Mon, Nov 25, 2019·Amalie Arena, Tampa
Buffalo Sabres 2, Tampa Bay Lightning 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 55% of the time.
37%
8%
10%
46%
TBL winsBUF wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
Shift data for this game has gaps, so treat the charts as approximate.
TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BUF's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Reinhart–Olofsson–Eichel | Skinner–Sheary–Mittelstadt | Larsson–Girgensons–Lazar | Larsson–Girgensons–Vesey | Skinner–Vesey–Asplund | Girgensons–Vesey–Asplund | Scandella–Jokiharju | Bogosian–Montour | Miller–Ristolainen | Montour–Dahlin | Bogosian–Miller | Scandella–Ristolainen | Jokiharju–Dahlin | Bogosian–Jokiharju | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Palat–Kucherov–Point | 6:340.12–0.16 | 1:020.00–0.00 | 1:070.04–0.15 | 2:380.00–0.17 | 2:090.00–0.00 | 2:050.07–0.03 | 0:570.07–0.00 | 1:330.04–0.07 | ||||||
| Killorn–Joseph–Cirelli | 1:340.00–0.82 | 2:290.08–0.05 | 2:280.07–0.03 | 0:430.00–0.00 | 2:060.01–0.03 | 0:430.00–0.00 | 1:500.06–0.04 | 0:300.00–0.78 | 1:070.07–0.00 | 0:470.00–0.00 | ||||
| Maroon–Gourde–Paquette | 3:130.28–0.13 | 0:530.01–0.25 | 0:330.00–0.00 | 1:170.10–0.04 | 1:000.00–0.00 | 1:070.20–0.00 | 1:340.00–0.16 | 1:180.01–0.25 | ||||||
| Johnson–Verhaeghe–Cirelli | 0:400.00–0.00 | 0:420.00–0.04 | 0:310.06–0.10 | 0:470.00–0.21 | 1:130.06–0.13 | |||||||||
| Johnson–Verhaeghe–Joseph | 0:440.14–0.00 | 0:400.14–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Johnson–Kucherov–Verhaeghe | 0:500.00–0.11 | 0:320.00–0.11 | ||||||||||||
| Johnson–Gourde–Verhaeghe | 0:360.00–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Maroon–Johnson–Verhaeghe | 0:410.02–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Johnson–Kucherov–Point | 0:430.16–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| McDonagh–Cernak | 5:400.09–0.92 | 1:430.06–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.00 | 1:590.00–0.06 | 2:210.16–0.00 | 1:550.04–0.00 | 0:470.06–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 2:090.04–0.85 | |||||
| Shattenkirk–Sergachev | 0:550.00–0.00 | 1:430.00–0.06 | 1:040.04–0.10 | 1:200.00–0.02 | 0:450.00–0.06 | 0:470.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| Schenn–Hedman | 1:290.10–0.07 | 0:530.01–0.25 | 0:540.10–0.00 | 0:400.00–0.07 | 0:450.01–0.25 | 0:390.02–0.00 | ||||||||
| Coburn–Sergachev | 0:420.00–0.00 | 1:260.02–0.11 | 0:570.00–0.02 | 1:100.00–0.00 | 1:150.00–0.11 | 0:520.00–0.21 | ||||||||
| Shattenkirk–Hedman | 1:110.00–0.00 | 0:560.05–0.00 | 1:160.07–0.03 | 2:210.01–0.03 | 0:410.11–0.00 | |||||||||
