Mon, Nov 25, 2019·Amalie Arena, Tampa
Buffalo Sabres 2, Tampa Bay Lightning 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 55% of the time.
Play-by-play
Model-basedEvery event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.
- P1 0:00Period start
- P1 0:13Goal by Kucherov (Palat)+10 pts WP
On ice: TBL McDonagh, Palat, Kucherov, Point, Cernak · BUF Miller, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Olofsson, Eichel
- P1 1:26Shot by Cirelli, saved by Hutton
- P1 1:47Shot by Sheary, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P1 3:38Shot by Olofsson, saved by Vasilevskiy6v5
- P1 3:40Goal by Reinhart (Olofsson, Eichel)+11 pts WP
On ice: TBL Killorn, McDonagh, Cernak, Joseph, Cirelli · BUF Scandella, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Olofsson, Eichel
- P1 4:57Shot by Point, saved by Hutton4v5
- P1 4:58Shot by Schenn, saved by Hutton4v5
- P1 6:45Shot by Girgensons, saved by Vasilevskiy3v5
- P1 11:43Shot by Skinner, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P1 11:44Shot by Skinner, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P1 12:12Shot by Schenn, saved by Hutton
- P1 12:59Shot by Kucherov, saved by Hutton
- P1 13:08Shot by Olofsson, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P1 14:08Shot by Mittelstadt, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P1 15:58Shot by Cernak, saved by Hutton
- P1 15:58Shot by Gourde, saved by Hutton
- P1 16:02Hutton: Tripping (2 min)3v5
On ice: TBL Maroon, Hedman, Gourde, Paquette, Cernak · BUF Bogosian, Girgensons, Vesey, Ristolainen
- P1 17:07Shot by Girgensons, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P1 17:52Shot by Gourde, saved by Hutton
- P1 18:48Shot by Eichel, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P1 19:55Shot by Skinner, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P1 0:00Period end
- P2 0:00Period start
- P2 0:56Shot by Scandella, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P2 1:48Goal by Vesey, unassisted+22 pts WP
On ice: TBL Coburn, Johnson, Verhaeghe, Cirelli, Sergachev · BUF Bogosian, Miller, Vesey, Lazar, Asplund
- P2 2:56Kucherov: High sticking (2 min)5v4
On ice: TBL McDonagh, Schenn, Kucherov, Verhaeghe, Point · BUF Miller, Vesey, Ristolainen, Sheary, Mittelstadt
- P2 3:31Shot by Mittelstadt, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
- P2 3:45Shot by Mittelstadt, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
- P2 3:51Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
- P2 4:19Shot by Vesey, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
- P2 5:20Shot by Point, saved by Hutton5v4
- P2 5:34Larsson: High sticking (2 min)
On ice: TBL Shattenkirk, Johnson, Kucherov, Point, Sergachev · BUF Bogosian, Larsson, Miller, Girgensons, Lazar
- P2 7:20Goal by Sergachev (Palat, Shattenkirk)+23 pts WP
On ice: TBL Shattenkirk, Maroon, Palat, Gourde, Sergachev · BUF Vesey, Ristolainen, Olofsson, Jokiharju
- P2 8:12Shot by Mittelstadt, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P2 8:37Shot by Miller, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P2 9:26Goal by Gourde (McDonagh, Maroon)+19 pts WP
On ice: TBL Maroon, McDonagh, Schenn, Gourde, Paquette · BUF Scandella, Larsson, Girgensons, Ristolainen, Lazar
- P2 9:52Shot by Girgensons, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
- P2 10:13Shot by Skinner, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P2 11:46Shot by Asplund, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P2 12:01Shot by Hedman, saved by Hutton
- P2 12:08Gourde: High sticking (2 min)
On ice: TBL Coburn, Maroon, Hedman, Gourde, Paquette · BUF Miller, Vesey, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Asplund
- P2 14:55Shot by Shattenkirk, saved by Hutton4v5
- P2 17:07Killorn: Tripping (2 min)
On ice: TBL Coburn, Killorn, Schenn, Joseph, Cirelli · BUF Bogosian, Larsson, Vesey, Asplund, Jokiharju
- P2 18:21Shot by Montour, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
- P2 18:41Shot by Eichel, saved by Vasilevskiy3v5
- P2 18:47Shot by Mittelstadt, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
- P2 18:56Shot by Eichel, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
- P2 19:03Shot by Eichel, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
- P2 0:00Larsson: Holding (2 min)
On ice: TBL McDonagh, Palat, Kucherov, Point, Cernak · BUF Scandella, Larsson, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Olofsson
- P2 0:00Period end5v4
- P3 0:00Period start
- P3 1:57Shot by Point, saved by Hutton5v4
- P3 2:06Shot by McDonagh, saved by Hutton
- P3 2:08Shot by Johnson, saved by Hutton
- P3 3:12Shot by Gourde, saved by Hutton
- P3 5:41Shot by Olofsson, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P3 6:13Scandella: Hooking (2 min)
On ice: TBL Coburn, Schenn, Palat, Kucherov, Point · BUF Scandella, Skinner, Sheary, Mittelstadt, Jokiharju
- P3 6:20Shot by Kucherov, saved by Hutton5v4
- P3 7:03Shot by Hedman, saved by Hutton5v4
- P3 7:24Shot by Kucherov, saved by Hutton5v4
- P3 8:00Shot by Asplund, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
- P3 8:07Shattenkirk: Tripping (2 min)
On ice: TBL Shattenkirk, Maroon, Palat, Gourde, Sergachev · BUF Bogosian, Vesey, Asplund, Jokiharju
- P3 8:17Goal by Paquette (Cirelli, McDonagh)+14 pts WP
On ice: TBL McDonagh, Paquette, Cernak, Cirelli · BUF Scandella, Skinner, Reinhart, Montour, Eichel
- P3 9:06Goal by Palat (Joseph)+4 pts WP
On ice: TBL Hedman, Palat, Cernak, Joseph · BUF Skinner, Reinhart, Montour, Olofsson, Eichel
- P3 10:22Shot by Cirelli, saved by Hutton
- P3 12:13Shot by Gourde, saved by Hutton
- P3 13:38Shot by Vesey, saved by Vasilevskiy
- P3 15:25Shot by Coburn, saved by Hutton
- P3 15:58Shot by Verhaeghe, saved by Hutton
- P3 18:35Shot by Killorn, saved by Hutton
- P3 19:55Shot by Verhaeghe, saved by Hutton
- P3 0:00Period end
- P3 0:00Final