Mon, Nov 18, 2019·Gila River Arena, Glendale
Los Angeles Kings 0, Arizona Coyotes 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 53% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK | 06 | 014 | 011 | 031 |
| ARI | 213 | 16 | 08 | 327 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 3:12ARIConor GarlandGWGAssists: Christian Dvorak, Nick Schmaltz · Wrist, 0.13 xG0–1
- P1 14:48ARIDerek StepanPPAssists: Christian Dvorak, Phil Kessel · Wrist, 0.22 xG0–2
- P2 10:47ARIJakob ChychrunPPAssists: Conor Garland, Nick Schmaltz · Slap, 0.11 xG0–3
Penalties (8)
- P1 14:00LAKBen Hutton: Interference2 min · PPG
- P1 17:28LAKAlex Iafallo: Interference2 min
- P2 3:09ARIMichael Grabner: Holding2 min
- P2 6:30ARIChristian Dvorak: Slashing2 min
- P2 9:30LAKNikolai Prokhorkin: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P2 11:00LAKBlake Lizotte: High sticking2 min
- P2 13:30ARIJakob Chychrun: Hooking2 min
- P2 19:28ARIBrad Richardson: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Kopitar won the faceoff against Richardson
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestBrown – Kopitar – Iafallo9:38
xG 0.23–0.09 (72%)attempts 11–4goals 0–0
- Kempe – Wagner – Lizotte2:54
xG 0.11–0.00 (100%)attempts 4–0goals 0–0
- Carter – Toffoli – Amadio6:21
xG 0.16–0.32 (33%)attempts 8–8goals 0–0
- Clifford – Prokhorkin – Luff7:42
xG 0.16–0.40 (28%)attempts 12–9goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestDoughty – Walker16:09
xG 0.66–0.34 (66%)attempts 14–12goals 0–0
- Martinez – Hutton13:02
xG 0.45–0.41 (52%)attempts 22–11goals 0–0
Arizona Coyotes
Forward lines
- Stepan – Hinostroza – Dvorak2:05
xG 0.00–0.03 (0%)attempts 0–1goals 0–0
- Stepan – Hinostroza – Keller6:45
xG 0.05–0.13 (30%)attempts 4–7goals 0–0
- Schmaltz – Dvorak – Garland8:41
xG 0.22–0.31 (41%)attempts 6–8goals 1–0
- Soderberg – Kessel – Crouse8:52
xG 0.38–0.48 (44%)attempts 8–12goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestDemers – Ekman-Larsson14:20
xG 0.65–0.50 (56%)attempts 16–15goals 1–0
- Goligoski – Chychrun13:01
xG 0.45–0.52 (47%)attempts 12–22goals 0–0
- Ness – Oesterle14:17
xG 0.25–0.38 (40%)attempts 6–19goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
ARI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line ARI is favoured, below it LAK. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 53% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (ARI − LAK), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).