| McDonagh–Schenn | 1:090.06–0.00 | 0:420.00–0.04 | 0:310.06–0.10 | 1:090.06–0.00 | 0:470.05–0.00 | 1:130.06–0.13 | ||||||||
| Coburn–Hedman | 0:390.00–0.00 | 0:460.00–0.11 | 0:380.00–0.15 | 0:390.02–0.00 | 0:390.00–0.00 | |||||||||
| Coburn–Schenn | 0:430.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Schenn–Sergachev | 0:440.14–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 1:110.14–0.00 | |||||||||||
| McDonagh–Hedman | 0:480.03–0.03 | |||||||||||||
| Coburn–Shattenkirk | 0:350.00–0.00 | 1:190.01–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Cernak–Sergachev | 0:360.00–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
TBLBUFFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Jack EichelBUF | 22 | 22:57 | 1:03 | 2:58 | 6 | 0 |
 Victor OlofssonBUF | 26 | 22:56 | 0:53 | 2:33 | 6 | 0 |
 Ryan McDonaghTBL | 24 | 22:53 | 0:57 | 1:51 | 1 | 5 |
 Sam ReinhartBUF | 23 | 22:51 | 1:00 | 2:48 | 6 | 2 |
 Victor HedmanTBL | 24 | 20:57 | 0:52 | 1:40 | 3 | 4 |
 Nikita KucherovTBL | 21 | 20:34 | 0:59 | 2:23 | 2 | 3 |
 Brayden PointTBL | 21 | 19:54 | 0:57 | 2:23 | 2 | 4 |
 Jimmy VeseyBUF | 24 | 18:59 | 0:47 | 1:59 | 1 | 4 |
 Zach BogosianBUF | 21 | 18:45 | 0:54 | 2:45 | 1 | 4 |
 Erik CernakTBL | 20 | 18:29 | 0:55 | 1:23 | 0 | 5 |
 Alex KillornTBL | 23 | 18:19 | 0:48 | 1:23 | 3 | 1 |
 Jeff SkinnerBUF | 20 | 18:13 | 0:55 | 2:04 | 5 | 0 |
 Brandon MontourBUF | 22 | 18:05 | 0:49 | 1:59 | 2 | 1 |
 Yanni GourdeTBL | 23 | 17:35 | 0:46 | 1:15 | 1 | 4 |
 Ondrej PalatTBL | 22 | 17:07 | 0:47 | 1:12 | 1 | 4 |
 Casey MittelstadtBUF | 20 | 17:03 | 0:51 | 2:04 | 2 | 0 |
 Rasmus RistolainenBUF | 22 | 16:55 | 0:46 | 1:25 | 1 | 2 |
 Marco ScandellaBUF | 19 | 16:33 | 0:52 | 2:06 | 1 | 3 |
 Henri JokiharjuBUF | 19 | 16:24 | 0:52 | 2:06 | 1 | 1 |
 Anthony CirelliTBL | 21 | 16:17 | 0:47 | 1:13 | 2 | 4 |
 Mikhail SergachevTBL | 19 | 15:49 | 0:50 | 1:23 | 4 | 0 |
 Conor ShearyBUF | 19 | 15:26 | 0:49 | 1:25 | 2 | 0 |
 Tyler JohnsonTBL | 17 | 15:14 | 0:54 | 1:29 | 5 | 0 |
 Colin MillerBUF | 17 | 14:55 | 0:53 | 2:38 | 2 | 4 |
 Patrick MaroonTBL | 18 | 14:36 | 0:49 | 1:10 | 2 | 2 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsBUF | 20 | 13:47 | 0:41 | 1:18 | 1 | 3 |
 Cedric PaquetteTBL | 19 | 13:35 | 0:43 | 1:15 | 2 | 5 |
 Mathieu JosephTBL | 16 | 12:52 | 0:48 | 1:14 | 1 | 1 |
 Luke SchennTBL | 16 | 12:28 | 0:47 | 1:47 | 0 | 2 |
 Kevin ShattenkirkTBL | 17 | 12:28 | 0:44 | 1:12 | 1 | 1 |
 Braydon CoburnTBL | 18 | 12:15 | 0:41 | 1:06 | 4 | 1 |
 Johan LarssonBUF | 21 | 12:11 | 0:35 | 1:00 | 1 | 2 |
 Rasmus DahlinBUF | 12 | 11:23 | 0:57 | 1:18 | 4 | 0 |
 Carter VerhaegheTBL | 13 | 10:22 | 0:48 | 1:15 | 2 | 0 |
 Rasmus AsplundBUF | 16 | 9:21 | 0:35 | 1:05 | 0 | 3 |
 Curtis LazarBUF | 15 | 9:04 | 0:36 | 0:56 | 1 | 1 |