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Ice Lab

Sun, Oct 20, 2019·Madison Square Garden, New York

Vancouver Canucks 3, New York Rangers 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 70% of the time.

NYR winsVAN wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:21Shot by Staal, saved by Markstrom
  3. P1 0:30Shot by Strome, saved by Markstrom
  4. P1 0:38Shot by Strome, saved by Markstrom
  5. P1 1:05Shot by Hughes, saved by Lundqvist
  6. P1 2:18Shot by Motte, saved by Lundqvist
  7. P1 2:25Shot by Horvat, saved by Lundqvist
  8. P1 2:26Shot by Myers, saved by Lundqvist
  9. P1 2:46Shot by Staal, saved by Markstrom
  10. P1 3:47Shot by Pettersson, saved by Lundqvist
  11. P1 4:24Hajek: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Fast, Strome, Trouba, Buchnevich, Hajek · VAN Tanev, Pearson, Horvat, Virtanen, Hughes

  12. P1 4:30Shot by Boeser, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  13. P1 4:32Shot by Horvat, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  14. P1 6:01Goal by Horvat (Pettersson, Hughes)4v5+20 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Fast, Skjei, Trouba, Howden · VAN Miller, Horvat, Boeser, Pettersson, Hughes

  15. P1 6:45Shot by Kreider, saved by Markstrom
  16. P1 7:02Skjei: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Skjei, DeAngelo, Lemieux, Howden, Kakko · VAN Tanev, Pearson, Horvat, Virtanen, Hughes

  17. P1 7:13Shot by Miller, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  18. P1 8:35Shot by Hughes, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  19. P1 8:44Shot by Horvat, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  20. P1 8:55Shot by Miller, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  21. P1 9:43Schaller: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Staal, Kreider, Zibanejad, Panarin, Fox · VAN Edler, Beagle, Myers, Schaller, Motte

  22. P1 10:31Shot by Panarin, saved by Markstrom5v4
  23. P1 11:22Shot by Panarin, saved by Markstrom5v4
  24. P1 11:31Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Markstrom5v4
  25. P1 11:43Shot by Skjei, saved by Markstrom5v4
  26. P1 12:11Shot by Fast, saved by Markstrom
  27. P1 12:36Shot by Horvat, saved by Lundqvist
  28. P1 13:34Goal by Boeser (Pettersson)+14 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Staal, Smith, Strome, Fox, Kakko · VAN Benn, Miller, Boeser, Stecher, Pettersson

  29. P1 15:12Myers: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Staal, Kreider, Zibanejad, Panarin, Fox · VAN Edler, Myers, Pearson, Horvat, Virtanen

  30. P1 16:53Goal by Beagle (Tanev)5v4+9 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Kreider, Zibanejad, Trouba, Panarin, Kakko · VAN Edler, Beagle, Tanev, Schaller

  31. P1 17:10Shot by DeAngelo, saved by Markstrom5v4
  32. P1 17:18Shot by Sutter, saved by Lundqvist
  33. P1 17:51Shot by Pearson, saved by Lundqvist
  34. P1 18:27Shot by Pettersson, saved by Lundqvist
  35. P1 18:41Shot by Myers, saved by Lundqvist
  36. P1 19:12Shot by Kreider, saved by Markstrom
  37. P1 19:24Shot by Ferland, saved by Lundqvist
  38. P1 19:57Shot by Lemieux, saved by Markstrom
  39. P1 0:00Period end
  40. P2 0:00Period start
  41. P2 0:23Shot by Virtanen, saved by Lundqvist
  42. P2 1:42Shot by Smith, saved by Markstrom
  43. P2 2:09Shot by Ferland, saved by Lundqvist
  44. P2 4:14Shot by Kakko, saved by Markstrom
  45. P2 4:20Shot by Lemieux, saved by Markstrom
  46. P2 4:22Shot by Howden, saved by Markstrom
  47. P2 4:23Shot by Howden, saved by Markstrom
  48. P2 5:32Shot by Miller, saved by Lundqvist
  49. P2 5:37Shot by Miller, saved by Lundqvist
  50. P2 6:30Shot by Myers, saved by Lundqvist
  51. P2 6:35Shot by Edler, saved by Lundqvist
  52. P2 6:59Shot by Edler, saved by Lundqvist
  53. P2 7:25Shot by Leivo, saved by Lundqvist
  54. P2 8:10Shot by Horvat, saved by Lundqvist
  55. P2 8:56Shot by Smith, saved by Markstrom
  56. P2 10:09Staal: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Staal, Haley, Buchnevich, DeAngelo, Andersson · VAN Benn, Pearson, Horvat, Virtanen, Stecher

  57. P2 10:16Shot by Boeser, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  58. P2 11:41Shot by Hughes, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  59. P2 12:39Shot by Sutter, saved by Lundqvist
  60. P2 14:58Goal by Fast (Trouba, Strome)+7 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Fast, Strome, Trouba, Buchnevich, Hajek · VAN Sutter, Myers, Ferland, Leivo, Hughes

  61. P2 16:29Shot by Beagle, saved by Lundqvist
  62. P2 16:37Shot by Edler, saved by Lundqvist
  63. P2 16:39Shot by Beagle, saved by Lundqvist
  64. P2 16:42Shot by Schaller, saved by Lundqvist
  65. P2 16:49Beagle: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Kreider, Zibanejad, Buchnevich, DeAngelo, Hajek · VAN Edler, Beagle, Myers, Schaller, Motte

  66. P2 17:11Shot by DeAngelo, saved by Markstrom5v4
  67. P2 18:18Shot by Kakko, saved by Markstrom5v4
  68. P2 19:46Shot by Andersson, saved by Markstrom
  69. P2 19:51Shot by Pearson, saved by Lundqvist
  70. P2 0:00Period end
  71. P3 0:00Period start
  72. P3 1:28Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Markstrom
  73. P3 2:28Shot by Buchnevich, saved by Markstrom
  74. P3 2:48Shot by Fast, saved by Markstrom
  75. P3 2:53Shot by Strome, saved by Markstrom
  76. P3 4:39Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Markstrom
  77. P3 5:31Goal by Panarin (Fast, Zibanejad)+14 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Fast, Zibanejad, Skjei, DeAngelo, Panarin · VAN Sutter, Tanev, Pearson, Virtanen, Hughes

  78. P3 6:43Shot by Edler, saved by Lundqvist
  79. P3 7:11Shot by Kakko, saved by Markstrom
  80. P3 7:32Shot by DeAngelo, saved by Markstrom
  81. P3 7:35Shot by Kakko, saved by Markstrom
  82. P3 8:18Shot by Stecher, saved by Lundqvist
  83. P3 9:48Shot by Trouba, saved by Markstrom
  84. P3 10:02Shot by Panarin, saved by Markstrom
  85. P3 11:37Shot by Kakko, saved by Markstrom
  86. P3 12:11Shot by Sutter, saved by Lundqvist
  87. P3 12:35Shot by Miller, saved by Lundqvist
  88. P3 14:07Shot by Schaller, saved by Lundqvist
  89. P3 14:21Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Markstrom
  90. P3 15:09Shot by Staal, saved by Markstrom
  91. P3 16:30Shot by Horvat, saved by Lundqvist
  92. P3 16:57Shot by Panarin, saved by Markstrom
  93. P3 16:58Shot by Trouba, saved by Markstrom
  94. P3 18:12Shot by Buchnevich, saved by Markstrom
  95. P3 0:00Period end
  96. P3 0:00Final