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Ice Lab

Mon, Nov 4, 2019·Madison Square Garden, New York

Ottawa Senators 6, New York Rangers 2

Away

Ottawa Senators

6

Final

Home

New York Rangers

2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 85% of the time.

NYR winsOTT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:20Shot by DeAngelo, saved by Nilsson
  3. P1 0:33Shot by Panarin, saved by Nilsson
  4. P1 1:28Shot by Lemieux, saved by Nilsson
  5. P1 2:02Shot by Fox, saved by Nilsson
  6. P1 4:39Pageau: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Kreider, Fast, Strome, Skjei, Panarin, Fox · OTT Pageau, Duclair, Chabot, Zaitsev, Tkachuk

  7. P1 4:50Shot by Lemieux, saved by Nilsson5v4
  8. P1 7:52Shot by Panarin, saved by Nilsson
  9. P1 8:07Shot by Skjei, saved by Nilsson
  10. P1 8:19Beaudin: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: NYR Smith, Haley, Skjei, DeAngelo, Andersson · OTT Borowiecki, DeMelo, Brown, Paul, Beaudin

  11. P1 8:19DeAngelo: Fighting (5 min)5v4

    On ice: NYR Smith, Haley, Skjei, DeAngelo, Andersson · OTT Borowiecki, DeMelo, Brown, Paul, Beaudin

  12. P1 8:47Goal by Kakko (Fox, Lemieux)+14 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Lemieux, Fox, Lindgren, Howden, Kakko · OTT Tierney, Brown, Paul, Chabot, Zaitsev

  13. P1 10:40Shot by Strome, saved by Nilsson
  14. P1 10:42Shot by Strome, saved by Nilsson
  15. P1 11:23Shot by Boedker, saved by Georgiev
  16. P1 12:41Shot by Hajek, saved by Nilsson
  17. P1 13:43Borowiecki: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: NYR Fast, Strome, Skjei, Lemieux, Hajek · OTT Ryan, Borowiecki, DeMelo, Tierney, Tkachuk

  18. P1 13:43Lemieux: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: NYR Fast, Strome, Skjei, Lemieux, Hajek · OTT Ryan, Borowiecki, DeMelo, Tierney, Tkachuk

  19. P1 14:13Shot by Ennis, saved by Georgiev
  20. P1 14:54Shot by Duclair, saved by Georgiev
  21. P1 14:56Goal by Pageau (Duclair)+15 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Smith, Haley, Trouba, Hajek, Andersson · OTT Pageau, Duclair, Chabot, Zaitsev, Tkachuk

  22. P1 15:12Shot by Beaudin, saved by Georgiev
  23. P1 15:59Shot by Hainsey, saved by Georgiev
  24. P1 16:22Shot by Ennis, saved by Georgiev
  25. P1 17:08Shot by Duclair, saved by Georgiev
  26. P1 17:11Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Georgiev
  27. P1 17:16Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Georgiev
  28. P1 17:17Strome: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Kreider, Fast, Strome, Trouba, Hajek · OTT Hainsey, DeMelo, Pageau, Duclair, Tkachuk

  29. P1 17:17Trouba: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Kreider, Fast, Strome, Trouba, Hajek · OTT Hainsey, DeMelo, Pageau, Duclair, Tkachuk

  30. P1 17:17Duclair: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Kreider, Fast, Strome, Trouba, Hajek · OTT Hainsey, DeMelo, Pageau, Duclair, Tkachuk

  31. P1 17:56Skjei: Tripping (2 min)4v5

    On ice: NYR Smith, Fast, Skjei, Howden · OTT Ryan, Ennis, Namestnikov, Tierney, Tkachuk

  32. P1 18:19Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Georgiev3v5
  33. P1 18:31Goal by Ennis (Chabot, Namestnikov)3v5+21 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Smith, Lindgren, Howden · OTT Ryan, Ennis, Namestnikov, Chabot, Tkachuk

  34. P1 18:49Shot by Namestnikov, saved by Georgiev4v5
  35. P1 18:52Shot by Paul, saved by Georgiev4v5
  36. P1 0:00Period end
  37. P2 0:00Period start
  38. P2 2:11Trouba: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Smith, Haley, Trouba, Hajek, Andersson · OTT Hainsey, Ryan, Ennis, Tierney, Brannstrom

  39. P2 3:51Shot by Smith, saved by Nilsson4v5
  40. P2 4:12Goal by Hainsey (Tkachuk, Boedker)+16 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Smith, Skjei, Trouba, Howden, Andersson · OTT Hainsey, Boedker, DeMelo, Pageau, Tkachuk

