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Ice Lab

Thu, Nov 21, 2019·United Center, Chicago

Tampa Bay Lightning 4, Chicago Blackhawks 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 70% of the time.

CHI winsTBL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:24Shot by Killorn, saved by Crawford
  3. P1 1:02Shot by Point, saved by Crawford
  4. P1 1:38Shot by Sergachev, saved by Crawford
  5. P1 2:10Shot by Paquette, saved by Crawford
  6. P1 2:14Shot by McDonagh, saved by Crawford
  7. P1 3:37Shot by Kane, saved by McElhinney
  8. P1 3:51Shot by DeBrincat, saved by McElhinney
  9. P1 4:02Shot by Stamkos, saved by Crawford
  10. P1 5:13Shot by Nylander, saved by McElhinney
  11. P1 7:57Shot by Gourde, saved by Crawford
  12. P1 8:12Shot by McDonagh, saved by Crawford
  13. P1 9:17Shot by Shaw, saved by McElhinney
  14. P1 9:22Shot by Kane, saved by McElhinney
  15. P1 11:00Shot by Johnson, saved by Crawford
  16. P1 11:04Shot by Coburn, saved by Crawford
  17. P1 12:40Shot by Saad, saved by McElhinney
  18. P1 12:55Shot by Rutta, saved by Crawford
  19. P1 12:56Killorn: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: CHI Toews, Saad, Murphy, Koekkoek, Nylander · TBL Killorn, Joseph, Cirelli, Sergachev, Rutta

  20. P1 13:38Shot by Kane, saved by McElhinney5v4
  21. P1 15:00Keith: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: CHI Keith, Saad, Strome, Nylander, Dach · TBL Killorn, Shattenkirk, Gourde, Point, Sergachev

  22. P1 15:12Shot by Toews, saved by McElhinney4v5
  23. P1 16:10Goal by Sergachev (Gourde, Maroon)4v5+21 pts WP

    On ice: CHI Seabrook, Toews, Maatta, Carpenter · TBL Shattenkirk, Maroon, Palat, Gourde, Sergachev

  24. P1 16:24Shot by Murphy, saved by McElhinney
  25. P1 16:49Shot by Cernak, saved by Crawford
  26. P1 16:53Shot by Joseph, saved by Crawford
  27. P1 19:14Shot by Kane, saved by McElhinney
  28. P1 19:18Shot by Murphy, saved by McElhinney
  29. P1 19:45Cernak: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: CHI Smith, Murphy, Maatta, Carpenter, Kampf · TBL Maroon, McDonagh, Gourde, Paquette, Cernak

  30. P1 19:56Shot by Gustafsson, saved by McElhinney5v4
  31. P1 0:00Period end5v4
  32. P2 0:00Period start
  33. P2 1:33Shot by DeBrincat, saved by McElhinney5v4
  34. P2 2:04Shot by Johnson, saved by Crawford
  35. P2 3:11Shot by Gourde, saved by Crawford
  36. P2 4:07Shot by Cirelli, saved by Crawford
  37. P2 4:19Shot by Joseph, saved by Crawford
  38. P2 4:21Shot by Conacher, saved by Crawford
  39. P2 5:04Shot by Toews, saved by McElhinney
  40. P2 5:59Shot by Kane, saved by McElhinney
  41. P2 7:56Shot by Johnson, saved by Crawford
  42. P2 8:06Shot by Maroon, saved by Crawford
  43. P2 9:46Shot by Koekkoek, saved by McElhinney
  44. P2 9:59Shot by Toews, saved by McElhinney
  45. P2 10:22Shot by Conacher, saved by Crawford
  46. P2 13:57Shot by Palat, saved by Crawford
  47. P2 14:26Shot by Cirelli, saved by Crawford
  48. P2 15:53Shot by Kane, saved by McElhinney
  49. P2 16:04Shot by Kane, saved by McElhinney
  50. P2 16:05Rutta: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: CHI Kane, de Haan, Shaw, Maatta, Dach · TBL Hedman, Palat, Gourde, Point, Rutta

  51. P2 19:10Shot by Toews, saved by McElhinney
  52. P2 0:00Period end
  53. P3 0:00Period start
  54. P3 0:19Shot by DeBrincat, saved by McElhinney
  55. P3 0:25Shot by Seabrook, saved by McElhinney
  56. P3 2:43Kampf: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: CHI Seabrook, Smith, de Haan, Carpenter, Kampf · TBL Killorn, Shattenkirk, Hedman, Joseph, Cirelli

  57. P3 3:31Shot by Hedman, saved by Crawford4v5
  58. P3 3:59Shot by Shattenkirk, saved by Crawford4v5
  59. P3 4:42Shot by Point, saved by Crawford4v5
  60. P3 4:54Shot by Hedman, saved by Crawford
  61. P3 5:12Shot by Kane, saved by McElhinney
  62. P3 5:47Shot by Smith, saved by McElhinney
  63. P3 6:09Shot by Nylander, saved by McElhinney
  64. P3 6:43Shot by Palat, saved by Crawford
  65. P3 8:12Shot by Toews, saved by McElhinney
  66. P3 8:13Shot by Saad, saved by McElhinney
  67. P3 8:18Shot by de Haan, saved by McElhinney
  68. P3 8:27Goal by Seabrook (Saad, Toews)+32 pts WP

    On ice: CHI Seabrook, Toews, de Haan, Shaw, Saad · TBL McDonagh, Palat, Paquette, Point, Cernak

  69. P3 9:44Goal by Cirelli (Hedman, Killorn)+34 pts WP

    On ice: CHI Smith, Murphy, Maatta, Carpenter, Nylander · TBL Killorn, Shattenkirk, Hedman, Joseph, Cirelli

  70. P3 12:23Goal by Point (Palat)+12 pts WP

    On ice: CHI Kane, Murphy, Maatta, Kampf, Dach · TBL McDonagh, Johnson, Palat, Point, Cernak

  71. P3 12:38Shot by Carpenter, saved by McElhinney
  72. P3 14:45Shot by Maatta, saved by McElhinney
  73. P3 14:52Saad: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: CHI Toews, Shaw, Saad, Murphy, Maatta · TBL McDonagh, Johnson, Palat, Point, Cernak

  74. P3 15:40Shot by Shattenkirk, saved by Crawford4v5
  75. P3 15:51Shot by Maroon, saved by Crawford4v5
  76. P3 15:52Shot by Maroon, saved by Crawford4v5
  77. P3 17:16Shot by Shaw, saved by McElhinney6v5
  78. P3 17:17Goal by Strome (Shaw, Kane)6v5+6 pts WP

    On ice: CHI Toews, Kane, Shaw, Gustafsson, Strome, DeBrincat · TBL Killorn, McDonagh, Paquette, Cernak, Cirelli

  79. P3 19:00Goal by Paquette (Cirelli, Killorn)6v5+2 pts WP

    On ice: CHI Saad, Gustafsson, Strome, Nylander, Kampf, Dach · TBL Killorn, McDonagh, Hedman, Paquette, Cirelli

  80. P3 19:19Shot by de Haan, saved by McElhinney
  81. P3 0:00Period end6v5
  82. P3 0:00Final