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Ice Lab

Wed, Nov 27, 2019·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit

Toronto Maple Leafs 6, Detroit Red Wings 0

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 91% of the time.

DET winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:11Shot by Matthews, saved by Howard
  3. P1 0:35Shot by Larkin, saved by Andersen
  4. P1 1:04Shot by Tavares, saved by Howard
  5. P1 1:04Goal by Dermott (Mikheyev, Tavares)+19 pts WP

    On ice: DET Nielsen, Ericsson, Helm, Glendening, Bowey · TOR Tavares, Hyman, Ceci, Dermott, Mikheyev

  6. P1 1:27Shot by Kapanen, saved by Howard
  7. P1 1:43Shot by Petan, saved by Howard
  8. P1 2:24Goal by Barrie (Gauthier, Timashov)+14 pts WP

    On ice: DET Bowey, Perlini, Ehn, Cholowski, Hirose · TOR Barrie, Gauthier, Engvall, Dermott, Timashov

  9. P1 5:07Shot by Hirose, saved by Andersen
  10. P1 6:16Shot by Nemeth, saved by Andersen
  11. P1 6:30Shot by Fabbri, saved by Andersen
  12. P1 6:51Shot by Larkin, saved by Andersen
  13. P1 7:11Shot by Barrie, saved by Howard
  14. P1 7:33Shot by Barrie, saved by Howard
  15. P1 8:08Shot by Fabbri, saved by Andersen
  16. P1 9:25Shot by Hyman, saved by Howard
  17. P1 9:34Shot by Barrie, saved by Howard
  18. P1 9:36Shot by Muzzin, saved by Howard
  19. P1 9:38Shot by Tavares, saved by Howard
  20. P1 9:40Shot by Tavares, saved by Howard
  21. P1 9:48Goal by Tavares (Barrie, Mikheyev)+9 pts WP

    On ice: DET McIlrath, Perlini, Ehn, Cholowski, Hirose · TOR Muzzin, Tavares, Barrie, Hyman, Mikheyev

  22. P1 10:45Shot by Rielly, saved by Bernier
  23. P1 11:01Shot by Cholowski, saved by Andersen
  24. P1 13:28Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Andersen
  25. P1 13:30Shot by Nemeth, saved by Andersen
  26. P1 14:58Shot by Helm, saved by Andersen
  27. P1 15:22Shot by Fabbri, saved by Andersen
  28. P1 18:03Shot by Nylander, saved by Bernier
  29. P1 0:00Period end
  30. P2 0:00Period start
  31. P2 0:21Shot by Johnsson, saved by Bernier
  32. P2 0:34Shot by Matthews, saved by Bernier
  33. P2 0:39Shot by Johnsson, saved by Bernier
  34. P2 1:03Goal by Nylander (Rielly, Johnsson)+4 pts WP

    On ice: DET Nemeth, Bowey, Bertuzzi, Larkin, Fabbri · TOR Rielly, Ceci, Johnsson, Nylander, Matthews

  35. P2 2:45Shot by Holl, saved by Bernier
  36. P2 3:22Shot by Engvall, saved by Bernier
  37. P2 3:32Shot by Nylander, saved by Bernier
  38. P2 3:34Shot by Rielly, saved by Bernier
  39. P2 3:34Goal by Nylander (Johnsson, Rielly)+2 pts WP

    On ice: DET Nemeth, Bowey, Bertuzzi, Larkin, Fabbri · TOR Rielly, Ceci, Johnsson, Nylander, Matthews

  40. P2 3:49Shot by Mikheyev, saved by Bernier
  41. P2 4:47Shot by Zadina, saved by Andersen
  42. P2 5:43Shot by Johnsson, saved by Bernier
  43. P2 5:45Hronek: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: DET Helm, Nemeth, Larkin, Fabbri, Hronek · TOR Rielly, Ceci, Johnsson, Nylander, Matthews

  44. P2 6:37Shot by Barrie, saved by Bernier4v5
  45. P2 6:46Shot by Tavares, saved by Bernier4v5
  46. P2 7:07Goal by Johnsson (Spezza, Kapanen)4v5+1 pts WP

    On ice: DET Nielsen, Nemeth, McIlrath, Glendening · TOR Spezza, Muzzin, Johnsson, Petan, Kapanen

  47. P2 7:35Shot by Engvall, saved by Bernier
  48. P2 10:31Shot by Fabbri, saved by Andersen
  49. P2 10:37Shot by Ericsson, saved by Andersen
  50. P2 12:58Shot by Rielly, saved by Bernier
  51. P2 13:16Shot by Rielly, saved by Bernier
  52. P2 14:48Shot by Dermott, saved by Bernier
  53. P2 14:51Shot by Petan, saved by Bernier
  54. P2 15:54Shot by Engvall, saved by Bernier
  55. P2 17:28Shot by Hyman, saved by Bernier
  56. P2 18:04Shot by Athanasiou, saved by Andersen
  57. P2 18:17Shot by Matthews, saved by Bernier
  58. P2 18:21Shot by Johnsson, saved by Bernier
  59. P2 18:45Shot by Ehn, saved by Andersen
  60. P2 19:12Shot by Rielly, saved by Bernier
  61. P2 19:24Shot by Gauthier, saved by Bernier
  62. P2 19:50Shot by Gauthier, saved by Bernier
  63. P2 0:00Period end
  64. P3 0:00Period start
  65. P3 0:06Shot by Matthews, saved by Bernier
  66. P3 0:25Shot by Rielly, saved by Bernier
  67. P3 0:35Shot by Helm, saved by Andersen
  68. P3 0:45Shot by Filppula, saved by Andersen
  69. P3 1:59Shot by McIlrath, saved by Andersen
  70. P3 2:02Shot by Perlini, saved by Andersen
  71. P3 2:25Shot by Muzzin, saved by Bernier
  72. P3 2:40Shot by Nemeth, saved by Andersen
  73. P3 4:18Shot by Muzzin, saved by Bernier
  74. P3 5:15Shot by Engvall, saved by Bernier
  75. P3 7:21Shot by Holl, saved by Bernier
  76. P3 8:22Shot by Kapanen, saved by Bernier
  77. P3 10:11Shot by Matthews, saved by Bernier
  78. P3 10:46Shot by Hronek, saved by Andersen
  79. P3 12:32Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Andersen
  80. P3 12:58Shot by Athanasiou, saved by Andersen
  81. P3 14:03Shot by Gauthier, saved by Bernier
  82. P3 16:04Shot by Nylander, saved by Bernier
  83. P3 16:55Shot by Barrie, saved by Bernier
  84. P3 18:02Shot by Zadina, saved by Andersen
  85. P3 18:13Shot by Petan, saved by Bernier
  86. P3 0:00Period end
  87. P3 0:00Final