  41. P2 4:42Shot by Fox, saved by Nilsson
  42. P2 5:27Shot by Skjei, saved by Nilsson
  43. P2 5:42Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Georgiev
  44. P2 7:17Shot by Tierney, saved by Georgiev
  45. P2 7:50Shot by Strome, saved by Nilsson
  46. P2 8:30Hajek: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Trouba, Lemieux, Hajek, Howden, Kakko · OTT Ryan, Ennis, Duclair, Chabot, Tkachuk

  47. P2 8:54Shot by Ryan, saved by Georgiev4v5
  48. P2 11:27Shot by Fox, saved by Nilsson
  49. P2 11:43Goal by Pageau, unassisted+8 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Buchnevich, DeAngelo, Panarin, Fox, Chytil · OTT Hainsey, Boedker, Pageau, Paul, Zaitsev

  50. P2 12:00Namestnikov: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Fast, Strome, Trouba, Panarin, Hajek · OTT Hainsey, Namestnikov, Brown, Chlapik, Zaitsev

  51. P2 12:42Shot by DeAngelo, saved by Nilsson5v4
  52. P2 13:57Shot by Fox, saved by Nilsson5v4
  53. P2 14:54Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Georgiev
  54. P2 14:56Goal by Tkachuk, unassisted+3 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Fast, Skjei, DeAngelo, Lemieux, Howden · OTT Duclair, Chabot, Beaudin, Brannstrom, Tkachuk

  55. P2 15:30Shot by Namestnikov, saved by Georgiev
  56. P2 16:12Shot by Tierney, saved by Georgiev
  57. P2 16:46Chlapik: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Kreider, Buchnevich, Fox, Lindgren, Chytil · OTT Boedker, Pageau, Chabot, Chlapik, Brannstrom

  58. P2 17:34Goal by Panarin (Kakko, DeAngelo)5v4+2 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Kreider, Strome, DeAngelo, Panarin, Kakko · OTT Hainsey, Pageau, Namestnikov, Zaitsev

  59. P2 18:29Shot by Haley, saved by Nilsson
  60. P2 18:56Shot by Howden, saved by Nilsson
  61. P2 19:00Shot by Hajek, saved by Nilsson
  62. P2 19:07Shot by DeAngelo, saved by Nilsson
  63. P2 19:56Shot by Ennis, saved by Georgiev
  64. P2 0:00Period end
  65. P3 0:00Period start
  66. P3 0:51Shot by Kakko, saved by Nilsson
  67. P3 2:16Shot by Howden, saved by Nilsson
  68. P3 3:15Shot by DeAngelo, saved by Nilsson
  69. P3 4:12Panarin: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Kreider, Trouba, Buchnevich, Hajek, Chytil · OTT Ryan, Ennis, Duclair, Chabot, Tkachuk

  70. P3 4:34Shot by Ennis, saved by Georgiev4v5
  71. P3 5:27Shot by Lemieux, saved by Nilsson4v5
  72. P3 5:35Goal by Namestnikov (Brown, Paul)4v5+1 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Strome, Skjei, Trouba, Lemieux · OTT DeMelo, Namestnikov, Brown, Paul, Brannstrom

  73. P3 5:52Shot by Kreider, saved by Nilsson
  74. P3 6:24Lindgren: Illegal check to head (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Haley, Buchnevich, Fox, Lindgren, Chytil · OTT Hainsey, Boedker, Chlapik, Beaudin, Brannstrom

  75. P3 7:02Tkachuk: Interference (2 min)4v5

    On ice: NYR Fast, Skjei, Trouba, Howden · OTT Ennis, Pageau, Duclair, Chabot, Tkachuk

  76. P3 8:40Shot by Panarin, saved by Nilsson5v4
  77. P3 8:45Shot by Panarin, saved by Nilsson5v4
  78. P3 9:36Shot by Brannstrom, saved by Georgiev
  79. P3 10:01Shot by Fox, saved by Nilsson
  80. P3 13:04Lemieux: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Fast, DeAngelo, Lemieux, Fox, Chytil · OTT Pageau, Duclair, Chabot, Zaitsev, Tkachuk

  81. P3 13:04Tkachuk: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Fast, DeAngelo, Lemieux, Fox, Chytil · OTT Pageau, Duclair, Chabot, Zaitsev, Tkachuk

  82. P3 13:04Lemieux: Misconduct (10 min)

    On ice: NYR Fast, DeAngelo, Lemieux, Fox, Chytil · OTT Pageau, Duclair, Chabot, Zaitsev, Tkachuk

  83. P3 13:39Shot by Pageau, saved by Georgiev4v4
  84. P3 13:41Shot by Chabot, saved by Georgiev4v4
  85. P3 18:04Shot by Trouba, saved by Nilsson
  86. P3 18:13Shot by Trouba, saved by Nilsson
  87. P3 19:00Shot by Lindgren, saved by Nilsson
  88. P3 19:54Shot by Ennis, saved by Georgiev
  89. P3 0:00Period end
  90. P3 0:00Final