Sat, Nov 16, 2019·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh
Toronto Maple Leafs 1, Pittsburgh Penguins 6
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 78% of the time.
72%
16%
PIT winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 0 | 22:53 | 0.02 | 55.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21:35 | 0.00 | 18.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:56 | 0.10 | 22.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:35 | 0.19 | 51.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 18:19 | 0.61 | 29.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 4 | 17:35 | 0.15 | 32.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 0 | 17:30 | 0.00 | 29.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 17:17 | 0.10 | 18.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −4 | 3 | 17:06 | 0.04 | 44.1% | +1.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 16:19 | 0.14 | 15.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:14 | 0.02 | 42.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 15:22 | 0.02 | 14.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 7 | 15:16 | 0.35 | 69.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14:29 | 0.04 | 66.2% | +1.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13:58 | 0.09 | 77.2% | +1.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:58 | 0.16 | 44.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:28 | 0.03 | 51.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:18 | 0.01 | 62.3% | 0.0 |
| L | 38 | 32 | 6 | .842 | 3.82 | −2.2 | 60:00 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 2 | 22:04 | 0.04 | 79.5% | +8.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 21:58 | 0.10 | 64.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21:11 | 0.02 | 60.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 0 | 20:44 | 0.00 | 83.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17:31 | 0.00 | 28.5% | +4.0 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 5 | 16:47 | 0.93 | 75.6% | +22.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 16:44 | 0.23 | 65.6% | +0.6 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 16:39 | 0.46 | 76.8% | +26.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16:20 | 0.40 | 65.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:20 | 0.17 | 64.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15:48 | 0.12 | 28.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 15:37 | 0.41 | 75.1% | +26.3 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 13:51 | 0.16 | 61.5% | +5.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 1 | 13:51 | 0.16 | 70.9% | +1.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:32 | 0.34 | 24.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:58 | 0.00 | 21.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12:54 | 0.13 | 26.7% | +13.2 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 2 | 11:16 | 0.15 | 61.5% | +14.2 |
| W | 33 | 32 | 1 | .970 | 2.06 | +1.1 | 59:55 |