0.16 | 37.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 19:02 | 0.02 | 43.1% | +26.4 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 4 | 17:27 | 0.36 | 68.3% | +42.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 17:25 | 0.20 | 47.5% | +27.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 17:22 | 0.04 | 63.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 17:11 | 0.00 | 63.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 15:52 | 0.18 | 59.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:48 | 0.00 | 52.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 14:30 | 0.15 | 78.0% | +26.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 13:33 | 0.11 | 70.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 13:18 | 0.05 | 65.1% | +14.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:51 | 0.22 | 77.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:10 | 0.02 | 77.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:04 | 0.16 | 80.9% | 0.0 |
| W | 24 | 22 | 2 | .917 | 1.60 | −0.4 | 60:00 |