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Ice Lab

Sun, Dec 29, 2019·Amalie Arena, Tampa

Detroit Red Wings 1, Tampa Bay Lightning 2

Away

Detroit Red Wings

1

Final

Home

Tampa Bay Lightning

2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 84% of the time.

TBL winsDET wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:16Shot by Point, saved by Bernier
  3. P1 1:01Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by McElhinney
  4. P1 2:04Shot by Glendening, saved by McElhinney
  5. P1 4:24Shot by Athanasiou, saved by McElhinney
  6. P1 5:12Shot by Glendening, saved by McElhinney
  7. P1 8:27Shot by Glendening, saved by McElhinney
  8. P1 8:34Shot by Shattenkirk, saved by Bernier
  9. P1 8:54Maroon: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Coburn, Shattenkirk, Maroon, Paquette, Stephens · DET Abdelkader, Lashoff, Bowey, Perlini, Ehn

  10. P1 8:57Shot by Fabbri, saved by McElhinney4v5
  11. P1 9:12Shot by Killorn, saved by Bernier4v5
  12. P1 12:46Shot by Hedman, saved by Bernier
  13. P1 12:56Green: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Maroon, Hedman, Paquette, Cernak, Stephens · DET Green, Nemeth, Glendening, Fabbri, Zadina

  14. P1 13:40Shot by Point, saved by Bernier5v4
  15. P1 14:35Shot by Stamkos, saved by Bernier5v4
  16. P1 14:44Shot by Hedman, saved by Bernier5v4
  17. P1 14:52Shot by Point, saved by Bernier5v4
  18. P1 15:01Shot by Paquette, saved by Bernier
  19. P1 15:12Shot by McDonagh, saved by Bernier
  20. P1 15:39Shot by Gourde, saved by Bernier
  21. P1 17:16Shot by Stamkos, saved by Bernier
  22. P1 17:26Shot by Cernak, saved by Bernier
  23. P1 19:07Shot by Glendening, saved by McElhinney
  24. P1 19:18Shot by Helm, saved by McElhinney
  25. P1 19:20Shot by Fabbri, saved by McElhinney
  26. P1 0:00Period end
  27. P2 0:00Period start
  28. P2 0:45Shot by Green, saved by McElhinney
  29. P2 2:25Shot by Paquette, saved by Bernier
  30. P2 3:52Shot by Johnson, saved by Bernier
  31. P2 4:10Goal by Palat (Shattenkirk)+17 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Coburn, Shattenkirk, Palat, Kucherov, Point · DET Daley, Glendening, Bertuzzi, Larkin, Hronek

  32. P2 5:07Shot by Killorn, saved by Bernier
  33. P2 5:23Shot by Abdelkader, saved by McElhinney
  34. P2 8:10Shot by Zadina, saved by McElhinney
  35. P2 10:02Perlini: Tripping (2 min)6v5

    On ice: TBL Coburn, Shattenkirk, Johnson, Kucherov, Gourde, Joseph · DET Abdelkader, Lashoff, Bowey, Perlini, Ehn

  36. P2 10:57Shot by Stamkos, saved by Bernier5v4
  37. P2 11:09Shot by Stamkos, saved by Bernier5v4
  38. P2 11:22Shot by Cirelli, saved by Bernier5v4
  39. P2 11:24Shot by Kucherov, saved by Bernier5v4
  40. P2 11:31Shot by Point, saved by Bernier5v4
  41. P2 12:15Shot by Maroon, saved by Bernier
  42. P2 12:39Shot by Maroon, saved by Bernier
  43. P2 13:12Shot by Larkin, saved by McElhinney
  44. P2 13:55Shot by Gourde, saved by Bernier
  45. P2 16:25Shot by Sergachev, saved by Bernier
  46. P2 17:54Goal by Fabbri (Hronek, Athanasiou)+22 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Coburn, Shattenkirk, Maroon, Paquette, Stephens · DET Nemeth, Athanasiou, Fabbri, Hronek, Zadina

  47. P2 19:51Shot by Sergachev, saved by Bernier
  48. P2 0:00Period end
  49. P3 0:00Period start
  50. P3 0:40Shot by Nielsen, saved by McElhinney
  51. P3 0:58Daley: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Killorn, McDonagh, Stamkos, Cirelli, Sergachev · DET Daley, Glendening, Fabbri, Hronek, Zadina

  52. P3 1:17Shot by Kucherov, saved by Bernier5v4
  53. P3 1:23Shot by Glendening, saved by McElhinney5v4
  54. P3 2:32Sergachev: Tripping (2 min)4v4

    On ice: TBL Maroon, Johnson, Palat, Sergachev · DET Helm, Nemeth, Ehn, Hronek

  55. P3 4:50Shot by Nielsen, saved by McElhinney
  56. P3 4:51Erne: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Killorn, Shattenkirk, McDonagh, Cirelli, Sergachev · DET Nielsen, Green, Nemeth, Erne, Zadina

  57. P3 5:02Shot by Hedman, saved by Bernier5v4
  58. P3 5:33Goal by Point (Hedman, Stamkos)5v4+24 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Point, Cirelli · DET Helm, Nemeth, Glendening, Hronek

  59. P3 6:39Shot by Killorn, saved by Bernier
  60. P3 7:00Shot by Stamkos, saved by Bernier
  61. P3 7:20Shot by Cernak, saved by Bernier
  62. P3 7:30Shot by Cernak, saved by Bernier
  63. P3 8:50Shot by Athanasiou, saved by McElhinney
  64. P3 9:34Shot by Gourde, saved by Bernier
  65. P3 11:56Shot by Helm, saved by McElhinney
  66. P3 13:40Shot by Hedman, saved by Bernier
  67. P3 15:03Shot by Stephens, saved by Bernier
  68. P3 15:13Shot by Kucherov, saved by Bernier
  69. P3 15:58Shot by Nielsen, saved by McElhinney
  70. P3 18:24Shot by Palat, saved by Bernier
  71. P3 0:00Period end
  72. P3 0:00Final