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Ice Lab

Thu, Nov 21, 2019·United Center, Chicago

Tampa Bay Lightning 4, Chicago Blackhawks 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 70% of the time.

CHI winsTBL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

CHI forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Maroon–Gourde–PaquetteJohnson–Palat–PointKillorn–Joseph–CirelliStamkos–Palat–PointKillorn–Conacher–CirelliConacher–Joseph–CirelliJohnson–Conacher–PointMcDonagh–CernakShattenkirk–HedmanCoburn–SergachevSergachev–RuttaShattenkirk–SergachevCoburn–RuttaHedman–CernakCoburn–HedmanMcDonagh–RuttaCernak–Sergachev
Kane–Strome–DeBrincat3:070.21–0.001:290.14–0.002:060.00–0.020:390.00–0.004:050.27–0.032:120.09–0.000:460.00–0.000:350.06–0.00
Smith–Carpenter–Kampf1:240.00–0.151:500.01–0.200:530.00–0.100:390.00–0.001:100.00–0.201:440.00–0.101:160.00–0.200:440.00–0.141:200.00–0.03
Toews–Saad–Nylander2:330.03–0.251:050.22–0.001:030.05–0.020:320.00–0.060:480.02–0.102:070.14–0.061:010.00–0.060:360.03–0.020:340.00–0.090:380.06–0.000:310.00–0.00
Kane–Shaw–Dach1:320.00–0.000:550.00–0.110:430.03–0.001:120.00–0.371:430.03–0.370:470.00–0.001:190.00–0.03
Toews–Shaw–Saad0:480.03–0.001:180.41–0.000:330.00–0.00
Toews–Kane–DeBrincat0:360.00–0.000:530.00–0.00
Kane–Kampf–Dach0:450.00–0.000:320.00–0.110:320.00–0.110:450.00–0.00
Smith–Carpenter–Nylander1:110.02–0.10
Toews–Kane–Nylander0:370.00–0.000:450.00–0.00
Murphy–Maatta2:160.03–0.022:310.02–0.151:290.00–0.101:170.00–0.002:560.02–0.111:470.00–0.100:310.00–0.001:230.03–0.050:550.05–0.000:320.00–0.000:390.00–0.00
Keith–Gustafsson4:020.03–0.160:390.00–0.001:230.05–0.002:210.09–0.112:140.00–0.061:030.00–0.00
Seabrook–de Haan1:000.07–0.001:100.00–0.000:530.00–0.030:460.45–0.002:450.08–0.00
Keith–de Haan2:060.20–0.090:570.00–0.060:470.00–0.061:070.15–0.000:340.00–0.090:340.06–0.00
Seabrook–Koekkoek0:470.12–0.001:040.08–0.081:250.00–0.220:370.00–0.101:550.12–0.221:310.08–0.10
Keith–Murphy0:400.00–0.151:100.00–0.000:410.00–0.000:560.00–0.150:450.00–0.00
Maatta–Gustafsson0:340.00–0.060:420.00–0.000:470.00–0.000:390.10–0.06
Koekkoek–Gustafsson0:320.00–0.030:380.02–0.000:300.00–0.000:560.14–0.14
Murphy–Koekkoek0:300.03–0.020:330.00–0.120:490.03–0.12
de Haan–Gustafsson0:460.00–0.00
de Haan–Murphy0:370.00–0.120:360.00–0.12
Keith–Seabrook0:460.00–0.03
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndDeBrincat FStrome FKane FToews FSaad FNylander FDach FShaw FCarpenter FSmith FKampf FSeabrook DKoekkoek DKeith Dde Haan DMurphy DMaatta DGustafsson DCrawford GJoseph FKillorn FCirelli FStamkos FPalat FPoint FMaroon FGourde FPaquette FJohnson FConacher FMcDonagh DCernak DShattenkirk DHedman DRutta DSergachev DCoburn DMcElhinney G
CHITBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Patrick KaneCHI3027:520:562:4521
Jonathan ToewsCHI2521:470:521:4665
Victor HedmanTBL2320:440:541:2172
Erik GustafssonCHI1720:251:122:1832
Ryan McDonaghTBL2720:240:451:3822
Brayden PointTBL2820:060:431:1573
Duncan KeithCHI2220:040:552:0114
Yanni GourdeTBL2418:560:471:2942
Connor MurphyCHI2018:550:571:4413
Anthony CirelliTBL2818:530:401:3846
Tyler JohnsonTBL2518:370:451:3774
Ondrej PalatTBL2918:280:381:1553
Alex KillornTBL2818:170:391:3863
Erik CernakTBL2118:160:521:5722
Alex DeBrincatCHI2017:570:541:3932
Andrew ShawCHI2117:410:512:1351
Cedric PaquetteTBL2517:320:421:5724
Brandon SaadCHI2217:210:471:2034
Mikhail SergachevTBL2417:210:431:2220
Calvin de HaanCHI1816:360:551:2404
Kevin ShattenkirkTBL2316:350:431:1351
Dylan StromeCHI1916:260:521:3712
Patrick MaroonTBL2216:000:441:1841
Olli MaattaCHI1915:340:491:3703
Ryan CarpenterCHI2014:560:451:3616
Kirby DachCHI1613:470:521:2600
David KampfCHI1913:240:421:2615
Alex NylanderCHI1612:460:481:3642
Mathieu JosephTBL1912:190:391:1732
Braydon CoburnTBL1612:180:461:1802
Cory ConacherTBL1812:100:411:1143
Brent SeabrookCHI1712:070:431:1405
Jan RuttaTBL1911:320:361:3803
Zack SmithCHI1611:180:421:2614
Slater KoekkoekCHI118:140:451:3425
Steven StamkosTBL95:170:351:0623