Sat, Jan 4, 2020·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa
Tampa Bay Lightning 5, Ottawa Senators 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 61% of the time.
54%
9%
30%
OTT winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 3 | 28:13 | 0.14 | – | +62.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 24:35 | 0.12 | – | +29.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 1 | 19:37 | 0.02 | – | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 18:50 | 0.13 | – | +29.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 18:42 | 0.01 | – | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 18:39 | 0.51 | – | +29.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18:14 | 0.08 | – | +22.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 17:37 | 0.34 | – | +46.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 17:05 | 0.60 | – | +1.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:09 | 0.22 | – | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 15:12 | 0.00 | – | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 13:59 | 0.35 | – | +16.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 11:54 | 0.09 | – | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 11:49 | 0.08 | – | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 11:08 | 0.18 | – | +46.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:49 | 0.00 | – | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 8:50 | 0.30 | – | +16.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7:53 | 0.00 | – | 0.0 |
| W | 28 | 25 | 3 | .893 | 3.32 | +0.3 | 60:00 |
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 3 | 30:12 | 0.23 | – | +22.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 24:07 | 0.15 | – | +22.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 20:09 | 0.12 | – | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 19:49 | 0.17 | – | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 18:40 | 0.22 | – | +24.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 17:38 | 0.22 | – | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 16:49 | 0.43 | – | +15.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 16:34 | 0.57 | – | +24.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 16:27 | 0.26 | – | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 15:56 | 0.08 | – | +24.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:17 | 0.00 | – | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 15:13 | 0.32 | – | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:04 | 0.07 | – | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12:03 | 0.16 | – | +22.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 12:01 | 0.00 | – | +15.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:46 | 0.00 | – | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 10:25 | 0.83 | – | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:58 | 0.16 | – | 0.0 |
| L | 27 | 23 | 4 | .852 | 2.61 | −1.4 | 58:52 |
Shift data for this game is incomplete, so on-ice figures are not shown.