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Ice Lab

Sat, Jan 4, 2020·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa

Tampa Bay Lightning 5, Ottawa Senators 3

Away

Tampa Bay Lightning

5

Final

Home

Ottawa Senators

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 61% of the time.

OTT winsTBL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:49Shot by Hedman, saved by Anderson
  3. P1 2:27Shot by Pageau, saved by McElhinney
  4. P1 2:44Shot by Goloubef, saved by McElhinney
  5. P1 3:03Shot by Gourde, saved by Anderson
  6. P1 4:41Brown: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Borowiecki, Namestnikov, Tierney, Brown, Chabot · TBL Shattenkirk, Palat, Kucherov, Point, Sergachev

  7. P1 9:34Shot by Point, saved by Anderson
  8. P1 9:44Shot by Kucherov, saved by Anderson
  9. P1 11:00Cernak: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Anisimov, Boedker, Goloubef, Englund, Balcers · TBL Maroon, McDonagh, Johnson, Paquette, Cernak

  10. P1 11:06Shot by McDonagh, saved by Anderson
  11. P1 12:02Shot by Ennis, saved by McElhinney
  12. P1 12:48Shot by Reilly, saved by McElhinney
  13. P1 14:07Shot by Ennis, saved by McElhinney5v4
  14. P1 14:10Englund: Fighting (5 min)5v4

    On ice: OTT Ennis, Englund, White, Jaros, Tkachuk · TBL Maroon, Johnson, Paquette, Cernak, Sergachev

  15. P1 14:10Maroon: Fighting (5 min)5v4

    On ice: OTT Ennis, Englund, White, Jaros, Tkachuk · TBL Maroon, Johnson, Paquette, Cernak, Sergachev

  16. P1 14:12Shot by Reilly, saved by McElhinney5v4
  17. P1 14:56Shot by Cernak, saved by Anderson4v4
  18. P1 15:34McDonagh: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Borowiecki, Pageau, Brown, Paul, Chabot · TBL McDonagh, Palat, Kucherov, Point, Cernak

  19. P1 17:39Shot by Brown, saved by McElhinney4v4
  20. P1 19:44Shot by Shattenkirk, saved by Anderson4v5
  21. P1 19:48Goloubef: Slashing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: OTT Goloubef, Pageau, Brown, Paul, Chabot · TBL Shattenkirk, Stamkos, Johnson, Hedman, Cirelli

  22. P1 0:00Period end
  23. P2 0:00Period start
  24. P2 0:46Goal by Tierney (Jaros)+15 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Borowiecki, Reilly, Tierney, Brown · TBL Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Point

  25. P2 1:46Shot by Tierney, saved by McElhinney4v5
  26. P2 2:40Goal by Verhaeghe (Hedman, Gourde)+16 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Goloubef, Englund, White, Jaros, Tkachuk · TBL Hedman, Gourde, Verhaeghe, Stephens, Rutta

  27. P2 3:05Shot by Borowiecki, saved by McElhinney
  28. P2 3:45Goal by Shattenkirk, unassisted+22 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Anisimov, Borowiecki, Brown, Paul, Chabot · TBL Shattenkirk, Hedman, Palat, Kucherov, Point

  29. P2 7:03Shot by Kucherov, saved by Anderson
  30. P2 7:49Shot by Brown, saved by McElhinney
  31. P2 8:44Shot by Ennis, saved by McElhinney
  32. P2 8:56Shot by Goloubef, saved by McElhinney
  33. P2 9:35Shot by Tierney, saved by McElhinney
  34. P2 10:55Kucherov: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Anisimov, Goloubef, Reilly, Brown, Paul · TBL Maroon, Kucherov, Point, Sergachev, Rutta

  35. P2 11:40Goal by Pageau (Batherson, Ennis)5v4+24 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Ennis, Pageau, Chabot, Batherson, Tkachuk · TBL Killorn, Hedman, Cernak, Cirelli

  36. P2 12:29Shot by Paquette, saved by Anderson
  37. P2 13:36Shot by Stamkos, saved by Anderson
  38. P2 14:31Shot by Balcers, saved by McElhinney
  39. P2 14:40Shot by Reilly, saved by McElhinney
  40. P2 16:29Shot by Ennis, saved by McElhinney
  41. P2 16:46Shot by White, saved by McElhinney
  42. P2 16:46Tkachuk: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Ennis, Reilly, White, Chabot, Tkachuk · TBL Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman, Cernak, Cirelli

  43. P2 16:46Cirelli: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Ennis, Reilly, White, Chabot, Tkachuk · TBL Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman, Cernak, Cirelli

  44. P2 17:05Shot by Stephens, saved by Anderson
  45. P2 19:20Shot by Hedman, saved by Anderson
  46. P2 19:46Shot by Chabot, saved by McElhinney
  47. P2 19:51Goal by Borowiecki (Anisimov, Chabot)+23 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Anisimov, Borowiecki, Paul, Chabot, Balcers · TBL Killorn, Shattenkirk, Stamkos, Paquette, Sergachev

  48. P2 0:00Period end
  49. P3 0:00Period start
  50. P3 0:43Shot by Hedman, saved by Anderson
  51. P3 1:01Shot by Point, saved by Anderson
  52. P3 3:23Shot by Gourde, saved by Anderson5v6
  53. P3 5:48Shattenkirk: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Boedker, Tierney, Englund, Jaros, Balcers · TBL Killorn, Shattenkirk, Palat, Paquette, Sergachev

  54. P3 6:45Shot by Batherson, saved by McElhinney5v4
  55. P3 6:48Shot by Chabot, saved by McElhinney
  56. P3 8:37Goal by Point (Sergachev, Kucherov)+29 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Ennis, Borowiecki, Tierney, Paul, Chabot · TBL Stamkos, Kucherov, Point, Cernak, Sergachev

  57. P3 10:04Shot by Point, saved by Anderson
  58. P3 11:29Shot by Namestnikov, saved by McElhinney
  59. P3 11:33Shot by Goloubef, saved by McElhinney
  60. P3 12:01Cirelli: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Ennis, Goloubef, Reilly, White, Tkachuk · TBL Shattenkirk, Johnson, Palat, Cirelli, Sergachev

  61. P3 12:01Tkachuk: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Ennis, Goloubef, Reilly, White, Tkachuk · TBL Shattenkirk, Johnson, Palat, Cirelli, Sergachev

  62. P3 13:08Shot by Chabot, saved by McElhinney4v4
  63. P3 14:22Shot by Tierney, saved by McElhinney
  64. P3 14:45Shot by Palat, saved by Anderson
  65. P3 15:01Shot by Sergachev, saved by Anderson
  66. P3 16:29Shot by Killorn, saved by Anderson
  67. P3 16:42Shot by Paquette, saved by Anderson
  68. P3 17:12Shot by Rutta, saved by Anderson
  69. P3 17:32Shot by Sergachev, saved by Anderson
  70. P3 18:23Shot by Palat, saved by Anderson
  71. P3 18:30Goal by Johnson (Hedman, Palat)+47 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Goloubef, Pageau, Reilly, Namestnikov, Brown · TBL Johnson, Hedman, Palat, Cernak, Cirelli

  72. P3 18:48Shot by White, saved by McElhinney6v5
  73. P3 19:53Goal by Killorn, unassisted6v5+1 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Pageau, Reilly, White, Chabot, Batherson, Tkachuk · TBL Killorn, Hedman, Kucherov, Point, Cernak

  74. P3 0:00Period end
  75. P3 0:00Final