Sat, Dec 14, 2019·SAP Center at San Jose, San Jose
Vancouver Canucks 2, San Jose Sharks 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 65% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 07 | 012 | 216 | 235 |
| SJS | 112 | 07 | 38 | 427 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 10:50SJSTomas HertlAssists: Joe Thornton · Wrist, 0.12 xG0–1
- P3 7:09SJSTimo MeierAssists: Evander Kane, Erik Karlsson · Snap, 0.05 xG0–2
- P3 7:57VANJake VirtanenAssists: Adam Gaudette, Chris Tanev · Wrist, 0.04 xG1–2
- P3 18:39SJSEvander KaneENGWGAssists: Logan Couture, Barclay Goodrow · Wrist, 0.64 xG1–3
- P3 19:31VANBo HorvatAssists: Quinn Hughes, Brock Boeser · Wrist, 0.24 xG2–3
- P3 19:52SJSLogan CoutureENAssists: Marc-Edouard Vlasic · Wrist, 0.61 xG2–4
Penalties (7)
- P1 4:32VANTroy Stecher: Interference2 min
- P1 16:23SJSMario Ferraro: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P1 18:53SJSTim Heed: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P2 11:50VANJake Virtanen: Roughing2 min
- P2 11:50SJSBrenden Dillon: Roughing2 min
- P2 12:41VANTyler Myers: Tripping2 min
- P3 12:34SJSKevin Labanc: Holding2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Horvat won the faceoff against Goodrow
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestMiller – Boeser – Pettersson8:10
xG 0.33–0.10 (77%)attempts 9–4goals 0–0
- Sutter – Beagle – Schaller5:25
xG 0.21–0.11 (65%)attempts 6–7goals 0–0
- Leivo – Pearson – Horvat12:47
xG 0.42–0.33 (56%)attempts 14–12goals 0–0
- Roussel – Boeser – Gaudette3:33
xG 0.20–0.22 (48%)attempts 6–5goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestTanev – Fantenberg12:01
xG 0.25–0.04 (85%)attempts 11–5goals 0–0
- Benn – Stecher9:53
xG 0.52–0.49 (52%)attempts 10–12goals 0–1
- Myers – Hughes16:10
xG 0.78–0.77 (50%)attempts 18–17goals 1–1
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- bestThornton – Hertl – Labanc11:17
xG 0.49–0.18 (73%)attempts 14–7goals 1–1
- Sorensen – Karlsson – Gregor6:27
xG 0.17–0.20 (45%)attempts 3–8goals 0–0
- Marleau – Goodrow – Blichfeld10:30
xG 0.36–0.44 (45%)attempts 9–12goals 0–0
- Couture – Kane – Meier11:25
xG 0.38–0.65 (37%)attempts 12–12goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestHeed – Ferraro11:39
xG 0.71–0.25 (74%)attempts 15–7goals 1–1
- Burns – Dillon16:45
xG 0.48–1.05 (32%)attempts 17–28goals 1–0
- Vlasic – Karlsson12:50
xG 0.11–0.69 (14%)attempts 5–16goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
SJS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line SJS is favoured, below it VAN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 65% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (SJS − VAN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).