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Ice Lab

Wed, Nov 27, 2019·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit

Toronto Maple Leafs 6, Detroit Red Wings 0

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 91% of the time.

DET winsTOR wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

DET forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TOR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Tavares–Hyman–MikheyevSpezza–Petan–KapanenJohnsson–Nylander–MatthewsGauthier–Engvall–TimashovBarrie–DermottRielly–CeciMuzzin–HollBarrie–RiellyCeci–DermottMuzzin–CeciMuzzin–Barrie
Bertuzzi–Larkin–Fabbri2:490.11–0.035:020.14–0.166:350.49–1.121:460.00–0.341:090.11–0.009:290.25–1.323:400.03–0.330:480.00–0.090:320.11–0.001:060.21–0.00
Perlini–Ehn–Hirose0:590.00–0.721:290.00–0.135:460.08–0.282:230.06–0.092:180.00–0.182:580.02–0.220:560.00–0.72
Nielsen–Glendening–Athanasiou3:340.14–0.102:300.05–0.001:190.01–0.104:030.14–0.090:450.00–0.092:310.06–0.01
Filppula–Helm–Zadina1:290.03–0.083:210.08–0.091:400.06–0.002:410.11–0.001:550.03–0.092:390.05–0.08
Filppula–Athanasiou–Zadina3:230.12–0.070:520.00–0.092:360.12–0.020:530.00–0.050:590.00–0.09
Nielsen–Helm–Glendening1:560.06–0.021:270.06–0.020:410.06–0.000:390.00–0.27
Nielsen–Athanasiou–Zadina0:310.00–0.00
McIlrath–Cholowski4:420.11–0.986:230.03–0.260:490.00–0.003:310.11–0.116:130.20–0.163:340.00–0.294:450.04–0.170:440.00–0.72
Nemeth–Hronek1:550.00–0.002:000.00–0.028:170.60–0.221:500.01–0.193:290.01–0.085:170.21–0.332:570.06–0.011:150.00–0.091:080.21–0.00
Ericsson–Bowey3:420.20–0.492:160.10–0.201:540.08–0.273:120.00–0.343:220.17–0.173:410.00–0.353:560.21–0.590:480.11–0.27
Ericsson–Hronek2:030.19–0.000:320.00–0.291:310.03–0.000:320.08–0.001:110.11–0.002:530.03–0.14
Nemeth–Bowey0:590.00–0.001:420.00–0.951:030.00–0.002:210.00–0.95
Bowey–Cholowski1:440.02–0.000:310.00–0.000:540.00–0.021:490.02–0.020:580.03–0.00
Cholowski–Hronek1:290.11–0.001:230.11–0.00
Ericsson–McIlrath0:570.00–0.070:570.00–0.07
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndFabbri FBertuzzi FLarkin FGlendening FHelm FNielsen FZadina FFilppula FAthanasiou FPerlini FHirose FEhn FHronek DNemeth DEricsson DBowey DMcIlrath DCholowski DHoward GBernier GJohnsson FMatthews FNylander FHyman FMikheyev FTavares FSpezza FKapanen FPetan FGauthier FTimashov FEngvall FRielly DBarrie DDermott DCeci DHoll DMuzzin DAndersen G
DETTORFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Tyson BarrieTOR2522:580:551:4450
Filip HronekDET2521:220:511:4122
Dylan LarkinDET2221:140:582:4623
Dennis CholowskiDET2120:591:002:4614
Patrik NemethDET2320:470:541:4105
Morgan RiellyTOR2320:160:531:4841
Travis DermottTOR2320:130:531:3140
Tyler BertuzziDET2019:490:592:1423
Cody CeciTOR2319:480:521:4841
Dylan McIlrathDET2019:250:583:0015
Madison BoweyDET2519:020:461:2325
Jake MuzzinTOR2118:500:542:0234
Robby FabbriDET2218:440:512:3324
Jonathan EricssonDET2318:250:481:2132
Justin HollTOR2117:350:501:1434
John TavaresTOR2116:560:481:1740
Auston MatthewsTOR2216:480:461:3461
Filip ZadinaDET1716:340:581:3520
Ilya MikheyevTOR1916:110:511:4430
Kasperi KapanenTOR1816:070:541:3063
Zach HymanTOR1915:550:501:4440
William NylanderTOR2315:250:401:1861
Valtteri FilppulaDET1915:240:491:3020
Nic PetanTOR1815:230:511:2355
Jason SpezzaTOR1815:120:511:2954
Andreas AthanasiouDET1914:450:471:2334
Andreas JohnssonTOR2314:310:381:1861
Frans NielsenDET2114:080:401:1218
Luke GlendeningDET2414:000:351:16110
Darren HelmDET2013:090:391:0922
Frederik GauthierTOR1612:520:481:3122
Pierre EngvallTOR1612:420:481:3122
Dmytro TimashovTOR1612:180:461:3132
Christoffer EhnDET1310:550:501:2321
Taro HiroseDET139:590:461:0821
Brendan PerliniDET139:570:461:0420