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Ice Lab

Thu, Jan 2, 2020·Bell MTS Place, Winnipeg

Toronto Maple Leafs 6, Winnipeg Jets 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 58% of the time.

WPG winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:22Shot by Connor, saved by Andersen
  3. P1 3:24Goal by Nylander (Brooks)+19 pts WP

    On ice: WPG Wheeler, Poolman, Morrissey, Harkins, Roslovic · TOR Barrie, Rielly, Kerfoot, Nylander, Brooks

  4. P1 4:28Shot by Scheifele, saved by Andersen
  5. P1 4:29Shot by Scheifele, saved by Andersen
  6. P1 4:58Shot by Laine, saved by Andersen
  7. P1 5:17Shot by Matthews, saved by Hellebuyck
  8. P1 5:31Shot by Laine, saved by Andersen
  9. P1 5:36Shot by Laine, saved by Andersen
  10. P1 8:22Shot by Barrie, saved by Hellebuyck
  11. P1 9:00Goal by Kapanen, unassisted+14 pts WP

    On ice: WPG Sbisa, Scheifele, Connor, Laine, Pionk · TOR Spezza, Marincin, Holl, Kapanen, Engvall

  12. P1 9:16Shot by Gauthier, saved by Hellebuyck
  13. P1 9:43Shot by Tavares, saved by Hellebuyck
  14. P1 9:57Shot by Roslovic, saved by Andersen
  15. P1 10:28Barrie: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: WPG Wheeler, Sbisa, Ehlers, Roslovic, Pionk · TOR Tavares, Barrie, Rielly, Kerfoot, Nylander

  16. P1 10:56Shot by Laine, saved by Andersen5v4
  17. P1 11:17Shot by Marincin, saved by Hellebuyck5v4
  18. P1 11:30Shot by Laine, saved by Andersen5v4
  19. P1 11:59Shot by Laine, saved by Andersen5v4
  20. P1 13:03Shot by Tavares, saved by Hellebuyck
  21. P1 13:48Shot by Morrissey, saved by Andersen
  22. P1 17:39Shot by Connor, saved by Andersen
  23. P1 18:18Shot by Perreault, saved by Andersen
  24. P1 18:39Shot by Bourque, saved by Andersen
  25. P1 0:00Period end
  26. P2 0:00Period start
  27. P2 0:57Shot by Laine, saved by Andersen
  28. P2 2:23Shot by Harkins, saved by Andersen
  29. P2 2:34Spezza: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: WPG Bitetto, Shore, Dahlstrom, Ehlers, Appleton · TOR Spezza, Ceci, Kapanen, Engvall, Dermott

  30. P2 3:45Goal by Connor (Scheifele)5v4+13 pts WP

    On ice: WPG Wheeler, Scheifele, Morrissey, Connor, Laine · TOR Marincin, Ceci, Kapanen, Engvall

  31. P2 3:52Shot by Pionk, saved by Andersen
  32. P2 3:56Shot by Lowry, saved by Andersen
  33. P2 4:18Shot by Pionk, saved by Andersen
  34. P2 5:09Shot by Poolman, saved by Andersen
  35. P2 5:15Shot by Laine, saved by Andersen
  36. P2 6:42Shot by Shore, saved by Andersen
  37. P2 7:10Shot by Morrissey, saved by Andersen
  38. P2 7:44Goal by Laine (Pionk, Hellebuyck)+23 pts WP

    On ice: WPG Sbisa, Scheifele, Connor, Laine, Pionk · TOR Barrie, Hyman, Rielly, Marner, Matthews

  39. P2 8:25Shot by Dahlstrom, saved by Andersen
  40. P2 9:02Goal by Dermott (Kerfoot, Nylander)+24 pts WP

    On ice: WPG Wheeler, Poolman, Morrissey, Ehlers, Roslovic · TOR Tavares, Ceci, Kerfoot, Nylander, Dermott

  41. P2 9:37Goal by Engvall (Kapanen, Spezza)+15 pts WP

    On ice: WPG Perreault, Bourque, Bitetto, Lowry, Dahlstrom · TOR Spezza, Marincin, Holl, Kapanen, Engvall

