Wed, Nov 27, 2019·Gila River Arena, Glendale
Anaheim Ducks 3, Arizona Coyotes 4 (SO)
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Arizona Coyotes win this game 51% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANA | 111 | 114 | 19 | 00 | 1 | 334 |
| ARI | 28 | 012 | 16 | 02 | 2 | 428 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 3:02ARIChristian DvorakAssists: Oliver Ekman-Larsson, Clayton Keller · Slap, 0.21 xG0–1
- P1 6:22ANABrendan GuhleSHAssists: Ryan Getzlaf, Rickard Rakell · Wrist, 0.01 xG1–1
- P1 18:22ARIChristian DvorakAssists: Vinnie Hinostroza, Jason Demers · Wrist, 0.11 xG1–2
- P2 11:42ANASam SteelAssists: Nick Ritchie, Cam Fowler · Wrist, 0.13 xG2–2
- P3 10:00ANATroy TerryAssists: Erik Gudbranson, Cam Fowler · Wrist, 0.05 xG3–2
- P3 10:38ARIAlex GoligoskiSHAssists: Christian Fischer · Wrist, 0.02 xG3–3
Shootout
- 1. ANA Troy Terry stopped
- 2. ARI Nick Schmaltz stopped
- 3. ANA Sam Steel stopped
- 4. ARI Conor Garland scored
- 5. ANA Ondrej Kase scored
- 6. ARI Phil Kessel stopped
- 7. ANA Ryan Getzlaf stopped
- 8. ARI Christian Dvorak scored
Penalties (7)
- P1 2:17ANAOndrej Kase: Slashing2 min
- P1 6:48ARIMichael Grabner: Tripping2 min
- P2 12:12ARIChristian Fischer: Interference2 min
- P2 12:12ANARickard Rakell: Embellishment2 min
- P2 0:00ARIBarrett Hayton: Hooking2 min
- P3 11:22ARIJakob Chychrun: Tripping2 min
- OT 2:41ANAMax Jones: Slashing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Stepan won the faceoff against Grant
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against. Shift data for this game is incomplete, so treat these as rough.
Anaheim Ducks
Forward lines
- bestGetzlaf – Rakell – Terry10:23
xG 0.57–0.43 (57%)attempts 16–9goals 2–1
- Henrique – Silfverberg – Jones10:23
xG 0.39–0.35 (53%)attempts 8–7goals 0–0
- Grant – Deslauriers – Rowney11:40
xG 0.03–0.22 (13%)attempts 8–7goals 0–0
- Ritchie – Kase – Steel10:36
xG 0.56–0.87 (39%)attempts 16–13goals 1–1
Defence pairs
- bestLindholm – Larsson13:41
xG 0.50–0.14 (77%)attempts 12–11goals 1–1
- Holzer – Lindholm2:43
xG 0.18–0.00 (100%)attempts 7–0goals 0–0
- Holzer – Guhle9:23
xG 0.43–0.51 (46%)attempts 10–8goals 1–0
Arizona Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestRichardson – Grabner – Fischer9:11
xG 0.53–0.36 (59%)attempts 8–7goals 1–0
- Kessel – Schmaltz – Keller13:35
xG 0.78–0.62 (56%)attempts 15–20goals 0–2
- Stepan – Hinostroza – Dvorak9:53
xG 0.55–0.42 (57%)attempts 7–8goals 1–1
- Soderberg – Garland – Hayton8:57
xG 0.09–0.23 (27%)attempts 4–12goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestOesterle – Lyubushkin13:11
xG 0.71–0.10 (88%)attempts 16–8goals 0–1
- Goligoski – Chychrun18:39
xG 0.75–0.37 (67%)attempts 17–16goals 1–0
- Demers – Ekman-Larsson14:17
xG 0.54–1.17 (32%)attempts 7–25goals 1–2
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
ARI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line ARI is favoured, below it ANA. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Arizona Coyotes win this game 51% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (ARI − ANA), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).