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Ice Lab

Sat, Dec 7, 2019·Enterprise Center, St. Louis

Toronto Maple Leafs 5, St. Louis Blues 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 53% of the time.

STL winsTOR wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

STL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TOR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Tavares–Hyman–MarnerAberg–Nylander–MatthewsKerfoot–Kapanen–MikheyevSpezza–Petan–EngvallTavares–Nylander–MatthewsBarrie–RiellyMuzzin–HollCeci–DermottBarrie–DermottRielly–CeciMuzzin–Ceci
Bozak–Schenn–Schwartz2:320.18–0.001:510.02–0.001:020.00–0.040:310.00–0.001:220.07–0.004:360.11–0.050:530.13–0.00
Walker–Barbashev–Thomas1:320.11–0.102:100.00–0.341:090.05–0.001:300.05–0.001:010.00–0.021:360.11–0.15
Perron–O'Reilly–de la Rose2:580.00–0.302:070.00–0.300:370.00–0.000:360.14–0.00
Schenn–Schwartz–Walker2:380.24–0.020:490.00–0.001:190.24–0.001:280.00–0.020:320.00–0.000:490.00–0.00
Bozak–Barbashev–Thomas0:370.00–0.001:460.07–0.202:170.07–0.20
Perron–O'Reilly–Sanford1:520.00–0.152:000.00–0.100:340.00–0.04
Brouwer–MacEachern–de la Rose2:160.02–0.001:350.02–0.000:530.00–0.00
MacEachern–Barbashev–Thomas1:090.10–0.000:470.03–0.001:180.13–0.000:360.00–0.00
Perron–O'Reilly–Barbashev1:100.00–0.010:400.00–0.001:460.00–0.01
Brouwer–de la Rose–Walker0:460.00–0.050:580.05–0.00
Perron–O'Reilly–MacEachern1:050.00–0.000:560.00–0.00
Brouwer–O'Reilly–MacEachern0:350.10–0.00
Bortuzzo–Dunn4:420.13–0.221:550.07–0.001:330.00–0.002:060.02–0.043:560.18–0.270:340.00–0.00
Bouwmeester–Pietrangelo3:260.04–0.301:090.00–0.320:390.00–0.001:470.00–0.403:000.04–0.001:460.00–0.04
Pietrangelo–Parayko2:550.00–0.040:500.00–0.000:430.00–0.002:160.00–0.002:160.05–0.040:320.00–0.00
Faulk–Dunn0:590.00–0.000:410.00–0.041:180.00–0.051:540.11–0.051:520.00–0.05
Bouwmeester–Faulk0:390.00–0.101:430.19–0.020:340.12–0.000:300.00–0.002:300.24–0.100:440.00–0.020:340.12–0.00
Faulk–Parayko1:180.00–0.011:080.02–0.000:450.03–0.000:370.16–0.002:120.03–0.010:590.18–0.000:510.00–0.00
Parayko–Dunn0:520.00–0.000:450.09–0.000:470.10–0.041:110.00–0.000:370.03–0.04
Bouwmeester–Bortuzzo0:470.13–0.000:360.06–0.100:340.00–0.000:340.00–0.000:430.00–0.000:580.19–0.100:340.00–0.00
Pietrangelo–Faulk1:330.14–0.001:330.14–0.00
Pietrangelo–Dunn0:490.00–0.000:340.06–0.001:030.11–0.00
Bouwmeester–Parayko0:370.00–0.000:440.05–0.000:440.05–0.000:310.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndSanford FPerron FO'Reilly FSchenn FSchwartz FWalker FThomas FBozak FBarbashev FMacEachern FBrouwer Fde la Rose FPietrangelo DParayko DBouwmeester DFaulk DDunn DBortuzzo DBinnington GAllen GHyman FMarner FTavares FMatthews FAberg FNylander FKerfoot FKapanen FMikheyev FSpezza FEngvall FPetan FHoll DMuzzin DRielly DBarrie DDermott DCeci DAndersen G
STLTORFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Alex PietrangeloSTL2824:250:521:5775
Vince DunnSTL2823:220:501:3972
Morgan RiellyTOR2721:550:491:3662
Tyson BarrieTOR2521:490:521:3640
Ryan O'ReillySTL2320:350:541:4353
Jake MuzzinTOR2620:220:471:5027
Cody CeciTOR2720:190:452:1636
David PerronSTL2219:480:541:4050
John TavaresTOR2219:370:541:4522
Brayden SchennSTL2219:360:531:5475
Mitch MarnerTOR2419:090:481:3136
Jaden SchwartzSTL2219:010:521:3275
Tyler BozakSTL2318:500:492:1873
Zach HymanTOR2218:500:511:2816
Ivan BarbashevSTL2218:280:501:4613
Justin HollTOR2518:070:431:2826
Colton ParaykoSTL2617:580:411:4526
Jay BouwmeesterSTL2117:570:511:4324
Auston MatthewsTOR2017:560:541:2643
Justin FaulkSTL2417:510:451:2832
Robert ThomasSTL1917:340:551:4622
William NylanderTOR2016:280:491:2043
Travis DermottTOR2215:540:432:1621
Kasperi KapanenTOR2014:350:441:0663
Ilya MikheyevTOR1913:380:431:0753
Robert BortuzzoSTL1913:230:421:1713
Nathan WalkerSTL1612:490:481:1525
Alexander KerfootTOR1812:360:421:0263
Jacob de la RoseSTL1912:040:381:3022
Pontus AbergTOR1612:030:451:1243
Mackenzie MacEachernSTL1611:060:420:5703
Pierre EngvallTOR1710:360:371:2221
Jason SpezzaTOR159:400:391:0431
Nic PetanTOR149:020:391:1241
Troy BrouwerSTL147:360:330:5611
Zachary SanfordSTL75:270:471:1100