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Ice Lab

Sun, Jan 5, 2020·PNC Arena, Raleigh

Tampa Bay Lightning 3, Carolina Hurricanes 1

Away

Tampa Bay Lightning

3

Final

Home

Carolina Hurricanes

1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 57% of the time.

CAR winsTBL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 2:36Goal by Stephens (Verhaeghe, Kucherov)+19 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Hamilton, Martinook, Slavin, Wallmark, Svechnikov · TBL Hedman, Kucherov, Verhaeghe, Stephens, Rutta

  3. P1 4:31Shot by Foegele, saved by Vasilevskiy
  4. P1 4:44Goal by Stamkos, unassisted+14 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Staal, Hamilton, Slavin, Foegele, Svechnikov · TBL Coburn, Stamkos, Kucherov, Point, Cernak

  5. P1 4:56Shot by Haula, saved by Vasilevskiy
  6. P1 6:49Shot by Sergachev, saved by Mrazek
  7. P1 7:49Shot by Dzingel, saved by Vasilevskiy
  8. P1 9:24Niederreiter: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Gardiner, Niederreiter, Teravainen, Pesce, Aho · TBL Coburn, Johnson, Palat, Cernak, Cirelli

  9. P1 9:49Shot by Edmundson, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  10. P1 10:59Shot by Point, saved by Mrazek4v5
  11. P1 13:09Shot by Stephens, saved by Mrazek
  12. P1 13:39Shot by Aho, saved by Vasilevskiy
  13. P1 14:19Shot by Dzingel, saved by Vasilevskiy
  14. P1 14:23Shot by Slavin, saved by Vasilevskiy
  15. P1 15:55Sergachev: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Gardiner, Haula, Dzingel, Pesce, Necas · TBL Shattenkirk, Johnson, Verhaeghe, Cirelli, Sergachev

  16. P1 16:08Shot by Teravainen, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  17. P1 16:38Shot by Aho, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  18. P1 16:50Shot by Niederreiter, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  19. P1 17:24Shot by Niederreiter, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  20. P1 17:26Shot by Dzingel, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  21. P1 18:59Shot by Slavin, saved by Vasilevskiy
  22. P1 0:00Period end
  23. P2 0:00Period start
  24. P2 3:00Shot by Wallmark, saved by Vasilevskiy
  25. P2 3:37Shot by Necas, saved by Vasilevskiy
  26. P2 4:15Shot by Gourde, saved by Mrazek
  27. P2 5:19Goal by Point (Kucherov, Stamkos)+8 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Staal, Hamilton, Slavin, Foegele, Svechnikov · TBL Shattenkirk, Stamkos, Kucherov, Point, Sergachev

  28. P2 5:54Shot by Niederreiter, saved by Vasilevskiy
  29. P2 7:18Shot by Cirelli, saved by Mrazek
  30. P2 7:20Shot by Johnson, saved by Mrazek
  31. P2 7:21Shot by Palat, saved by Mrazek
  32. P2 7:22Shot by Johnson, saved by Mrazek
  33. P2 7:23Shot by Cirelli, saved by Mrazek
  34. P2 7:24Shot by Johnson, saved by Mrazek
  35. P2 7:42Shot by Cirelli, saved by Mrazek
  36. P2 8:57Shot by Rutta, saved by Mrazek
  37. P2 11:46Edmundson: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Dzingel, Edmundson, Teravainen, Fleury, Aho · TBL Johnson, Hedman, Palat, Cirelli, Rutta

  38. P2 11:51Shot by Hedman, saved by Mrazek4v5
  39. P2 12:00Shot by Stamkos, saved by Mrazek4v5
  40. P2 13:36Shot by Sergachev, saved by Mrazek4v5
  41. P2 14:16Shot by Johnson, saved by Mrazek
  42. P2 14:55Shot by Verhaeghe, saved by Mrazek
  43. P2 15:13Shot by Hamilton, saved by Vasilevskiy
  44. P2 17:40Shot by Cirelli, saved by Mrazek
  45. P2 18:28Shot by Stephens, saved by Mrazek
  46. P2 19:31Shot by Niederreiter, saved by Vasilevskiy
  47. P2 0:00Period end
  48. P3 0:00Period start
  49. P3 2:12Shot by Gourde, saved by Mrazek
  50. P3 2:30Shot by Svechnikov, saved by Vasilevskiy
  51. P3 2:31Shot by Staal, saved by Vasilevskiy
  52. P3 5:08Shot by Wallmark, saved by Vasilevskiy
  53. P3 6:52Shot by Hamilton, saved by Vasilevskiy
  54. P3 7:08Shot by Dzingel, saved by Vasilevskiy
  55. P3 7:40Shot by Haula, saved by Vasilevskiy
  56. P3 8:58Shot by Wallmark, saved by Vasilevskiy
  57. P3 9:30Cernak: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Hamilton, Martinook, McGinn, Slavin, Wallmark · TBL Coburn, Johnson, Palat, Cernak, Cirelli

  58. P3 9:58Shot by Teravainen, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  59. P3 11:48Goal by Svechnikov (Slavin, Pesce)+2 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Staal, Slavin, Pesce, Foegele, Svechnikov · TBL Coburn, Stamkos, Kucherov, Point, Cernak

  60. P3 12:12Shot by Shattenkirk, saved by Mrazek
  61. P3 12:47Shot by Verhaeghe, saved by Mrazek
  62. P3 13:46Shot by Foegele, saved by Vasilevskiy
  63. P3 15:02Shot by Teravainen, saved by Vasilevskiy
  64. P3 17:34Maroon: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)6v5

    On ice: CAR Gardiner, Haula, Dzingel, Pesce, Aho, Necas · TBL Killorn, Shattenkirk, Maroon, Paquette, Sergachev

  65. P3 17:34Maroon: Holding (2 min)6v5

    On ice: CAR Gardiner, Haula, Dzingel, Pesce, Aho, Necas · TBL Killorn, Shattenkirk, Maroon, Paquette, Sergachev

  66. P3 17:39Shot by Hedman, saved by Mrazek5v3
  67. P3 0:00Period end6v4
  68. P3 0:00Final