Thu, Jan 2, 2020·Bell MTS Place, Winnipeg
Toronto Maple Leafs 6, Winnipeg Jets 3
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 58% of the time.
35%
9%
48%
WPG winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22:53 | 0.08 | 33.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22:44 | 0.05 | 19.5% | +14.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 21:35 | 0.14 | 58.2% | +14.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 20:43 | 0.44 | 43.1% | +14.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 20:29 | 0.33 | 65.5% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 3 | 19:36 | 0.53 | 51.9% | +46.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 19:15 | 0.22 | 63.8% | +3.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 18:58 | 0.64 | 55.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 18:16 | 0.01 | 57.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 18:14 | 0.00 | 58.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 15:07 | 0.32 | 51.1% | +27.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 15:04 | 0.04 | 39.8% | +14.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 13:56 | 0.14 | 44.2% | +14.8 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 13:56 | 0.19 | 39.4% | +28.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 13:47 | 0.23 | 86.1% | +23.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7:53 | 0.02 | 60.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 7:33 | 0.14 | 62.6% | +18.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6:50 | 0.23 | 59.2% | 0.0 |
| W | 48 | 45 | 3 | .938 | 3.37 | +0.4 | 60:00 |
Winnipeg Jets
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 5 | 22:50 | 0.17 | 53.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 13 | 22:47 | 0.68 | 61.0% | +23.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22:44 | 0.06 | 48.5% | +23.2 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 22:35 | 0.79 | 65.5% | +27.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 22:28 | 0.14 | 20.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 22:05 | 0.21 | 48.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 21:38 | 0.21 | 64.5% | +27.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20:43 | 0.09 | 45.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:53 | 0.08 | 21.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 15:40 | 0.01 | 24.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:04 | 0.05 | 34.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:12 | 0.23 | 38.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 13:05 | 0.08 | 38.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:26 | 0.11 | 43.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:48 | 0.07 | 55.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 10:12 | 0.06 | 28.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 6:48 | 0.07 | 100.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5:46 | 0.29 | 100.0% | 0.0 |
| – | 11 | 10 | 1 | .909 | 1.13 | +0.1 | 18:22 | |
| L | 17 | 12 | 5 | .706 | 2.04 | −3.0 | 40:00 |