  42. P2 10:02Shot by Spezza, saved by Hellebuyck
  43. P2 10:34Shore: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: WPG Bourque, Shore, Poolman, Dahlstrom, Appleton · TOR Tavares, Barrie, Rielly, Kerfoot, Nylander

  44. P2 10:42Shot by Matthews, saved by Hellebuyck4v5
  45. P2 11:32Shot by Sbisa, saved by Andersen4v5
  46. P2 11:59Shot by Rielly, saved by Hellebuyck4v5
  47. P2 12:03Shot by Rielly, saved by Hellebuyck4v5
  48. P2 12:12Shot by Poolman, saved by Andersen4v5
  49. P2 12:31Shot by Appleton, saved by Andersen4v5
  50. P2 12:48Goal by Scheifele (Connor)+14 pts WP

    On ice: WPG Shore, Scheifele, Poolman, Morrissey, Connor · TOR Spezza, Hyman, Rielly, Kerfoot, Kapanen

  51. P2 12:59Shot by Laine, saved by Andersen
  52. P2 13:02Shot by Sbisa, saved by Andersen
  53. P2 13:45Shot by Connor, saved by Andersen
  54. P2 14:11Shot by Poolman, saved by Andersen
  55. P2 14:16Shot by Perreault, saved by Andersen
  56. P2 14:36Shot by Perreault, saved by Andersen
  57. P2 15:00Shot by Spezza, saved by Hellebuyck
  58. P2 15:40Perreault: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: WPG Wheeler, Perreault, Bourque, Poolman, Morrissey · TOR Spezza, Ceci, Kapanen, Engvall, Dermott

  59. P2 16:52Goal by Marner (Barrie, Matthews)4v5+15 pts WP

    On ice: WPG Wheeler, Sbisa, Connor, Pionk · TOR Tavares, Barrie, Nylander, Marner, Matthews

  60. P2 18:49Shot by Connor, saved by Andersen
  61. P2 19:37Shot by Marner, saved by Hellebuyck
  62. P2 0:00Period end
  63. P3 0:00Period start
  64. P3 0:10Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Brossoit
  65. P3 1:58Shot by Bitetto, saved by Andersen
  66. P3 2:07Shot by Brooks, saved by Brossoit
  67. P3 2:09Shot by Marchment, saved by Brossoit
  68. P3 3:34Shot by Morrissey, saved by Andersen
  69. P3 3:39Shot by Ehlers, saved by Andersen
  70. P3 3:47Shot by Morrissey, saved by Andersen
  71. P3 3:55Shot by Morrissey, saved by Andersen
  72. P3 4:07Shot by Laine, saved by Andersen
  73. P3 4:45Shot by Hyman, saved by Brossoit
  74. P3 6:34Shot by Nylander, saved by Brossoit
  75. P3 8:45Goal by Nylander (Kerfoot, Tavares)+4 pts WP

    On ice: WPG Scheifele, Poolman, Morrissey, Connor, Laine · TOR Tavares, Rielly, Ceci, Kerfoot, Nylander

  76. P3 9:19Shot by Matthews, saved by Brossoit
  77. P3 11:47Shot by Matthews, saved by Brossoit
  78. P3 12:12Shot by Laine, saved by Andersen
  79. P3 13:38Shot by Harkins, saved by Andersen
  80. P3 14:06Shot by Rielly, saved by Brossoit
  81. P3 14:16Shot by Marner, saved by Brossoit
  82. P3 15:56Shot by Poolman, saved by Andersen
  83. P3 16:52Shot by Dermott, saved by Brossoit
  84. P3 17:47Shot by Wheeler, saved by Andersen6v5
  85. P3 18:01Shot by Laine, saved by Andersen6v5
  86. P3 19:18Appleton: High sticking double minor (4 min)

    On ice: WPG Bourque, Bitetto, Shore, Dahlstrom, Appleton · TOR Marincin, Holl, Gauthier, Marchment, Brooks

  87. P3 0:00Period end
  88. P3 0:00Final